All CBB is just a 3 point jump shooting contest now,no such thing as trying to run plays or get it inside,just picks and bombs away,not really much else going on.
They did to move the 3 point line back,this is just boring basketball,unless the team you bet on is hitting their 3s.Can't have been what they wanted when they changed it.
Never lay Chalk against K State. Everytime I do
Bill Snyder kicks my ass and about anyone who he plays. Unreral win at
OU Saturday, abd Stoops had an extra week to prepare and still got his
ass coached off.
K State second best team in the Big 12 behind West Virginia.
They pound Miami and beat OU in their own house after a bye week.
Collin Klein second best QB in the Big 12 behind Geno Smith and Bill
Snyder the best coach in the Big 12 and perhaps in the nation...and he
won that award last year.
OU's Landry Jones - Most overrated QB in the country - Bryan Leonard told me that last week on a TV show in Vegas and I agree totally now with his expert assesment.
Oregon is a machine that no one wants to play.
Unreal performance last night and BY FAR Better than USC....Best team
in the PAC 12 and maybe top 5 or 6 in the USA. Alabama's defense would
struggle to hold them to 28 or under.
Missouri might not make it to a Bowl game this year. Totally out matched in most SEC games this year that are upcoming , Arkansas the exception.
Arkansas - WTF? enough said,. Looking for a new coach ASAP...!
Ohio U and Minney undefeated
- Ohio U the better team and Frank Solich can coach...all star QB in
Telleton..Best Team in the MAC in my opinion...best coached for sure.
Georgia is a Live Dark Horse
- LSU not all that. Alabama the kinmg of ther SEC but there could be
another showing on Georgia's part for the SEC Title game. I was all
over them Saturday against Vandy. A VERY good team.
FADE IOWA all year is the line is right.....WOW!
Wisconsin overrated...look
out in Lincoln next week Badger fans. Rex Burkhead 100% back at RB for
Huskers and some serious payback in NU's mindset after Wilson crushed
them on national TV last year! QB martinez for NU throwing it like a
champ this year. Husker defense still suspect but NU sneaky good and
re-commited after UCLA loss.
Notre Dame has a team..BUT
all those turnovers and just 13 points??? Remember Air Force scored
more on Michigan in their own house than the Irish did in their own
place...be care of ND laying big numbers....remember they could not
cover 14 against Purdue....good team but if oddsmakers start making them
a public darling they will carry big numbers and taking points in this
scenario with good teams may be a prudent move.
Florida State a beast in the ACC
- Potential national title contender BASED SOLEY on their schedule -
They play 2 teams that may give them a fight. Virginia Tech (maybe) and
Florida is better than advertised. They beat them and you are looking
at a potential #1 team undefeated. They are a great team and Brent
Vennables (from Oklahoma fame) at defensive coordinator showed his
prowess in the second half of that Clemson game last night with his in
game adjustements.. I had Clemson and covered but a cheap TD at games
end saved me. FSU the real deal and should dominate the ACC.
Whether
I win plays or lose plays, I always look for the lesson learned in
those games and others. Each week the story unfolds on teams, best to
have a perspective the day after uninfluenced by others and the media.
What did you learn??? Always ask yourself that question and let it
carry over into the next weeks capping.
This was written by a service,Tony George,thought it wasnt bad and worth a look thru.
GL to everyone this week.
My 2 refs I hate the most both on the Bulls game,should take the over the way they love blowing their whistles,but no way Im playing this one.
What is wrong with this guy,granted the Giants got lucky to get to the bottom of 9th,but now they are tied,
so on a switch he puts Huff at second,he has already let balls go thru him at first today,he is 0-4 and hitting nothing this year,so why was it important to keep his bat in the game?And then of course he was lost at second base and his non play cost the Giants a chance to bat in the 10th,
what a stupid move by a Mgr.that Ive never been totally sold on,but he won a WS so Ive tried to ignore the fact I think he is a MORON.
Winning in the early part of the MLB season is easy.
Actually, it’s easy but it’s also very hard.
Why
is it easy? It’s easy because there’s a very simple formula to win.
It’s proven over many games over many seasons (about 3,000 games over
roughly ten seasons).
Why is it hard? It’s hard because it goes
against your natural inclinations. It’s very hard for most people to
follow this very simple formula so most do not, and most lose.
So what is the formula? Bet all underdogs.
….dramatic pause…
Is that it? Nothing more complex?
Yup. That’s it. And, here’s the proof:
If
you had simply bet $100 on all underdogs in April the last eight years,
you would have won $11,412 (over $1,400 profit per season on average).
If you instead bet all favorites, you would have lost $25,763 (Over $3,200 in losses per year).
That’s a $37,175 difference based on one simple rule.
Here’s a yearly breakdown, betting underdogs in April (one losing season out of eight):
2004: +$2,135
2005: -$840
2006: +$270
2007: +$125
2008: +$3,180
2009: +$2,560
2010: +$783
2011: +$3,199
Conversely, betting favorites (100% losing seasons – and losing big):
2004: -$3,915
2005: -$720
2006: -$1,965
2007: -$2,075
2008: -$5,240
2009: -$4,090
2010: -$2,648
2011: -$5,110
Why
does this opportunity exist? Because it’s very hard for bettors to
avoid betting favorites. They see the big name pitchers and/or scary
offensive lineups and they can’t bring themselves to bet against those
teams. So, they bet the favorites with abandon. These favorites-bettors
win a good clip of their games (maybe 55-60% of the time), and that
makes them feel good. But, of course, they are losing money
hand-over-fist.
Betting underdogs is much, much harder
psychologically. When backing underdogs, you are going to lose more
often than you win. And that doesn’t feel good. Even those that try to
do this end up giving up after a rough stretch in which they see the bad
teams they bet on lose. But, if you can get over this hump mentally,
and trust the numbers, you are on the road to making money instead of
losing it. And that’s all that matters.
Winning percentage in a
moneyline sport like baseball (also hockey, soccer, boxing, MMA, tennis)
is meaningless. What matters is net units won/lost. The problem is,
most bettors focus on the wrong thing and when they are losing 50%+ of
their bets, they give up.
Of course, the underdog performance
numbers above can be improved quite a bit more by being more selective
than betting every underdog. But, based on the numbers above, you’d
have a hard time going wrong with just betting every single underdog
this year in April.
I dont know if these #s are correct,some of you guys that have stat sheets from year to year might know how true these #s are,but do know that I play alot of dogs and always seem to start off doing really well,,
just thought I would post it,take it for what its worth.x