Posted Thursday, October 04, 2012 08:34 AMLast Week: 2-6 (25%)
Season Posted: 2-5 (25%)
All I can say is....WOW. 2-6 last week, I think my wife can do better by picking the color of the jersey's she likes on the teams. However, what is the saying when you get bucked off the horse......shoot it, sell it for dog food and buy a new horse. So that's what I am doing.
Made adjustments to the program, and changed it back to just Underdogs again.
Again, recommend not tailing anyone, but use the information you find to help you on your quest in beating the book.
So here are this weeks updated program picks:
Lines may be off a little (these were put in on monday and I haven't updated)
NOTE: **** = computer predicted outright winner
East Carolina +14 vs Central Florida
Arkansas +10 vs Auburn
Florida +2.5 *** vs LSU
Colorado State +17 vs Fresno St.
Arizona +9 vs Stanford
Mississippi +12 vs Tex A&M
Purdue +3 *** vs Michigan
Wake Forest +6 vs Maryland
Nebraska +3 vs Ohio St.
Army + 10 vs Boston College
Hopefully the computer has a good week, and if it goes at 25% again, well, guess we keep posting its picks and choose the opposite
Good Luck this week folks! Win Big!
Well folks, the time has come. I said I needed 4 or 5 weeks of data...well, I am going with the 4.
Running the formula over the entire season that I am using right now, I would have been 17-5 (77.2%), not exactly sure what I have posted so far, I remember a 6-4 week and last week was 5-2...but it doesn't matter, now is when the season starts for the computer.
I can post the computer picks for favorites if you want them, but as in the past, going to stick with the dogs for the primary purpose of the computer picks.
With that said...here is Week 5 Computer Picks:
Mississippi St. +4.5 vs Ga Tech
Ball St. +6.5 vs Toledo
Wisconsin +2.5 vs Minnesota
Duke +16.5 vs Va Tech
The Duke choice has me wondering WTF...but then again, I suck picking on my own...thus why god let us invent the computer.
That's it for this week.....I wish you all the best in all your plays!
May your wins be large and your losses non-existent!
Good Luck folks!
Well, this is the last week I can use the disclaimer that I need 4 weeks of data...so after this I have to be a big boy and belly up to the bar.
Favorites went 8-5 last week for a win % of 61.5. Not what I want to put on the table (goal is 70% or better each week), but it was a winner none the less.
Dogs went 6-4-1 for a win % of 60. Again, below the goal of 70%, but again, a winning week.
I have tightened up the computer...brought in the wifes pink laptop and set it near him monday evening....hopefully he didn't throw any electrons out of place!
So for the last week I will play this card...here we go:
DISCLAIMER: I need at least 4 weeks of this seasons data to feel comfortable with the picks this damn machine is spitting out at me. So please do not use these to make your decision, but instead use it as a tool to look at a game a little harder.
Here is what I have for you for this weeks Favorites:
Auburn - 32.5 vs Ball St.
Central Michigan -16.5 vs Akron
Here are this weeks "Dogs":
Miss St. +13 vs LSU
Iowa +10 vs Penn St.
N. Carolina +2.5 vs Ga Tech
Central Fla. +10 vs E. Carolina
Fla Intl. +1 vs Toledo
Az St. +12.5 vs Georgia
Wyoming +5.5 vs UNLV
Wish you all the best of luck this week!
Okay...first off the DISCLAIMER: I need at least 4 to 5 weeks of this seasons data to feel comfortable with the picks this damn machine is spitting out at me, So please do not use these to make your decision, but instead use it as a tool to look at a game a little harder.
I have set up two formulas for this year. One is for Favorites and of course the other is for my Underdogs. Since there is only data for 1 week this season there isn't much to go on yet. After running all the formulas/logarithms..yada..yada..yada....I have the program set up to where it went 2-0 with Favorites last week and 5-0 with dogs. What does that mean to you.....well not much really. What it does mean is that it will give me a start on finding the formulas, which if all things remain equal for the season, that will give us at least a 70% win percentage after week 4. We shall see how it is sitting after week two...and I expect a lot more tweeks to be needed.
AGAIN...please do not use this info for anything more than looking at a game that may be off your radar.......PLEASE.
Here are week 2 Favorite Picks from the blasted machine:
Northwestern -18 vs E. Michigan
Wisconsin -8.5 vs Fresno St.
Navy -7 vs La Tech
Florida -36 vs Troy St.
Here are the week 2 Dogs from the blasted machine:
Purdue +11.5 vs Oregon
Fla Int +34 vs Alabama
Miami(OH) +35.5 vs Boise St.
New Mexico +17.5 vs Tulsa
Ohio St +7 vs USC
DISCLAIMER 2: Lines were what I typed in early Tuesday, they may not be what they are right now (Wednesday Night).
Good luck this week everyone!
Well, the computer won't be up and running its numbers until after week 4, so I am venturing out on my own for a little bit.
Starting with a mere 100 dollars and hoping to make enough this year for a nice bathroom re-model project.
So here we go:
Start (100.00)
Record (2009): Sides: 0-0 Totals: 0-0
Sides:
Utah -21 5/9.55
Troy -7 10/19.52
Troy 1H -4 10/19.52
NC St. ML 10/14.76
Totals:
Ore/BSU over 32 1H 5/9.55
UT St/UT over 52 5/9.76
Ore/BSU over 63.5 5/9.55
Best of Luck to you all on your plays today!