YTD 9-6 ( +9.48 units )
SASKATCHEWAN -4.5 (-116) 3 units
Most books opened this line at 4 !! I made the roughriders a 6.5 point favorite in my post week 5 summary. Eventually this line will climb and most likely close around 6 by game day. I think Saskatchewan will win by two touchdowns, Ottawa last in the league in defense giving up 426 ypg specifically 121 against the run and the roughies have the #1 run offense in the cfl at 135 ypg.
WIN / HAM OVER 50 ( -106) 2 units
20 games in the books and the Unders are hitting at 75%. Once the totals come down ( evident this week ) the Overs will catch up. You just have to pick your spot!! I like the LeFevour/Gable tandem it looked like these guys were on the same page last week. I was impressed considering it was Lefevour's first start.
BC +5.5 (-106) 1 unit
The Lions couldn't of played any worse last week. I like them to bounce back against the Stampeders who are 4-0 and have dominated on defense creating turnovers by the barrel. Glenn has two of the best check down backs in the league in Logan and Harris and the game plan here is ball control.
YTD 5-6 ( +2.48 units )
CALGARY +1.5 (-08) 3 units
WIN / BC Under 53.5 (-06) 2 units
HAMILTON -4.5 (-10) ( 1 unit )
SASKATCHEWAN (-06) ( 1 unit )
GLTA----Plays ranked from top to bottom.
I'm hoping Levevour gets the start over Masoli !!!!! Not sure which was Austin is leaning.
I believe the Stampeders will be the favorite come Thursday.
YTD 2-4 (-2.28 units )
HAMILTON +9.5 (-06) 5 units
One of the angles that I was looking forward to this season was teams coming off bye weeks. As most of you know, each team will get 2 byes this year and unlike the NFL the Canadian football league has a 44 man roster which means starters play on special teams. The extra week's rest will hold a significant advantage. The trend is already 1-0 as the stampeders defeated the Argos 34-15 last week in a game where the line opened Toronto -2 and closed Calgary -2.5 ???? Wise guys might be on this trend already.
TORONTO -2.5 (-04 ) 4 units
Since Ricky Ray joined the Argonauts the teams has responded well coming off a loss. Toronto is a -2.5 point favorite and this is a reasonable spread when you consider the best team in the East is facing an expansion team.
BC -6 (-06 ) 3 units
I've watched every game this season and the Montreal 24-9 win in week 2 was about as misleading as you can get. This is the final meeting of the regular season and I expect BC to win by at least 2 touchdowns. Revenge angle in play here. I also see this line closing at 7 or 7.5
EDM/WIN UNDER 54.5 (-03)( 2 units )
HAM/CAL OVER 49.5 (-08) ( 1 unit )
YTD 2-3 ( -1.20 units )
BC/SASK OVER 48.5 (-06) 1 UNIT
This total is unchanged at 48.5. I find it a little low, but obviously for the right reasons ! KG has struggled to make plays and this will most likely be his last game as a starter if the Lions don't find the endzone. I'm hoping Glenn can rise to the occasion. The roughriders should score at least 30 points and hopefully this game can squeak over.
GL Guys--------------This is my only bet this week. Could not find anything of value. I was kind of leaning all dogs in week 3 but the lines are spot on. Not getting enough points in my opinion.
YTD 1-2 ( -1.12 units )
BC -2 (-08) 1 unit
I don't know how long it's going to take before the Montreal brass realize that Troy Smith will not take this team very far. On a scale of 1 to 10 I would say his passing skills are about a 3. He's got a cannon for an arm with no accuracy. The Als will suffer with Troy at the helm and with all due respect to Chad Johnson he was finished as a WR FIVE YEARS AGO. He's got no speed left and can barely run a 15 yard slant. I'm laying the small number and going with the Lions in this one.
EDM / HAM OVER 52 (-06 ) 1 unit
My thinking here is that the Ticats couldn't of played any worse in Week 1. The Edmonton pass rush will not resemble last weeks RoughRider 10 sack performance. Collaros should be a little more effective and it looks like Reily is already in mid season form. I'm going OVER in this game.
TORONTO PICK (-02 ) 1 unit
I bet this game on Tuesday and I realize the line is going the other way here with Saskatchewan up to 2.5. Getting to Collaros was easy last week, however Ricky Ray and the Argos OL will present a tougher challenge.