The Lions are going to be my lead team with the over. Even though they had a defense that ranked last in the league in 08', they still showed they could run with rookie K Smith and throw with C Johnson. I expect them to improve in all areas of the game. Staford has the best chance of doing a great impersionation of a certain Atlanta QB from last year.
Miami is my Under play. They have the toughest schedule in the league this year by wins and loses, they over achieved last year and Pennington isn't the true answer at QB. No true threat at WR and everyone knows the tricks up thier sleeve this year.
Those are my only two I really would pound!! Other overs I like are KC, Philly, Chicago, SF and Arizona. Unders I like NE, Dallas, TB, Carolina, Oakland and Minnesota.
GL everyone!!!! I'll see you on the threads or on your page!!!
PS....Sorry to poo-poo your Dolphins BigDaddy.....I still love those unnies!!!
The Steelers have never lost a SB. The Cards have never been there. Over half of the NFL has lost on their first trip to the SB!!! Most teams don't win the first time there.......some dynasties did. GB, SF, Pit, and a few first timer flyers like the Bears and Jets. The Steelers are playing defense in a physical, dominating way that wins championships!! Look at the NCAA championship......same cenario there! The Cards will have to play their kind of ball and play without mistakes to have a shot. I don't believe they can do it. And history is all over my side with that prediction. Go back and look at the history of first timers in the SB!!!! It will catch your attentions.
Chime in and let me know what you think. If you have some solid numbers and analysis on the game in favor of the Cards.......I would love to hear it. GL to everyone and make sure you pound the total sacks (O) 5 for the SB. It's one of the best prop bets out there this year.......live some of your favorites also, if you would.
On the surface, I see Pitt at home, in a championship game again with a more experienced QB, a more game breaking RB, and a defense that is just as good if not better than Balt. No rookie QB has ever taken a team to the SB......especially one that struggles to score points. Yet, I find myself wanting to take Balt??? Any thoughts, stats, insight or historical data or trends would be nice to hear. Just don't try to talk me out of banging on the Eagles!!
Arizona is "who we thought they are!!" To easily the betting public gets season amnesia.......you know......when you only really remember the last couple weeks of a teams performance. The public also loses the coke-bottle glasses they need sometimes and can't see things right in front of them........6 TO's last week against Carolina!!! Geez, no wonder they won the game?!?!?! Give Seatle 6 TO's and they would have pulled it out also. Carolina had more yards running and more total yards.......Zona didn't do barely anything in the second half offensively.......Zona is a soft team that needs things to go their way early to win. They need to be successful passing and protecting Warner and they need a few TO's if they are going to win. Look back across the whole of their season and look at the number of teams that smacked them by 2 or more TD's.......I believe that they have more themselves than all other three teams left combined!!! I don't recall Pitt losing by 40.......28.......or 21??? Same goes with Philly and Balt........But Zona did!!!! Think about it...........is a team that is the last NFC team in the modern era to reach the championship going to win...........the Cubs of the NFL............a team that hadn't ever won two playoff games in a row!!!!!
C'mon guys.........this is a suspect defense, a rythme offense and a team that isn't ready or earned it's way to this threshold they stand before...........But this will be a team to be accounted for over the next few years and if they stay healthy and the play of thier own division gets better..........could be back in the same position next year, if not in multiple years......but not now........not with how increadibly bad they played in 1/3 of thier games this year.......not with 6 TO's by the Eagles and a defensive collapse by Jim Johnson..........because that is the only way it will happen.......if it's given to them.........I don't think this team can earn it.
Then again......I could be wrong.........it happens.......just not as much as my wife says.
I said last week it would be the favs weekend going 3-1. If Indy didn't crap themselves on 3rd and 2 before the 2 minute warning, it would have been. I also said this week would be the weekend of the dogs......and now all 4 home and rested teams are favored by a bevy of points. Philly is a 4 point dog??? Don't they look more like the Giants of last year? SD getting 6! Doens't Pitt struggle to score more than 13 points every week? Baltimore getting 3.......they might win that game in the bottom of the ninth inning with a walk of pick by Ed Reed 7-6!!??!?? And Carolina giving anybody as many as they are makes me scratch my head. I'm not picking anything yet......I'm not sayin......I'm just sayin......ya know? Tell me what my covers bruthas think about the games. I'll have my picks posted on my page by mid morning on Saturday. I may find at least one fav I like......but I don't know for sure right now! GL to you all!!