Last Night: 5-5-1 (-6.5 units)
Week: 8-5-1 (+23.5 units)
WGC Accenture Match Play Championhip Second Round Matchups
Phil Mickelson (-160) over Stuart Appleby to win 10 units
Steve Stricker (-135) over Hunter Mahan 10 units
Charles Howell (-125) over Colin Montgomerie 10 units
Yesterday turns out to be a lose-the-juice day. Mike Weir just didn't get it done but the rest of the day almost entirely recouped that 30 unit loss. Biggest basketball play hits easily on New Orleans.
We'll start today with a trifecta of matchups in the 2nd round of the match play. Two out of three will equal a winning start to the day and that is what we are looking for as we look towards the NCAA slate tonight.
Phil Mickelson and Steve Stricker are two of the best four players in the world who both played close matches yesterday that probably scared people who were laying the heavy wood. Now, they are slighter favorites and I can't pass up the chance that they will play better and cruise into the Sweet 16.
Charles Howell has been playing solid golf this year and I'll make a play that he will do enough to beat a match-play specialist like Monty.
Back later with the hoops.
Last Night: 3-0 +30 units (golf pending)
New Orleans (-3) over Dallas 15 units
New Jersey/Chicago Under 188.5 10 units
Ole Miss (-1) over Miss. St. 10 units
VCU (-3.5) over Northeastern 10 units
Arkansas/LSU under 137.5 10 units
SMU (+14) over Southern Miss 5 units
St. John's (+9) over Marquette 5 units (bought .5 pts)
Dallas has been a poor road team all year. Now, they need to break in an entire new rotation and catch only 3 against the West's best? Doesn't add up. New Orleans will be rested and ready and should win easily.
New Jersey and Chicago are two of the six lowest scoring teams in the league. Now, Kidd departs and they face each other. This looks to be an ugly affair.
Ole Miss has been brutal of late and don't figure to win many more games this year. If they are going to make anyone any money any time soon, it will be as a 1 point favorite over their rival at home. They will get it done.
VCU is coming off a loss and is motivated. NU is hot and usually plays dogfight type games in the 50s. I don't think they will be able to have their will vs. the league's best team.
LSU is tough to figure total-wise. They can play in the 40s, they can play in the 80s. However, they enter a hostile environment tonight and, with Arkansas needing a win, figure to either be squashed or hope to make it ugly. Either way, it stays under the total.
A couple five dimers on two teams who appear to be getting just a few too many points round out the action. Note I will risk 6 units to win 5 on the Johnnies to push that up to 9.
Last Night: 3-0, +30 units
Accenture Match Play Championships First Round Plays
(All plays are in amount to win units)
Mike Weir (-200) over Arron Oberholser 15 units
Justin Leonard (-125) over Geoff Ogilvy 10 units
Anders Romero (-115) over Retief Goosen 10 units
Shingo Katayama (+125) over Trevor Immelman 5 units
Accenture Match Play Championship - To Win Tournament Plays
Scott Verplank (60-1) risking 1 unit to win 60
Martin Kaymer (60-1) risking 1 unit to win 60
A solid 3-0 start last night with nothing really in doubt. Minnesota cruised, Indy St. flew over the total and Baylor lost a heartbreaker in overtime, easily covering the 6. Things can only go downhill from here.
It's time for Golf's February Madness, an event that just begs action, beginning this morning in Arizona. 64 runners that will need to play 7 winning rounds in 5 days to claim this WGC.
Mike Weir is one of the strongest plays i have ever had in this tournament. Arron Oberholser has taken a WD in the two tournaments he has played thus far and decided to play here to pick up the quick Wednesday paycheck. He is on record as saying it is likely he will be blown out in the first round, as he is in incredible pain. Weir might be a favorite in this matchup anyway, but this shoves it over the top and Weir will cruise.
Justin Leonard as a slight favorite against Geoff Ogilvy tells me all I need to know about this matchup. If someone was looking to get some easy money down on this tournament, they would likely look at Ogilvy after guys like Tiger and Phil. Ogilvy is 11-1 in his career here and has been in the final the last two years. The fact that he is an underdog shows just how poorly he has been playing, while Justin Leonard has been sharp of late.
Reteif Goosen is no longer the top 5 player he once was. In fact, he has done next to nothing since Augusta last year. He finished bottom of the barrel in his one PGA start this year and really should be an underdog, even to a guy like Romero. Getting even money is a gift.
I'll make a small 4 unit bet on Shingo knowing that Trevor Immelman is still trying to fight back from that nasty parasite that ruined his year last year.
Can't help taking a few chances on longshots to win in this format and I'll take two guys of different ilks: Verplank, the veteran matchplay specialist and Kaymer, the young unknown. At 60-1, it's worth the shot.
Back later with the roundball.
I've been looking for a place to keep track of how I do on my plays throughout all sports. I saw the post about starting a blog and figured I would give it a whirl. I am going to post all my plays on this site. I am going to start with a 1000 unit bankroll with a 10 dime play being the average play.
Minnesota +3 10 units
Indiana St/Wichita St. Over 122 10 units
Baylor +6 10 units
I thought Minnesota would be a slight favorite in this game. Minnesota has been better of late and has recently been taking care of business against the teams that they should beat at home. I don't rate Philly's talent much better than the 'Wolves so if I can catch 3 points with the home team, I have to take it.
Indiana State has been scoring points in their last 5 and have been playing their best ball off the conference season with consecutive home wins over a surging Bradley team and Illinois State. They have been playing games into the 70's (including a 125 result with the Shockers last week) and I think at home, they will force Wichita to score some points. I could see the Sycs blowing out Wichita tonight but I like the total better than giving the 5.
Baylor and Oklahoma is a gigantic game for both teams in looking towards the postseason. The Bears have lost 3 straight, 2 of which were against the league's elite. Oklahoma meanwhile is coming in riding a 2 game winning streak. Add in Oklahoma's win in Waco and linesmakers are charging an excessive 6 points to bet on the Sooners. These teams are very even. I would be shocked if this isn't a close game late in the second half. I could see Baylor stealing one, but I'm definitely happy to have the 6 points.