Odds for the Sprint Unlimited and Daytona 500 are up.
Going back to some of the older rules packages, and I think this gives us an opportunity to get some of the old restrictor plate studs at some large odds.
Junior - 6/1 (25.00)
Denny 15/1 (25.00)
Tony 20/1 (20.00)
Jamie Mac 25/1 (20.00)
Looking forward to this season. I really think Carl Edwards benefits from the new rules package. Also think the racing will be much better.
As a CSU fan, I looked at this game when I first saw the schedule and figured it would be a close game, which the Rams would end up winning. This was when I thought UNM was going to be a two or three win team.
Now that it is clear that the Lobos are at least decent. This game begins to get scary. Colorado State is easily one of the most undisciplined teams in the nation, and it shows with the turnovers and penalties. Turnovers and penalties have not been a part of CSU football in recent years, but this year, they are the key to a couple of losses.
Colorado State is usually decent against the triple option, but the triple option they usually go against has a slow QB (Air Force and New Mexico in previous years). This year, they go against a much quicker QB than normal in Lamar Jordan. If they end up seeing a lot more of Apodaca, then they will have to worry about a passing threat, which usually doesn't exist too much in this game.
Additionally, Pressley is going to put a ton of pressure on the CSU defense. What was a decent match up for the Rams, now has become quite tricky.
On offense, the Rams are starting to click much better than in the beginning of the season. I see UNMs defense as comparable to that of UNLV. Colorado State shredded UNLV last week, and I think they should be able to move the ball at will, but Nick Stevens has to be careful with the ball. Turning the ball over today will lead to a CSU loss.
New Mexico can win out and go to the Mountain West championship game. What they have been doing is truly remarkable. Winning back to back games as a double digit dog is insanely rare. I think the Lobos take the momentum from the last couple of weeks and steal one from the Rams in a shootout.
Lobos Moneyline +105
Lobos Moneyline and over 57.5 parlay
and very large on CSU/UNM over 57.5 - I see this game getting into the upper 70s. I'll go ahead and call this my play of the year.
Purdue +260 - Nebraska waits until they go on the road in conference to switch QBs. I think Purdue can control this game with the run. I am one who believes Tommy Armstrong was not the problem at Nebraska, but I will gladly fade this Fyfe guy.
Colorado State +140 - If CSU can limit the turnovers, which seems to be a big if, they can win this game. SDSU could easily win this game if they go through the air, but they will want to run and run, and I think that comes back to bite them today.
Georgia +130 - This is like the OU/Texas rivalry. The team that is supposed to win never does. Throw out the records and throw out what you think should happen. It is my understanding that Georgia's new QB cant throw the ball too well, so it will be interesting to see them move the ball.
NC State - +350 - I know Clemson is going to play a stinker of a game somewhere along the line. I'll take this sandwich spot as the game they lay an egg.
Miami +380 - Call it the cancer remission theory, or new coach theory, but I like the Canes in this spot. They still have the superior athletes to this Duke team. Tons of emotion spent by the Dukies last weekend, and the Canes could not have looked worse.
Last weekend was solid with a three team underdog moneyline parlay hit in the NFL, and then hitting Kenseth in the race that afternoon. Thought I would take some of the winnings and unload on Kenseth to win the title. When it comes to the races left, these 1.5 milers are going to favor the 20 team. No reason to think Kenseth doesn't win either Kansas or Charlotte to get to the next round. Being strong at Talladega doesn't hurt either.
No reason to think Kenseth can't win Texas, and by then, it should really be down to the 20, 22, 48 and 11. I can't see him losing to any of those drivers at Homestead.
One huge wrinkle could be if the 4 wins this weekend. I am really thinking of adding the 4 for $100 and taking my chances. I think there are so many teams thinking that they can't let the 4 win this weekend that we see some serious strategy on the final run of the race. Everybody knows keeping the 4 out of victory lane this weekend guarantees a much easier path to the cup. I think the 20 team benefits the most from the 4 being knocked out.
Kenseth to win the Cup $250.00 to win $1,250.00