10/10 NCAA COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS
Record YTD: 0-0-0
Avid reader, first time poster...few plays I'm running with this weekend and just my opinions on the games. Feel free to leave any thoughts/comments discussion is welcomed.
1.
NO. 25 WISCONSIN (5-0, 3-2 ATS) @ NO. 8 OHIO ST (4-1, 4-1 ATS)
Line: OHIO ST(-16.5)
Opinion: Historically I've seen Wisconsin get up for these games with Ohio St at the Horseshoe. Wisconsin does have the leading Big 10 rusher in Clay, and is still undefeated, ranked, with quality wins @ Minnesota and vs. Michigan St. Underdog is 7-2 ATS past 9, road team is 7-3 ATS past 10 meetings, and Ohio St is 3-7 ATS last 10 at home. Tolzien complees 65% of his passes and has statiscally is better then Pryor right now, and Im a Pryor fan. Wisconsin has a better offense then State period. In the past 10 meetings, only in '07 and '00 did State ever win by more then 17. This reminds me alot of the Navy game Ohio St had earlier this year (31-27 W, Buckeyes fav by -22), Wisc may be able to pull off the upset. Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State. Take the Badgers.
The Play: WISCONSIN (+16.5)
2.
BOSTON COLLEGE(4-1, 3-1 ATS) @ NO. 5 VIRGINIA TECH(4-1, 2-3 ATS)
Line: VIRGINIA TECH(-14)
OPINION: Like the Wisconsin/Ohio St series, recently Ive seen these games end up much closer then the 14 Vtech is fav by. BC is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. The winner of this game will have first place in the ACC and I like BC flying under the radar here. Their QB Shinskie is efficient (7tds, 2int)and will be able to manage the game against Vtech and put a few points up. The contest will truly be a battle of the defenses, and while coaching has changed at BC, the D Cordinator is still there and they will keep BC close. Vtech is a little more efficient on offense right now but Ive seen Taylor go stagnant against stout defense (ie, Nebraska)..play BC with the points
THE PLAY: BOSTON COLLEGE (+14)
3.
MICHIGAN(4-1, 3-2 ATS) @ NO. 14 IOWA(5-0, 3-1 ATS)
Line: IOWA (-8)
OPINION: I'm from Nebraska, so I get to see alot of Iowa, as well as Michigan, and I'm not sure why Iowa is fav by 8 here. They had to pull off a special teams miracle to beat Northern Iowa, and beat Arkansas St by 3, both these games @ home. Underdog is 7-1 ATS last 8 meetings. I do like Stanzi from Iowa but he will turn the ball over (8tds, 7ints to date). Michigan has also won 8 of the past 10 meetings straight up. I think it'll be a low scoring game, the Hawkeyes won't be able to keep Forcier out all night, even with the good defense. Michigan off the heart breaker to MSU will get things back on track here and get back in the hunt for the Big 10 title.
The Play: MICHIGAN (+8)
4. KANSAS ST(3-2, 2-2 ATS) @ TEXAS TECH(3-2, 2-2 ATS)
Line: TEXAS TECH(-16)
OPINION: Against Im in Big 12 country so I see both these teams, and these are not the Wildcats that had Ell Roberson and Sproles in the backfield. This year KST has beaten UMASS (they play football?) a measly 21-17..lost to UL-LAFAYETTE on the road 15-17, went to UCLA and put up 9 points going down 23-9, and barely beat a terrible Iowa St team..Tech has won the last two meetings for 30, and 39 points.
KANST 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings. TXTech Potts QB is out but their backup Steveb Sheffiel is nice and capable I saw him come off the bench and move them, threw for 300 yds and 4 yds in a little over a half..Tech blows em out.
THE PLAY: TEXAS TECH (-16)
5. KENTUCKY(2-2, 1-3 ATS) @ SOUTH CAROLINA(4-1, 4-1 ATS)
Line: SOUTH CAROLINA(-9.5)
OPINION: The more I looked at this game the more I liked it, I got to see Kentucky get killed by Florida and then handled by Alabama, it doesn't look to good for them in confrence this year, and I see the Carolina game as no different. Spurrier's something like 18-0 alltime vs Kentucky, and I just don't see how Kentucky puts points up here. SC beat a good, under the radar NC State team in the opener, then lost a heartbreaker to GA, if not for that they'd be a top 10 program with the win over then #4 Ole Miss. SC averaging 370+ ypg with a defense that will want to look as dominant at Florida and Bama did. Kentucky has been giving up 35 ppg and over 400 ypg there past 3 contests. I like the Gamecocks.
THE PLAY: SOUTH CAROLINA (-9.5)
I have a few other leans I'll be posting as well later on..