MIA -3.5 OVER
TOR +10 OVER
Went 2-1 last night, now 10-4. Granted, I JUST started posting...and I don't post all the time (so take it as you will). ALSO, would like to note that 2 of the losses were to the Mavs, which I've been tailing and HOPING for a loss ATS (I'm no rookie, but I know how UDDERLY STUPID that was of me)
STILL... .701, and looking to gain some fans! !
Notable picks last night--CHAR, BOS
for your BANKROLL'S sake!
They are not shaping-up to the second-half (of the season) team that many people were predicting....or hoping for. Yeah, Dirk was just "this or that" or, "Lamar JUST came back" but please don't make excuses for them. Heck, Dallas sports radio has given them plenty of grief (still do, STILL WILL). From the trades of Chandler and Barea, to their new punchline Odom.
But let's keep it up-to-date, and focus on the betting angle. Going into tonight's game vs the Jazz, the Mavs had one-third of their current "9-in-12" streak completed. And surprisingly, they were 0-3 SU AND ATS!!! I marked my concern for this back on 2/28, when they were going to host the Nets (+10.5). I made it a point to say "hey, @MEM tomorrow night...looking ahead" And though Dirk left with the back problems (2Q), the Mavs managed to have their biggest quarter WITHOUT him (3Q). Infact, they won the 2nd half out-right...but still came up with a SU loss.
vs NETS L1 (margin -11.5)
vs GRIZZ L11 (margin -9.5)
vs HORNETS L5 (margin -12)
vs JAZZ W6 (margin -1.5)
In my opinion, the Nets were just fresh and had the prospect of getting some defensive players back that night. And like I mentioned before, the Grizzlies were just hungrier and had more to play for (establishing a playoff spot). So even with the pathetic road-tripping Jazz in town, it was already looking to me like -7.5 was too much to turn down. Granted, the Jazz practically shot themselves outta the gym at 44%...but the Mavs did only the slightest better. And yes, there were TWO very late 3's that got the cover...but couldn't you see it coming??? Congrats to Dirk on his 40 in 29min, but I think he was in for atleast 2-5 more minutes than expected/hoped for, considering the back problem.
My point is this; they are now HALF way through the streak, but in very bad shape. The "it's just the Jazz" mentality came through with several turnovers late. A Mav fan may cheer, but a Mav backer must be reeling.
Up next, the Western-Conference LEADING Thunder...who subsequently lost tonight too. The Thunder want to impress the home crowd, as well maintain the gap between the late-gaining Spurs.
I'm not calling for a total LOSE-OUT second half by the Mavs, but rather I'm excited that I've called it spot-on thus far. I am looking forward to going 6-0 as they have the Thunder next B2B with the Knicks (who spanked em -9 margin). Of course, either game could miss....and I'd probably become the next posting casualty on Covers...but I hope that I've atleast reached/convinced/persuaded/pushed enough people to FADE THE MAVS!!!!!!!!
3/3 last night...4/4 previous...let's see:
*no strong feelings on tonight's card-just wanna air that now*
OKC/ORL - UNDER 192 (early morning,like 193 even moreso now)
MINN - +4.5 (again, early morning pic...leaning towards UNDER here too)
SAC +4.5 (like the squad, willing to spend on the spread)
Washington HUSKIES -6, UNDER 126
SACRED HEART +8.5 (Long Island is perfect @ home, but SH is fresh and ready to score) Try a few $ on the ML +330
-Cavs/Celts OVER 182 (b2)
-Sixers/Pistons OVER 183
-Nets/Mavs UNDER 189
T A&M +5.5 (b1)
lean towards OVER 118 (b2)