After taking Kansas State last night, I'm all over UCONN tonight.
UCONN will roll over USF tonight. There defense is much better than USF's and they return 10 starters from last year. Basically the same group the held USF to 228 yards last season.
As for concerns on the offense for UCONN, the defense the will face tonight is not even close to what they have faced this year in BYU and Boise State.
UCONN will win this game by at least 2 touchdowns.
I want you to take UCONN tonight, find me on here tomorrow, and then thank me for the early sleep you will be getting because this game will be over by halftime.
The Falcons are a much better team than the Bucs. Both teams come in needing a win and I can't see Tampa getting one or even coming close. I understand that Atlanta's defense is awful, but there offense should be able to control the clock.
Tampa will be without McCoy, Foster, and maybe Clayborn and Johnson. That is too much to miss up the middle to stop the run, as we saw with Seattle facing the Packers. McCoy had a great two games thus far and is very important to their defense. With him gone it puts more pressure on the secondary having to put an extra man in the box to stop the run, which most likely will be Barron. What that does is leave a void in the deep part of the field on play action, which Matt Ryan is very efficient running.
Tampa should put up points on the weak defense of Atlanta, but ultimately it will be the voids on Tampa's defense that decides the game. Atlanta is too good at home, and the power on the outisdes will be too much for Tampa.
The Atlanta Falcons are the play tonight - 6.
The Mets and the Marlins are basically playing for pride the rest of the way. However, the two pitchers tonight, Alavarez and Gee, have contracts to play for. Both pitchers signed one year deals this offseason and look to cash in next year. Both are young, but Gee will command a bigger deal of the two.
Gee has pitched better as of late giving up 3 or less runs in his last 4 starts. He does walk a fair amount of batters though as he has walked at least one batter in 18 of his 20 starts. However, in their last 5 games since Stanton has been out, the Marlins strikeout totals have risen and their walks have diminished by almost 2 per game compared with their season averages. On top of that, Gee has very good number against the Marlins, holding them to a .224 average throughout his career. He is also 3-0 versus the Marlins over the last two season, giving up a total of 4 runs in 20.1 innings.
The opposite can be said for Henderson Alvarez. Although he has been able to hold a low ERA for the season, he has seen that total rise since the start of August. Alvarez took some time off from an oblique strain after lasting only 2.1 innings against the Mets on September 1st. He did come back to pitch well against the Phillies, but it should be noted that he has always pitched well against the Phillies, especially this year. He won't be facing Philadelphia tonight, however. The Mets are much tougher on Alvarez yeilding 10 runs in 7.1 innings his last two times against them.
With Gee and the Mets playing better as of late and the Marlins playing uninspired ball with the loss of their best player, this game should favor New York. Alvarez is a much different pitcher away from home, and the same holds true for the Miami hitters. The Mets should be able to handle Miami's weak lineup, while getting some scoring opportunities off of Alvarez.
The play here is the Mets -120.
The San Francisco Giants are looking to keep pace with the Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League West this afternoon in Arizona. Madison Bumgarner will face off against Andrew Chafin who is making his second major league start. The two teams come into this matchup from completely different perspectives. The Giants are looking to win the division in order to avoid a one game wildcard playoff, in which they lead right now. The Diamondbacks, however, are looking to get a glimpse of the future, winning in particular in not necessarily the priority, as examplified by calling up AAA ace Chafin.
Bumgarner has quietly made his way into the Cy Young Award talks, although the possibility is weak at best considering Clayton Kershaw's phenomenal year. Bumgarner has only given up 11 runs since the start of August 9 of which have come on the road in 3 starts. However, two of those starts were against playoff teams from the American League followed by National League games, two of which were within the division. Winning is the goal every time out but league games and division games in particular hold much more weight. Bumgarner should continue his strong pitching this afternoon.
On the other side, Andrew Chafin make his second major league start after his solid outing in mid August giving up no runs on 3 hits in 5 innings against the Cleveland Indians. The reason for the call up, aside from getting a closer look against major league talent, is the fact that Chafin finished his triple A playoff run with 15 scoreless innings. His last game was a 4 hit shutout with 6 strikeouts and 0 walks.
With that said I'll take the more experienced pitcher on the better team with the entire bullpen available as the Giants have a day off tomorrow. Arizona will not manage this game for the win, rather they would like to see how their young pitcher does in the majors. This means that if Chafin gets in trouble, they will leave him in to see if he can work out of jams. Even if he gives the Diamondbacks 5 or 6 scoreless innings, the bullpen will surely be another audition for young arms.
It should be a low scoring game, but the more likely scenario is the Giants winning this game. Too much of a risk with young pitchers going for Arizona to take the under. The -180 line suggests the Giants win this game 64% of the time, I think there is good evidence that they would take this matchup more than 64%.
The play is San Francisco -180