Posted Saturday, August 01, 2015 11:25 AM
Posted Tuesday, July 21, 2015 08:51 PM
Iowa: I think tonight is the night for Suarez. 6/1 and Chase Eliott 6/1. Erik Jones has to start in the back, so I will see if his odds move once everyone figures that out. I'm guessing the 54 and 22 will be in the mix, but I like Suarez a ton tonight.
Pocono: Grabbed Truex and Kurt early at 7/1 apiece, so it looks like I might have bought a little low. Adding the 22 once the odds are up, and most likely will have to unload on the 4.
Looking to bounce back from a bad week last week. Hard to remember the last week where I was pretty much out of the running from the start.
Posted Thursday, July 16, 2015 10:39 PM
Always one of my favorite races to watch.
Austin Dillon 3/1 - Think he wins this thing fairly handily.
Erik Jones 7.5/1 - Can't remember the last time I actually got good odds on this guy in a truck race. Think he can be competitive, and maybe pull off the win.
One Indy pick so far for Sunday - Jimmie 7/1 - That number is way too high for a guy who always gets around this place well. I think this particular package is going to favor Hendrick and Stewart-Haas in a big way. You can increase the drag all you want, but the cars with the most power under the hood should dominate this thing. Cars may be closer together, but the 4 and 48 should be the class of the field. Only thing that concerns me will be the strategists doing things out of sequence and possibly pulling one off.
Xfinity cars are also using some sort of drag package this weekend as well. Probably going to have to see what happens in all of the practices to see what comes of this new setup.
Posted Thursday, July 09, 2015 10:27 PM
Kyle +225, Brad +250 - Same drill as last week. Not much profit to be made, but there is opportunity nonetheless. I don't see how one of these two doesn't win.
18 - 10/1 - This has to be the last week at double digits. He said it himself, the way to get into the Chase is to lead the most laps and win. Extra seat time in the Xfinity race is always a plus at a track like this.
41 - 10/1 - Back to the regular rules package, and Kurt has easily been one of the top two or three cars on a weekly basis. Like Kurt on the short tracks as well.
11 - 12/1 - Another guy in the Xfinity race with the ability to get around the short tracks.
19 - 20/1 - Pretty sure I wasted my money on this one, but I can see him pull something out of his backside.
2 and 22 should be strong, but I think the four I took will have much lower odds on Sunday morning. 15 and 42 to finish top 3 may be worth a look as well.
Posted Thursday, June 04, 2015 09:51 PM
Been looking forward to this race for awhile. I think we get back to some decent racing instead of this single file garbage we've been seeing of late.
Another reason I am really looking forward to this weekend, is that I think I have this one pegged pretty solidly. This is Brad Kesolowski's race on Saturday night. You take away the advantage that the 4, 41 and 48 have over the rest of the field, and you do it a track that BK owns. Not sure what it is about the bumps on this track, but he knows how to navigate them. On top of that, look at where BK's odds opened. He hasn't been under 10/1 on the 1.5 mile tracks since the opening weeks. He's looked incredibly unimpressive over the last couple of weeks and he has relatively low odds for this upcoming race. He is running the Infinity race as well, so he is going to get the extra seat time and the Sprint Cup guys aren't getting any seat time with the weather. I'll take the 8/1.
Kyle - 14/1 - Another guy running the Infinity race getting some crazy odds.
24 - 18/1 - Now his odds are just getting plain silly.
Practice will tell us a lot, so I am hoping that we at least get one round in.
Friday night - Taking BK and KB. Decent profit to be made if BK wins, and marginal profit, but profit nonetheless if KB wins.
It seems like we are all in agreement that Pocono is going to come down to some sort of strategy play. There is a driver that I think will not only have a fast car, but I think can play any strategy that is needed to get the win.
88 to win 8/1
22 to win 11/1 - Another guy that should be quick, and he seems to have learned from BK how to do that "hyper-miling."
78 top 3 5/1 - Just not sure these guys actually have what it takes to close the deal.
14 top 3 25/1 - Got this one early in the week. His odds to win the race dropped from 90/1 to 45/1.
16 top 3 30/1 - This guy is picking up speed and playing the fuel mileage game of late.
Trucks - Most likely I am late to the party, but I am taking Reddick at 5/1, and I'll go Crafton at 3/1. This should most likely be the week that Erik Jones closes the deal since I have been on him over and over with no love.