I like the over 8.5 at -155
Molina will pressure and he has good power but DeMarco has underrated slickness with good distance (works behind jab), decent headmovement, technically smart footwork, and sharp punching. For all his power, Molina's punches are too easy to see coming. If the fight does turn into a brutal war DeMarco is battlehardened and still in his physical prime with the heart of a pridefull Mexican champion. I'd put money on DeMarco but I know Molina will be the one pressing forward and the fight is in Molina's home state. Not worth the risk at -300.
I like the over, however Molina takes a great shot and he could possibly overwhelm DeMarco with his pressure, determination, and power down the stretch. Also I could see Molina's face getting busted up (especially his big nose) and the docter stops it on cuts. Trust me that with Molina's determination and DeMarco's sharp punches, this fight will get extremely bloody down the stretch.
Props aren't yet available for this fight, but if they were I'd bet heavy on the over with a safety bet on Molina ITD at plus oods.
What were the odds on Demarco-Linares? I didn't bet but I definitely would have taken Linares big (and lost).
Any predictions on Demarco-Rios odds? There's a market for that fight at either HBO or Showtime so I see it as a very likely possibility. I'm predicting Rios -190. He's been the favorite in every fight since Peterson.
At + 440 Antillon is good value. He was a point away from a draw with Soto (who is an underratedboxing genius). Rios has a sloppy defense but makes up for it with relentlesness, similar to Antillon. Neither fighter really impresses me and some seem to think Antillon can't hurt Rios. But Antillon's left hook to the liver is one of the most brutal punches in the business.
Antillon is definately worth a little tickle.
GREAT fight regardless. It can't help but be a war!
I thought Maidana barely edged out the fight but Morales surprised me. Even in his prime he couldn't shoulder roll the way he did tonight. That shit simply isn't taught in Mexico so I'm sure he picked it up himself with nonstop sparring.
BTW maybe one of the most educated right hands in the history of boxing. I love Morales.
- Khan still relies too much on his footwork for defense. He'd put his hands up at times Pacquiao style, and just like Pacquiao he'd get hammered with uppercuts. Where is the head movement? Counterpunching? He's got the best trainer and sparring partners in the world right? I personally got caught up in the "Khan is deveoping into a worldbeater" hype and unloaded big on Khan. I won but he doesn't impress me.
- Ortiz is stupid for not realizing that he is a beast at 140. He rehydrated to 154 I believe, and he has always shown bone crunching power, but yet he allows himself to get outboxed. Ortiz was at his best when he was a pure killer. I really do feel that Ortiz is one of the hardest lb-4-lb punchers in the sport.
- Lamont Peterson has 2 bad marks on his record but I think he has a complete game and can trouble ANYBODY at 140. Khans reach and speed would give him trouble though.
- I stated in another forum that I was going with all the favorites on HBO and Showtime to win their fights. Agbeko proved me wrong however. Agbeko last night versus Perez and last year versus Darchiniyan showed that in addition to great heart and conditioning, he has a great boxing IQ (lateral movement, counter-punching, shot selection, timing). I won't ever underestimate him again.
I hope others post their post-fight analysis as well so we can look back and make better decisions in the future.