I recognize that the Yankees completely own the Twins, but this is a different year, and although NYY are 12-0 most recently vs MIN, the line is always inflated towards Girardi and Co. and the -140 and below line is telling me the Twins have a great shot against Mitre.
Although I like their chances, I am not brimming with confidence and am leaning heavy on the +1.5 RL for -145.
Opinions are welcome as going against a what seems to be a GOLIATH for the Twins is always a risky prop.
Who in their right mind wouldn't jump all over the Lakers in this spot. Miami can't find their offense, the Lakers hit a bump in the road, and the playoff push is ON.
Miami to cover as the significant but insignificant stat is that the Underdog is 7-2 in the L9 between these two teams, and it has been awhile since Miami has shown us anything more than inept offense, and the ability to lose games. I just have a sneaky suspicion tomorrow that they unload on the floating LakeShow and make this tight game.
What was once a competitive team in the East, shows up healthy tomorrow and reminds us of the past.
later today gentlemen.
My only comment to this fixing bullshit is...just imagine how many NBA players have come and gone in the league. The fortunate and talented retire, but a majority of players get forced out because of injury and performance. I do not mean to cause any offense to the IQ level of the average NBA player, but how easy would it be for any disgruntled player to come out and expose a corrupt organization and any/all "Fixing" that occurs daily in the NBA? It never happens for a reason. These games are hard fought in the trenches and when the shit hits the fan, and momentum takes over, it seems mind-boggling for a lackluster team that is against the ropes to breakthrough, but it is a reality in any sport.
If you choose to partake in the sordid game of gambling meant for filthy little animals, then take your lumps and realize the human factor in these contests. If you read between the lines you realize that long-term sports' wagering is a losing battle, but you are able to keep your head above water for longer periods of time then relish the wins as the satisfaction of the victories, depending on how sick you are, can make up for those unexplainable and painful losses.
I am a big fan of this board but the people that come in here Green, and with unrealistic expectations on how Sports Handicapping should go down, need to mature and digest the reality of this hobby. Quick gains are good in concept, but this is a grind that takes smarts, patience, money management, and a fortitude to deflect unexplicable lapses in team play and bullshit calls that ultimately lead to losses.
The strong survive and the weak bitch about calls that happened 3 days ago.
Let's cash in this second half of the NBA season and get to the MLB which the aficionados know is Money in the Bank when the season gets about 3 weeks-in.
The Colts comes into this game not facing an offense as potent as The Saints since the beginning of November except against the Texans(won by 8) & The Pats(won by 1).
On the flip side, NO haven’t faced a defense since October as stout as the Colts besides the Cowboys(Lost by 7), Washington(won by 3), & NE(won by 21).
Indy comes into the game looking like a defensive juggernaut shutting down the anemic offenses of the Ravens and the Jets in the playoffs. Flacco was struggling the L3 games of the season, and Sanchez and the punchless Jets did not have a potent offensive attack. It should be noted that the Colts shutting down the run-game of the Jets was impressive, but it is hard to gauge whether that is enough to don the Colts defense with a medal. They were playing games close to the vest before the “resting their players” and the playoffs and had to come from behind in multiple games at the end of the season.
The Saints limp into the SB with a 3 game loss at the end of the season vs lower tier teams, and a lackluster and borderline embarrassing performance against the Minny. You cannot be (plus too many) on turnovers at home and barely squeak out the game by a FG in OT because the opposing team’s 90 yr old QB turned the ball over for the 5th time which was more than expected if you have tuned in to a NFL game in the last decade. The Saints performance in this game is not a secret as millions of people watched the game, and made the same mental notes. Coinciding, the NFC Championship game is ringing very loudly in everyone’s ears who are backing the Colts on Sunday as it is easy to digest that game and deduce that the Saints “backed their way” into the Big Game and don’t deserve to be there.
But with the injuries on the Colt’s end, how can you really predict how they will perform against the NO offense? Sanders is obviously out, Freeney may not be able to move laterally with his ankle sprain, and Jarraud Powers is banged up as well. We all know the hype that is created with a game this big to create doubt as to who is available to start, but they will all play(except for Sanders), and even with modern sport’s technology/therapy, they will not be 100%.
Then you turn to the QB controversy: Manning is one of the best QB in the league next to Brady but he has only won one ring. He and the Colts team have the experience, and this is HUGE for him that he walks away with a second, and further brands his stamp in Canton. Brees on the other hand, was not the most prolific college player, and after his clunker last week, there are legitimately a lot of doubts on whether or not he will come out scared and shit the bed. Every year there is banter about the “Happy to be there” team, and the Saints are the poster child for that phrase. I have a hard time not seeing and hearing Manning talk about the game with confetti sprinkling all over his head at the end of the game, while he digresses about the key moves to why the Colts won, but the NFL(or any professional sport for that matter), is not that logical.
First off, it is not news that the Dogs ruled today and this was not a favorable day for us gamblers. There is a demographic that is going to hang onto that notion and reinforce it later tonight with the DD Home Dog (old wives tale) to gain confidence against backing the Browns. I have kept a close eye on Baltimore this year, and have a few thoughts about this matchup:
1. Baltimore did what they should against Minny, and it turned into a shootout with a heartbreaker lost. Nice cover though.
2.Not many surprises the next week that they don't lose 4th in a row, the stymie the Denver offense, and the bandwagon rolls saying "Baltimore defense is fixed and we're back"
3. Realization that Cincy is for real and they were worked over in every facet of the game leading to a horrendous day from Flacco, with a dismal defense.
1. Cleveland has had some games this year that have been so atrocious, it is beyond words. I was not of fan of Brady Quinn before he was benched, and clearly I should not coach the NFL because my choice of Andersen proved to be the wrong one as well. Brady is now back, and the Browns have a had an extra week to plan....not sure who that strengthens on their team, but i bet that they slept well.
2. Baltimore comes in knowing they can shut down an anemic offense who did not take chances down the field with Denver. And then turns around and does not play to their potential in Cincy. I know Gaither was a great addition for their Denver win, and Ngata really hurt them in cincy.
3. As you breakdown this game, I see a few things. Joe Flacco is an excellent quarterback. He is poised, can make the big plays, and he has been held in check here for at least last week and was decent vs Cincy. In the position that the Ravens are in right now, I cannot see him coming out flat and if I think about the Green Bay game, I see Flacco scoring 100 in the first quarter.
4. I also see the Ravens defense, tightenting up a la Denver against this Browns team that is horrendous at scoring. For them to have a breakthrough game, I do not see it against the Raven defense that knows that this is a game that they should win easlily.
Line -11 total 38.5
I have been leaning under for 3 weeks now and was fortunate was a tease on the Atlanta game, and a straight up on last week's contest. I think Vegas is booking all Balt -5 teases with the over. Although I want to take the under, these Cleveland games can get so out of hand and you are never really sure what shit show you are going to watch.
Can anyone tell me if this Browns defense can remain competitive against Flacco and Co? When a team is 4-4 and knowing they are having trouble finding a way to win, I lean towards the dog. because of the recent past, it is tought to LOAD UP on Baltimore when they have undeperformed this year.
Bottom line you have signs of greatness on both sides of the ball for Baltimore with zilch for Cleveland. I get the DD Home Dog/Trap line call, but as much as I want to buy into it, I just can't see how Cleveland can hang in with Quinn, some bunk receivers, and a Baltimore defense that can shut you down when they get in rhythm.
Still soul searching for this game but would be interested to hear about Cleveland's defense and how they can keep this close.