YTD 16-7 ( +21.38 units )
MONTREAL +7 (-107) 4 UNITS TOP PLAY
Montreal is a Tier 1 QB from being 4-3 instead of 1-6. The numbers might not reflect the talent this team has, however the Alex Brink takeover at the QB position is a move in the right direction. Brink has better pocket awareness than Troy Smith and is slightly more accurate. He floats a lot of his deep balls but can hit his receivers on the short routes. A conservative offense was the game plan last week against the Roughriders and it worked for most of the game as MONTREAL was never out of it as a 14 point dog. I'm expecting the same from Dinwidie and his brain trust. I never worry about the Montreal Defense and now I might be able to say the same for the offense. A possible outright win is in the cards.
TORONTO +8 (-112 ) 2 units
OTTAWA +9 ( -110 ) 2 units
As you can see I like all the dogs this week. It's my opinion that the numbers are a tad too high.
The report out of Calgary is that Cornish might play on Sunday. I don't think he'll be factor after the long layoff.
JIM POPP-------------You should of traded for DREW TATE in the off season. What did you think Troy Smith now ?
YTD 14-7 ( +19.38 units )
OTTAWA +7 (-06) 1 ( unit )
You can probably find a 7.5 juiced up if you shop around. I can't see this number moving past 7.5 or less than 7 for that matter. I'm happy getting a TD in this one. The Redblacks are pretty much last in every defensive category however they've been able to move the ball on offense the last couple of games. Softy for the Esky's here ?? I thinks so ! It's a tough task for a team from the West Coast trying to win B2B games ATS on the road as a significant favorite both times.
BC -1 ( 1 unit )
Short week for the Argos. Curtis Steele isn't going to rush for 100 against the Lions defense.
YTD 12-6 ( +15.48 units )
EDMONTON -4.5 (-110) 4 UNITS TOP PLAY
SASK / WIN OVER 53 (-110) 1 UNIT
OTT / CAL OVER 46 (-110) 1 UNIT
Most of the markets have put up their numbers so I'm posting a little earlier than usual. If you like these plays get a beat on the lines because all 3 games will move.
Edmonton will most likely close around 6 possibly 6.5. I would of opened this line EDM -7 because of the unstable QB situation for Montreal. Heck I was willing to lay 7 for a small wager but at -4.5 I'll go big here at 4 units.
The wagering threshold for the two totals are 54 and 47 anything above those number I'd be cautious.
The Overs were 3-1 last week but two of those Overs squeaked over near the end of the game. Which makes getting good numbers , important.
YTD 9-6 ( +9.48 units )
SASKATCHEWAN -4.5 (-116) 3 units
Most books opened this line at 4 !! I made the roughriders a 6.5 point favorite in my post week 5 summary. Eventually this line will climb and most likely close around 6 by game day. I think Saskatchewan will win by two touchdowns, Ottawa last in the league in defense giving up 426 ypg specifically 121 against the run and the roughies have the #1 run offense in the cfl at 135 ypg.
WIN / HAM OVER 50 ( -106) 2 units
20 games in the books and the Unders are hitting at 75%. Once the totals come down ( evident this week ) the Overs will catch up. You just have to pick your spot!! I like the LeFevour/Gable tandem it looked like these guys were on the same page last week. I was impressed considering it was Lefevour's first start.
BC +5.5 (-106) 1 unit
The Lions couldn't of played any worse last week. I like them to bounce back against the Stampeders who are 4-0 and have dominated on defense creating turnovers by the barrel. Glenn has two of the best check down backs in the league in Logan and Harris and the game plan here is ball control.
YTD 5-6 ( +2.48 units )
CALGARY +1.5 (-08) 3 units
WIN / BC Under 53.5 (-06) 2 units
HAMILTON -4.5 (-10) ( 1 unit )
SASKATCHEWAN (-06) ( 1 unit )
GLTA----Plays ranked from top to bottom.
I'm hoping Levevour gets the start over Masoli !!!!! Not sure which was Austin is leaning.
I believe the Stampeders will be the favorite come Thursday.