Belinda Bencic +4 (-115)
Playing a very, very solid tournament, beat Woz in the last meeting 6-4, 6-4, and Caroline, though winning, appears to be struggling.
As is usually the case, good fortune hits a cement wall.
BetOnline withdrawal keeps giving me an error message...something about using my card/debit card within the last 7 days, though I did not select any bonus or rollover business.
I can keep winning, no problem with that.
But it's damn ironic that when a sports bettor wants to do the right thing, "The House" says, "Wait a minute, pal."
I would truly appreciate any and all helpful commentary.
Oh, yeah, Covers rules!
...Maybe it has something to do with the recent and very odd line shift in the Wisconsin vs. Duke title game. Suddenly the BetOnline odds displayed the Badgers at -7.5. I imagine that thousands of people jumped at the chance to take Duke at +7.5.
I certainly hope the IT department gets this fixed before tip off.
One of my favorite sports betting destinations.
Although more than a few sportsbooks have dropped the Over/Under from 7.5 to 7 (5Dimes, Bookmaker, GTBets, and BetDSI), I still have faith in the Over -- whether 7 or 7.5.
Royals lefty Jason Vargas is 3-10 with an ERA of 5.10 on at least six days rest. He last pitched 13 days ago. He does, however, hold a 2/3 record and a 1.94 ERA against Baltimore. But despite a great showing against the Angels, a 2-1 victory on October 2nd, he lost his last three regular season matchups and sported a bloated 9.00 ERA.
Orioles righty Miguel Gonzalez has been off since September 28, and his ERA on more than six days rest is also high, 4.53. He is 1-2 against the Royals, including a 7-1 loss at Kansas City last July.
I'm no MLB conspiracy theorist, so I don't buy the idea that Major League Baseball will somehow aid the Orioles in avoiding the sweep.
Yet I do believe that this afternoon's game shall be competitive and high scoring, much more like the Royals 8 - 6 and 6 - 4 victories. The Birds bats will fly again.
Over 7 (or 7.5) for +107
Pardon my reference to the 1980's Vapors one hit wonder.
*Also, as always, tail with caution. I have found the Japanese J2 league quite tricky to turn a profit...even when I felt sure that I had a hit song...errr, I mean bet.
*In addition, your online sportsbook may not offer J2 soccer. Two books that do are 5dimes and Bovada.lv.
Avispa Fukuoka -125
The "Fuks" are facing second to last in the J2 table Kamatamare Sanuki, a club that has scored 29 goals yet given up 64. Avispa sits #11 of 22 teams, and has scored 44 goals while conceding 47.The last time the two teams met was April 20, 2014, on Sanuki pitch and the final score was a 1-1 draw. Given that Avispa is playing at home this match, and is playing in much better form than Kamatamare, I really like the "Fuks" -- especially at the -125 price.
I also played the over 2 1/2 goals at -115.
Next up, I love Giravanz Kitakyushu as a +105 Pick or +220 on the Draw.
Yes, Tochigi is the home team, and history is on their side. But currently Kitakyushu is in much better form...sitting in 4th place while Tochigi is 15th -- and has conceded 11 more goals than Giravanz.
For all those like me who love these midnight pitch plays, live long, tail wisely, and let's all profit!
"I'm turning Japanese, I think I'm turning Japanese, I really think so."