Posted Tuesday, November 03, 2009 10:12 AM
NBA: YTD 6-4, + 2.05 units, ROI 19%
716 Dallas Mavericks -5.5 over 716 Utah Jazz
Both teams had numbers that concerned me when I came up with my initial power ratings for this season. Dallas was suspiciously high and Utah suspiciously low. When the Mavericks dropped their home opener to the Wizards it caught my attention. but I have found that was more of an inspired Wizards team than any over valuing of the Mavericks. They are what my numbers indicated they were and they will be a contender in the West. We would like to have Gooden, Thomas and Howard tonight but the acquisition of Marion has really been a wise move by the Mavericks and his abilities at both ends of the court are going to pay dividends sooner rather than later. The Jazz missing players are more of a problem for them, both tonight and in the foreseeable future. With Korver, Miles and Harpring out indefinitely they have very little bench strength and all five starters went 34 minutes plus in last night’s home loss to the Rockets. That was an up and down the court fast paced game (209) and coming from altitude to play a back to back with the Mavericks will be hard on the legs.
I will probably have another tonight but all lines are not yet open and we have to see what happens there. This one I suggest you get down early as the Mavericks are likely to draw the action and it could be a point or two higher by game time. GL. Key
I (insert your name) will NO LONGER respond to ignorant, idiot or sore loser posts.
Nothing personal but the one below by ShamMan is a perfect example. He is just ranting over a bad bet, so why aggravate the situation and accomadate him by REPEATEDLY MOVING A DUMB ASS POST TO THE TOP OF THE BOARD?
Let it die. OK?
If you want to do some good around here make the pledge and keep moving this post up until everyone has seen it.
If we all do that then the senseless posts will die very quickly and not be a distraction as we seriously discuss the days games, OK? Please!
No offense ShamMan, you are probably over it by now anyway. Please take the pledge yourself.
Toot: Another 2 dogs win outright in the first quarter BUT; I have an apology to make. You guys know I post elsewhere and the evidence is available, so I will confess I played the Pacers and Kings in the first quarter last night as short favorites and cashed both for a 4-0 sweep on the night. Blame MrO if you like, he is the one that sent me back to puppies only. As I have said before the numbers are getting very strong very early in the season, so from now on the same thing goes up at both sites, dogs, favorites, unders and overs, makes no difference. I will make them available. Whether or not anyone plays all or gets selective and picks and chooses what he agrees with is his own business. Your money, your choice.
That being said let's get with it for today. As short as the card is I may have nothing, but will try to be available for consultation, discussion and conversation. GL2All, Cya later.
Looks like a pretty good night overall and I think we can pick up some steam now that,
1. MrOPC and JEG are out of jail
2. Norse FINALLY noticed what we are up to (a little dense?) lol
3. All teams are at 5 or more games with several at 8 and when all hit 10 games played my numbers get even better. At 10 games all teams have true form and it doesn't matter who has not played each other because all the numbers become interlinked anyway. By Christmas I expect MrOPC to offer me new computer goodies, anything I want, since he will be doing some serious bankroll building for his first love, 5 inning baseball.
Utah and Atlanta were very encouraging last night, taking the cash as moneyline dogs, Quarter, Half and Game, clean sweep.
Let's get going. My numbers are in the machine and I am just waiting on lines.
I may have been one of the biggest winners on this or any other board last night simply by not playing. All 5 road dogs won the first quarter outright or plus points, all 5 won the first half straight up or plus points, and all 5 covered or won outright for the evening. Hmm.
Being the dog player I am I see nothing unreal about that nor do I feel laying a lot of points with a lot of favorites is productive. It' just life. Of all professional sports the NBA has the greatest pool of players to draw from, worldwide talent and it only takes 12 guys each for thirty teams. On any given day, any one team can beat any other. Dogs plus points or on the moneyline will be my future picks and if I have to take a few days off so be it. When faced with the evidence, return to your roots.
1st Quarter Plays
Utah +
Yes, I am aware Okur is out (family leave) but the differrences in the two teams go much deeper than that and I like the Jazz coming off an ass whipping at New York.
Atlanta +
The Hawks have been everything I expected so far this year and put some nice cash in my wallet. While the rest of world waits for them to implode I am going to ride them until I see a reason not to, and I ain't seen it yet.
I will try to make it back when the lines open and I can quote what I got, points or moneyline. Cya later, Good Luck.