This is a 1*
Free Play on the “under” between the Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis
Cardinals on Wednesday night (8:15 PM EST).
Right-hander Homer Bailey (8-10, 3.71 ERA) takes the hill for
the visiting Reds at Busch Stadium this Wednesday. Bailey, as you remember has
two no hitters on his resume and is coming off a solid six inning performance
where he gave up three runs on six hits. Bailey has now put together two solid
starts as he through 8 innings of one run ball in a 9-1 Reds win over the
Milwaukee Brewers. The Cardinals will send their best pitcher to the mound in
Adam Wainwright (15-7, 2.58 ERA) to oppose Bailey. The star right-hander is
coming of a vintage performance in which he pitched a complete game one run
masterpiece over the NL East leading Atlanta Braves. Wainwright is even tougher
at Busch Stadium where he boasts a 2.06 ERA and a microscopic 0.89 WHIP. The
last three starts for Wainwright has seen the “under” number fall. Don’t be
surprised if there are little to no runs scored here in a game that boasts two
of the best pitchers in the National League who will no doubt take to challenge
each other to keep runs off the board in this game. Strongly consider
taking the “under” in this situation.
This is a 1* free play on the "under" between the New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday night (7:05 EST).
Phil Hughes (4-12, 4.88 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Hughes went six frames vs. the Jays on Tuesday, earning a no-decision for his effort, allowing two earned runs off seven hits with two walks. Despite the decent start, Hughes for the most part has been a disappointment this year, having not won an outing since July 2nd and going 0-5 in the process. That said, the one place where he's shown to be the most adept this season has been on the road, bringing his respectable 3-3, 3.67 ERA record into Toronto to throw opposite RA Dickey (9-12, 4.49 ERA) who was unfortunate to get saddled with a loss vs. the Yanks on Wednesday despite going the distance. The veteran would allow four earned runs off six hits with two walks in the complete game, striking out nine in the process. Dickey has shown flashes of his old brilliance at times this year and with a revenge-rematch on deck tonight, has a big opportunity to pad his stats. Five of these teams last seven in the series have indeed stayed below the posted number and I expect the opener of this three-game set to follow suit; consider a second look at the "under" in this matchup.
This is a 1* free play on the "under" between the Detroit Tigers and the New York Mets on Sunday afternoon (1:10 EST).
Rick Porcello (9-7, 4.52 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Porcello is coming off an outing to forget in which he gave up five runs over just 4 1/3's innings vs. the Twins on Tuesday. It was his first setback since late June; Porcello now looks to bounce back and brings his respectable 5-4, 3.90 ERA into New York to throw opposite Dillon Gee (9-8, 3.60 ERA) who gave up one unearned run over 7 2/3's innings in a 6-1 win over the Twins on Monday. Gee would scatter six hits with one walk while striking out a season-high nine in the masterful performance. He has now given up two or fewer earned runs in 12 of his last 15 starts. Also note that Gee is 1-0 with a minuscule 1.26 ERA in two interleague starts this year and is 4-3 with a tiny 2.21 ERA in front of the home town crowd this season (in fact, Gee is so hot right now that he's given up just four earned runs over his last four combined starts). The Tigers would batter the Mets for 15 hits yesterday, but still only won 3-0. With these two quality starters facing off on the bump, all signs do indeed once again point to a lower-scoring pitchers duel; consider a second look at the "under" in this one.
This is a 1* free play on the "under" between the Texas Rangers and the Chicago White Sox on Saturday night (7:10 EST).
Yu Darvish (12-5, 2.68 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Darvish is coming off an unfortunate no-decision vs. the Mariners on Sunday, giving up three runs off seven hits with four walks while striking out seven over 7 1/3's innings in his team's eventual 4-3 setback. Darvish has been as solid as you could possibly expect this season and has allowed just eight earned runs over his last six starts spanning 41 2/3's innings. He'll take his very respectable 5-2, 2.62 ERA road record into Chicago to throw opposite Hector Santiago (4-7, 3.27 ERA) who is coming off a victory over the Twins on Sunday, giving up two runs off nine scattered hits with two walks while striking out one over six innings. Santiago has now allowed one earned run in each of his last two starts and two earned runs or fewer in seven of his last nine outings to the bump. Anyone that's been following me for any length of time knows that "recent performance" plays a part in my handicapping repertoire and there's no debating that each of these hurlers comes into this contest with considerable momentum; whenever two pitchers of this caliber face off against each other, the "under" definitely becomes a legitimate investment opportunity.
This is a 1* free play on the "under" between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the San Francisco Giants on Friday night (10:15 EST).
Charlie Morton (4-3, 3.67 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Morton was unfortunate to get saddled with a no-decision vs. the Diamondbacks on Sunday, a victim of poor run support after giving up two runs off seven hits with three walks while striking out six over seven frames. Morton has allowed just two earned runs in three straight starts and brings his respectable, 3-1, 3.89 ERA road record into San Francisco to throw opposite Madison Bumgarner (11-7, 2.82 ERA) who is coming off an outing to forget vs. the Fish on Sunday, allowing four runs off five hits to go along with an uncharacteristic four walks. So is it time to hit the panic button if you're a Bumgarner fan? Obviously not. The big southpaw has been as effective and efficient as you could possibly hope for this year and he'll now look to improve upon his excellent 4-3, 2.40 ERA home record. These teams played a three-game set in Pittsburgh back in June and all three sailed above the posted number; however, with these two quality starters facing off in the opener of this four-game series, all signs point to a lower-scoring pitchers duel. Consider a second look at the "under" in this one.