Posted Saturday, January 03, 2015 11:27 AM
Posted Thursday, September 25, 2014 10:13 PM
With the new year, the time for hitting conference moneyline dogs has come. Todays card is ugly.
Seton Hall +290
Air Force +110
St Louis +240
St Joes +180
Posted Friday, September 19, 2014 09:17 PM
Another solid week last week to bring the total to 27-10-1 for the year. Two more underdogs on the money line with Rutgers and Iowa coming through. This week I am way behind on the line moves, so my absolute must play of Boston College will move to no action. Plenty of good money to be made this week though.
New Mexico moneyline +175 – Defense will be optional, I’ll take the home conference dog.
Penn State -10 – Still not understanding why these Penn State lines are so low. They have a stout defense, and Hackenberg is a solid game manager. Not to worry though, I will keep collecting on the Lions. I really think this team has a solid chance to be undefeated heading into the MSU game.
Cal -14 – Colorado has to be one of the worst road teams in the nation. Jared Goff should be able to pick apart the Colorado defense, and I don’t see CU being able to keep up on the offensive end.
Washington +7.5 – The last couple of years, this game has been a slugfest. This year should be no different. Wanted to take the moneyline, but not certain the Huskies can close the deal.
UTSA -6 – UTSA will control the game with their defense, and their offense should be able to march up and down against the Owls.
Notre Dame – 10 – Too much talent for the Irish in this one. 31-10 Irish.
Nebraska /Illinois Over 65.5 – Another defense optional game.
Posted Friday, September 12, 2014 11:48 PM
22-8 YTD and had another solid week last week with the Iowa State money line coming in. Underdogs have been solid so far, but there are a couple of favorites that I like this week.
Penn State -26.5 – Don’t see UMass scoring more than a field goal in this one.
Michigan -3.5 – Not getting all the love for Utah. Clobbering Fresno will end up meaning nothing this year since everyone will be doing it.
Colorado -9 – Altitude and warm weather will wear down Hawaii. Think the Buffs pull away in the 2nd half. Also like the over in this game as the Buffs will be pushing the pace. Line is down to 60, and I am hoping to get a better number closer to kickoff
East Carolina -2.5 - I'll continue to ride the Pirates gravy train. Solid offense that NC will not be able to stop.
Rutgers moneyline +200 - I like this Rutgers team. I think Ralph Friedgen will continue to get the offense going in the right direction, and this defense should be good enough to hold up.
Iowa moneyline +230 – Just a hunch, but I think the Hawks will keep this one tight.
Posted Wednesday, September 03, 2014 12:51 PM
16-5 through the first two weeks, with a 5-2 week 2, and another nice moneyline hit on Northern Illinois. I saw a ton of games that I liked, but I narrowed it down to the following:
Iowa State +12 – I don’t think the Iowa model of offense is going to work. Two QB’s and running backs rotating, won’t allow an offense to flow. No consistency, and lack of speed at any position on offense, will be the downfall of the Hawkeyes. Might be time to replace the coach as well.
The Cyclones stunned me with the effort that they put in versus KSU. At times, they actually looked like they had some talent. I think the speed on offense should be enough to keep them in the game. If the Cyclones limit the mistakes, I think they take this one.
Iowa State money line +330
East Carolina +10 – Looking for a bit of a letdown from Va. Tech. I think facing an uptempo, spread offense when you are in a possible letdown spot is a recipe for disaster.
Central Michigan Money line +170
South Carolina +7 – Wanted to take the moneyline, but I’ll take the home dog with the points. I think Texas A & M and East Carolina are bad matchups for most of the country, so I am not sold on SC being as bad as they look. Georgia would be best off playing uptempo, but I think this game turns into a grinder in the trenches. Won’t be shocked if SC pulls out the win.
NMSU/UTEP under 57
Nebraska/Fresno over 62
Solid Week 1 with an 11-3 record, and a couple of nice underdog moneyline wins with Temple, Rutgers and Colorado State getting it done. Week 2 is the toughest weekend to cap in my opinion because it is easy to label a team based off of the one week of action. There are teams that are not as good as they looked, and there are teams that are not as bad as they looked. I think for this week, I have found the team that is as bad as it looked, and the team that is as good as it looked.
Iowa State once again appears to be a bad team, and this upcoming matchup with Kansas State is a really bad one for the Cyclones. It appears that the weakness of the Clones is their run defense. Now they have KSU coming in, fresh off of 51 rush attempts in their last game. What also intrigues me about Kansas State is the fact that they actually put up a ton of pass attempts last week. This is almost becoming a balanced offense. I think with this newfound "balance," KSU will get their standard four and five yard rushes, but they will break this game wide open with their passing attack. Tyler Lockett was too quiet last week. I think this week he gets behind the ISU secondary a couple of times with the play action attack.
Once KSU gets into the lead, I see no way that ISU can get back into this one. Sam Richardson just can’t move the ball down the field consistently. If you subtract the 48 yard pass to Lazard, Richardson had 19 completions for 103 yards. A five yard passing average is not going to get points on the board. Not to mention the fact that he is more than capable of tossing a few interceptions at crucial times. With Richardson not being feared, I think we will see KSU load the box and completely shut down the run. I am comfortable in saying that this should be exactly like the NDSU game was last week. ISU will just not be able to hold up to KSU and its balance, and the Wildcats leave with a 20 point win.
Auburn is on deck for KSU, but I think this is one scenario where having old man Snider as the coach will be huge. I think he makes it clear that the Auburn game becomes meaningless if they lose this one on Saturday.