I really cant believe im getting this price on LSU.
To me this looks like a straight up mismatch sytlistically.
LSU is going to be able to pound the ball all day with Ware and Ford. Did you see what Megget from Maryland did to that West Virginia defence last week? I really dont see anyway WV is going to be able to stop the run. LSU's offensive line should really bully WV's and create lanes all day for those two guys to run thru. Sure theres going to be times where Lee will have to step up and make a big throw but for the most part I think LSU is going to run and then run some more and im not sold on WV's ability to stop them.
On the other side of the ball WV wants to throw all day but that aint going to fly against the team with prolly the best corners in all of college football. Im not even sure Smith will have much time to throw and LSU is going to make WV's offensive line look very similar to Oregons and they will be in Geno's face all day. WV has shown me nothing running the ball the past 2 weeks to make me think they will be able to pound the ball against this beastly defence.
I guess it comes down to this. I can easily come up with a way that LSU can score the ball (run) but I cant come up with a way that West Virginia can. Oregon is a much better team then WV imo and LSU make them look silly. I think this will be a routinely easy win for LSU but there offence does scare me so Im not messing around with the -6.5 seeing LSU has a bad habit of playing tight games and dont want a late meaningless TD to fuck me over and the ML price is pretty good for this spot.
950$ to win $413
Better finishing position
Canada -250 vs USA +175
Lets be honest. There really isnt much comparison quality wise when you compare to two possible rosters (There #1 center prolly wouldnt even make Canada). Add in home ice, smaller rink (which will favour a big Canadian team) and the fact that this USA team is basically going thru a rebuilding process and I think this is pretty much a slam dunk. Brian Burke has even mentioned in interviews this summer that his team is going to be young and on paper cannot matchup against the likes of Canada or Russia and that he also knows this team isnt going to be as strong as ones in the past.
Anything is possible but if all the teams in the tournament play up to there top potential, I think the only team that can beat the Canadians is Russia (Maybe Sweden but not likely). I also wouldnt be one bit suprised to see a little bias reffing go in Canadas favour this tournament.