Curry will not play tonight. He stepped on Ed Davis' foot driving to the hoop and re-aggravated his ankle injury, the same ankle and knee he have been hobbling on for the past weeks. Just ask Brandon Rush how it feels to land awkwardly on the same feet over and over again.
Informed bettors will still bet on the Warriors because they know that Jarrett Jack have been a viable backup all season long.
This is where my mojo charts come in handy.
Mavericks team mojo:
Warriors team mojo:
Jarrett Jack have a bad C- rating tonight so i don't expect him to be a factor in place of Curry. Plus i think the Mavericks bench is better than the Warriors', or will be for tonight's game.
The Mavericks are playing a better brand of basketball at the moment although they're alternating wins and losses. At the beginning of the season they were 3-5 ATS on the road. Since December until now they are 10-5 ATS in their road games.
Recommended play: Mavericks +3 & Moneyline
P.S. It's TNT Thursday prime time. The best days for underdogs to win straight-up.
Sunday, December 16, 2012N.Y. Giants at Atlanta Falcons, 1:00 PM ET
Its Week 15 and the Falcons at 11-2 and are guaranteed a playoff spot as they have the NFC South wrapped up. Meanwhile the Giants only have a 1 game lead over rivals Washington and Dallas. Its entirely possible that the NFC East end up in a 3-way tie. And what if the Redskins end the season with a 10-6 record? -- and the Giants 9-7? The Giants must take care of business this week as they have another formidable foe awaiting them in Week 16.
Atlanta have only played 3 teams with a winning record thus far: Week 2 when they beat the 1-0 Broncos, Week 3 when they demolished the 2-0 Chargers, and Week 12 when they won but pushed the -1 spread against the Buccaneers.
The Giants beat the 1-0 Buccaneers in Week 2, the 2-1 Eagles in Week 4, the 4-1 49ers in Week 6, and the 7-3 Packers in Week 12.
The Giants won the Super Bowl last year and you know what that means? -- they’ll have the toughest 2012 schedule. The Giants get to play 7 quality opponents this season including Atlanta this Sunday and upcoming Baltimore.
The Falcons were a playoff team last year but still got a favorable schedule in 2012. Their strength of schedule is ranked 24th (out of 32) as they only play 4 quality opponents. Atlanta’s 11-2 resume isn’t that remarkable when you realize they swept the weak AFC West.
Here are the 3 reasons why i’ll be backing the Giants:
1) Urgency. Not necessarily motivation. Each team will come onto the field with their own motivation. The Giants have division rivals at their heels. The Falcons are thinking about home-field and revenge from last season’s playoff.
2) A more balanced attack, a better rushing attack. The Giants gain 4.5 yards per rush and the Falcons allow 4.9 yards per rushing attempt. The Falcons average 3.7 yards per rush and the Giants allow opponents to rush for 4.7 yards per attempt. David Wilson is the Giant’s ace-in-the-hole. He is averaging 5.1 yards per carry.
3) Defensive pressure. The Giants are +16 on takeaways; the Falcons have a +6 turnover ratio. We’ve all heard it by now: Atlanta’s defense is not physical enough. The Giants defense is 2nd in the NFL in forcing turnovers. 17 of the team’s 31 sacks come from Jason Pierre-Paul, Osi Umenyiora, Chris Canty and Justin Tuck. Meanwhile, the Giant’s superb O-Line should be able to contain John Abraham, the Falcon’s leader in sacks.
4) Talking about O-Line and sacks. The Giants have only allowed 15 sacks, the fewest in the league. Matt Ryan have been sacked 24 times. To put that into perspective, the Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers have the worse offensive line in the league in regards to sacks allowed. Kolb, Skelton and Lindley have been sacked 51 times combined. Aaron Rodgers have been sacked 42 times.
In review, i’m putting my money on the team playing with urgency, the team with a balanced attack, the team with defensive players that can bring pressure from all sides, the team with the best O-Line in the league.
10u 4-4 *** GAME OF THE MONTH ***
5u 17-3 *** GAME OF THE WEEK ***
3u 30-29 *** PICK OF THE DAY ***
315/300 Boston Celtics +6½ -105
The Celtics will cover the spread in either Game 1 or 2 or both. I'll add an extra unit for Game 2 if that doesn't happen in Game 1.
Here are my top 5 reasons why the Celtics will be competitive against the Magic and might even win the series.
1) 4 championship thoroughbred versus zero. Self explanatory.
2) Ray Allen will be the x-factor for the Celtics in this series. Ray-Ray will be able to match the Magic's hot 3-point shooting. Orlando's defense is quite good but their weak spot is defending the 3-point shots.
3) Who will provide that extra lift for their team -- Vince Carter or Rasheed Wallace? My mojo chart says that 'Sheed will outperform VC in this series. Probably not by a big margin; but maybe a big enough difference where the Celtics can steal a game in Amway Arena.
4) Kendrick Perkins will be Superman's kryptonite. I doubt this statement myself but lets see how Dwight gets handled in this series.
5) Rajon Rondo didn't sleep with Paul Pierce's mom.
Coaching - slight edge to Boston, of course.
Bench - slight edge to the Magic, i think; but should be about even.
Cheerleaders - who knows?
10u 4-4 *** GAME OF THE MONTH ***
5u 16-3 *** GAME OF THE WEEK ***
3u 27-29 *** PICK OF THE DAY ***
306/300 Phoenix Suns -4 -102
Top 5 reasons why the Suns will win the Western Conference Semifinal:
1) Amar'e Stoudemire versus Tim Duncan and/or DeJuan Blair. Tim Duncan needs to be the x-factor for the Spurs to advance. In the previous series, Dirk Nowitzki actually out-played Tim Duncan in terms of scoring. Tim Duncan and his key sub, Dejuan Blair, will have to outscore Amar'e to keep pace with the Suns 1st ranked offense. Star powers will shine and i don't see the Spurs' defense hindering Amar'e in this round.
2) Perimeter shooting can't be underestimated for this matchup. Jared Dudley -- the best 3-point shooter in the league could really put the Spurs in the dust if he stays hot shooting the trey. The Spurs' duo 3-point threats right now are Manu and George Hill. Matt Bonner does not take that kind of shot in the play-offs and Tony Parker would rather drive and slash. Unlike the Spurs, the Suns have 5 guys that can get hot any time shooting 3-pointers. The Spurs don't have that lock-down guard defense anymore like when they had with Bruce Bowen but they still have a respectable perimeter defense. The Suns will out-score the Spurs in more ways than one but the 3-point shooting differential could be crucial.
3) Suns have the better bench. Tony Parker is the bright spot for the Spurs and thats about it. Parker needs to shine in more than just the 4th quarter to keep up with the Suns' bench scoring. I don't think i have to expand on this so i'll save my breath.
4) The Suns defense isn't that bad, folks. The Suns' FG defense is ranked 11th while the Spurs' FG defense is ranked 12th; thats as even as it gets. The Suns bench actually play pretty good defense. And that FG defense could get better because of Robin Lopez's presence.
5) Because my mojo charts say so. The same charts that told me that the Spurs would win the series over the Mavericks.
I'll put a few bills on the Suns series price at -125.
5u GOW 15-3
3u POD 26-29
Still a good time to buy off that Mavericks series wager, folks.
684/600 San Antonio Spurs -3 -110, -118
Write-up: Don't wait until 11pm tonight to realize that the Mavericks suck.