We all know that the Carolina Panthers are gonna walk this one in...The trick is how high do we go with the number in advance of the busloads of bets still in transi?
Play the number you like today before the books adjust their numbers against the juicy number tomorrow
Must be some wize guys out here who have already been doing the evil math stuff that farts out wonderful results
Today's Chicago White Sox starter is Chris Sale who is even better on the road than he is at home and likely only because Chicago's U.S. Cellular Field is a hitter’s park. Our man, Sale affectionately known as the "Condor,"currently sports a phenomenal 1.41 ERA on the road, and in one start in Kauffman Stadium he allowed only 4 hits and 0 ER in 8 IP. Kansas City's home OPS of .665 is 14th in the AL and ranks only .001 ahead of last-place Seattle. Over his last 33 frames, Sale has been real juicy striking out a healthy plate full of 42 batters. He has put up the best skills of any starter since the All-Star break. And if that don't wake up the Grandma in your style of step how about the fact that he has even increased his four-seam fastball velocity by 2.4 mph from the 1H to the 2H, which incidentally is more than any pitcher in the game today. Sale throws with a "funky" sidearm throwing motion which is often referred to as an "inverted-W" due to the way his arms come across his body while he pitches. If that is confusing to you?, imagine trying to hit this guy who has a very nice strike out percentage of 43%. That's a winner folks and now your up to date in Kansas City for tonight's game at Kauffman Stadium.
Heading into today's games we should be noting an umpire alert following along Weeble's train of thought..About a year ago someone in this forum pointed out that Mr.Eddings who is respectfully umpiring todays LAA/Texas game was a pitcher's type umpire and therefore a usual suspect for delivering unders.
According to Tin's baseball report Mr.Eddings last 6 out of 9 ( 67%) games ended UNDER their set totals. Combine this with Texas's last 8 of 11 games going UNDER (72%)
We don't really have any marquis appearances here in pitching either...Rasmus pitching for the Angels is 0-0, 3.86 (4.2 IP) in two starts; *Tin suggesting this is a bullpen game for Halos. .
Texas is 2-13 in last fifteen Martinez starts (0-0, 2.38 in last two.
This could of been one of those day game getaway days which would of been a red light because Texas hits the snot outta the ball in day games RE: 12-4 recent out burst in that bottomless pitcher's park they built in Seattle.
We have two teams who usually produce a pant load of runs when they play each other which likely is what scared the books into setting a number at 9.5 juicing up the OVER at -115 anticipating the over betting trend in their match ups. The juice has already reversed here at 10:26 am EST so the gig might be up already. We may even get a 9 or an 8.5. Just a heads up if you like less than 10 as it stands now.
PLAY: LAA/Texas 9.5 under -120.
If Oprah Winfrey can give out free donuts and Winnebago's to her audiences the bar has clearly been set high folks!
Time for smart guy Roger S. Goodell the Commissioner of the National Football League to step up to the plate and bleed some of his operations' gazillion$$$ in take home money. Public relations is always the best route to travel when entertaining Roger. You know that better than most of us wannabe hosts of the most watched spectacle on the boob tube. This Super bowl can skip over the weather like Jack Sprat and become worthy of the term spectacle. Its the right thing to do Roger.
Solution#1 to the freezing NY situation that's quickly approaching.
How about the NFL put up the entire ticket purchasing audience and its entire gig with all the bells whistle's ringtinglers etc over to Hawaii for the big game?
Its the right thing to do Roger.. and Roger consider the act and early birthday present to yourself (Feb 19, 1959) and your family -everyone who sits down with a beverage or chip bag sponsored by your league to watch this silly game called football despite the mostly hand contact on the ball.
Spending money you will likely get back in publicity and residuals outstanding ledger wedgy Rog!
You know what to do sir. simply pick up thae big red telephone and start the extravaganza..
from the anonymous Sunday armchair crew
Good gamblers can spot the herd of wooden heads before the bookmakers can smell their sawdust. No kidding Pinocchio! Just ask Dave Malinsky here at Covers. Pre-game action tells us we have a slippery slope of line movement in favour of the Broncos. Woooo hoooo! (ooops... not so loud)
The line is moving up because everyone is betting on Denver. BUT Before you look at your mortgage with love in your eyes, you should know that Denver has a 22nd rank defense and astonishingly sits behind your JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS in pass ranking!! Champ Baily? Defensive back for the Broncos...I got a football card round here with him on it from the freekin 80's. Geeeeez...Steve Sommers on the Fan 66 in NY calls Baily "a million years old."
Seattle on the other hand have the best defense in the league and defense wins championships.Vegas is daring you to take Denver 1st quarter and 1st half.
Denver got to the Super Bowl simply because there is no real team in the AFC that plays decent defense except for maybe Houston but they were throwing games to get a draft pick. If Lynch can run against a top defense in San Francisco, Seattle will easily be able to run against this less than stellar Bronco defence.
On offense Seattle is one of the few teams that run the ball first. Mr.Lynch will get his yards. If you paid attention to the regular season Denver plights you would of noticed that Denver was usually so far ahead in their games that their opponents had to abandon their running game and throw the ball and this is why Denver appears to be so good..
ONE MORE REASON why your pick should be Seattle +2.5
This Super Bowl should remind you of what happened when the Tampa Bay Bucs beat the Oakland Raiders in the 2002 Super Bowl. Bucs had the number one defense and Raiders had the number one offense. Sounds familiar?
In that game we find that the Raiders were favourites by 4.
The final score: Tampa Bay 48-21.
BE SURE to buy more Seattle stock if it hits +3 and of course we cannot forget the obligatory $750,000 Charles Barkley Money line bet just before the window closes to get the best backwash from all of that Denver dough that will certainly avalanche into Vegas. Charles had Tampa Bay on the money line in 2002.
At the time this was written money line sits at a juicy +115