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BigWaveDave's Space
Profile - BigWaveDave
Member Since:
January 2005
Forum Posts:
2299
Sportsbook:
N/A
Age:
Location:
Ontario
Occupation:
My Team:
Pittsburgh Steelers
Interests:
Fav. Athlete:
LeBron James
Fav. Movie:
Bad Boys
Recent Posts
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02/18/13
SEMPER/McSHADY UNDERDOGS O...
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The Original "FF" thread ©...
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Sun 9/30 NJPORKY's 2H NFL ...
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UNDERDOG SYSTEM
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Playbook
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axpiota59
says:
1/18/2009 9:05 PM
how'd you make out with your nfl plays BWD? I played the home dog angle on the first game.
I capped the Cards to be 6 pt favs using my pre-season ratings along with my adjusted ratings as the season played itself out. Amazingly, PHI had a very good road-disadvantage of only -2 but ARZ also had a decent home advantage of +3.5. Momentum was definitely all PHI for about 9.5 points.
so my projected line was about +3.5 ARZ. The line was @ +3, I thought that was good value for a home team in a championship game.
I pretty much used the same method for the second game and found some value in BAL +6. We'll see how it plays out.
Being the playoffs, you cover/you win. I put a little on both dog's ML.
Write in axpiota59's playbook
wjeremy97
says:
6/09/2008 8:40 PM
how do you stand the smog in this town?
Write in wjeremy97's playbook
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Covers Streak Survivor Picks
Picks History
Current Streak
0 wins
WLT
13-18-0
Last Pick
06/22/10
Best Streak
3 wins