CLE+3
BAL+1.5
NYG-7
MIN-10.5
WAS+11
OAK+9.5
CLE+3
BOL.
3rd profitable week in a row now (Okay, I start my week on a Sunday just to be clear). Hope we keep this going! Here's my thoughts:
Orlando Magic@Toronto Raptors
Still thinking on whether I'dpull the trigger on this one. Afternoon games has been the Raptors' (and the dogs') thing (possibly the UNDER as well). Orlando is also coming off a one-sided win against the Celtics. I don't see any mismatch in any position in this one nor do I see any advantage in schedule. When things like this comes I'd usually would study the line movement before making any play. I can't remember the real stat but I think I vaguely remember DOGs taking Sunday Afternoon game. Again, sleeping on this one before making any bet.
Boston Celtics -9
I was hoping they'd lose to Orlando so I can back them on their next game. New York had 2 game winning streak and to top that, both on the road. So far they look a step slower on the defensive end when playing back to back (not that they do really put up any real defense or anything). Boston always bounce back from a HOME loss (check last season's stat). Last game was their worst offensive performance in the season and look for them to do things the right way in this game.
Indiana Pacers +2 / ML
I really don't know what's wrong with this line. I'm a bit biased with the Cats and would play them at home but they are coming from a 3 game road trip and will be playing the first game at home (also Cap'n Jax' first game). Another thing that caught my attention here is that this line reminds me of Saturday's NYK+2@NJN. Playing the team that looks better on paper here.
Miami Heat -8.5
Perfect spot to back the Heat here. They just dropped 3 in a row and will be going against the over achieving CP3-less Hornets team, winning 3 in a row already. Not to mention they are also on a 3-4 format playing the 3rd game after that Hawks win. Look for the Heat to redeem themselves here and push to improve that 7-5 card.
Phoenix Suns -10.5
Detroit heart breaking loss after playing four solid quarters only to fall short in OT. Detroit also playing back to back and the last game on the road before taking a breather then hosting the Cavs. Phoenix got a few days off before hosting Memphis so no real angle not to back a rested Phoenix team. All angles here points to fading Detroit. This should be a pretty solid play.
OKC@LA Lakers -10
What scares me is that they are a pretty public team and bettors all over would look at this game to make up for their NFL/NHL/NBA losses. Then again, what's not to like with the Lakers? They are at home and Gasol is now back in the lineup. They've also outplayed the Thunders in their last 10 matchups (then again only covering 4 of 10). OKC has been am ATS friendly team going 8-5 while the Lakers has been a nice FADE material at 5-7.
BOL.
We played too many games yesterday. Some action junky bug got to me. I'm going to be more conscious with the numbers we play now.
Memphis Grizzlies -3.5
Backing them again tonight after that nice win in Philadelphia. Bucks will feel Bogut's loss in this game against a tall Memphis front court. Both teams on a 3-4 setup giving the home team slight advantage over the red hot Jennings-lead team.
New Orleans Hornets +6
Not yet pulling the trigger but this gives me that PHO@NOH feeling again but this time we don't see the public banging the other side hard. As I type this, the consensus favors the home team slightly at 55%. Hawks playing 3-4 setup and playing the 3rd game after runnning up and down the court against Houston. I haven't seen the Hornets play live ever since they booted Scott so I really can't say much yet. I'm sleeping on this one and watching the line go.
Denver Nuggets -9
4-0 at home against a 2-4 Chicago team who is yet to pick up from where they've left off in the playoffs. I think the pressure is getting to this young team that's why they aren't meshing well. Denver's just too good at home and it's either they cover or flat out lose. Denver isn't really performing well off b2b games (2-2 ATS) but Chicago's pretty bad after a day of rest (1-4 ATS). This should be a scoring contest which Denver should easily win. Chicago sure do wish they have someone as potent coming off the bench like Ben Gordon.
BOL.
4-2 Thursday. We're beastin putting it up to 21-12 this week 2 more days to go before the week end. I'm not into the cards this Friday so do drop a line or two on what you think on games. Chalky Friday:
Milwaukee Bucks -5.5
I didn't see this coming. I couldn't imagine the day I'd be putting money on a favored Bucks team. Anyway, Charlotte's playing the last of a 3 game trip. They should feel a bit fatigue and would want to get this over with to go home. 0-6 on the road against a pretty legit team in the early goings with a 5-1 home card. I'm giving Cap'n Jack a couple more games before I seriously consider the Cats to be anything. He looks like he's meshing well in this team. Anyway, Bogut is listed probable but I think he'll play. Him playing healthy is one of the key to this Bucks' record (of course BJ is a stud). I still view the Cats as the better team here. Letting this one sleep before considering any real unit play.
Dallas Mavericks -11.5
Sacramento Kings back to reality. Mavs slams them at home and that's probably it. Mavs blow teams at home when they win except for that Spurs game that went to OT. Dallas being ATS-friendly should help as well.
Portland Trailblazers -9.5
First game after 4 or more road games for the Warriors. I don't see anyone capable in this team anymore. The OVER could have had some value if S.Jackson is still with them. They may even have a hard time hitting 100 here. Too many injuries and no real front court should be costly for the Warriors against a pretty solid Roy-lead team. Also going against that 4 straight covers by the Warriors.
Denver Nuggets -8
Fading the clips. Do we need any other reason to bet against them?
BOL.
We were bad ass going 6-2 NBA Wednesday. 17-10 this week so far. I appreciate all you folks dropping by the thread and sharing your insights here. Anyway, let's aim for some more winnings today!
Phoenix Suns -6
Still fading the CP3-less Hornets.
Utah Jazz@San Antonio Spurs UNDER 202
No real leans with the side yet but I'm feeling the Jazz to cover. Anyway, both teams playing back to back. Jazz went up and down the court against the Raptors and the Spurs going to OT against the Mavs. Fatigue should kick in from both teams. When I look at the stats everything seem to scream OVER. Past season series screams OVER, O/U Record screams over, consensus screams over, etc, etc... LOL. Talk me out of this. The first thing I looked at in this matchup is both team's performance on the 2nd game of a b2b. Both team seem to find it hard to score. Spurs gets an average of 178.5 points in two back to back games they had this season (against Chi and Por). Utah, on the other hand, averages a total of 195.5points in their two b2b games (DAL and CLE).
Los Angeles Lakers -9.5 (Possibly the OVER 191 as well)
I've earned some from fading the Lakers this season already. I think I'll be earning more siding them now. You all know too well that taking the Lakers after that beat down they received from Houston is one good bet (although they showed signs of let down when they're up a couple in that Detroit game). Anyway, simple capping method here. I'm siding with the better team and them Lakers are pretty bad ass at home!
BOL.