Hi, I´m Kokotrolo, from Spain. Been following cover for a few weeks now and just decided to join and post my picks. Hope they are of some help, even if I´m more of a gambler than a capper.
I play all my bets one unit, but I normally do some trading while watching the game and may put another bet if I really like what I see or play O/U if I see a good spots, but I´ll keep all that out of my stats.
Talking about that sorry about not having my stats for the season but one of the reasons for postings is to keep track of my bets.
Overall I had a rough start with a few bad picks and badbeats but I`m doing better lately as I`m staying away from teams like Knicks, Bucks, Magic or Atlanta and riding the veteran teams that are getting their legs back like SA, Dallas and to some degree my LA Lakers (who suck but have Bynun and Gasol).
Today is not the best day to start but lets do it any way:
Like SA with the Ginobili injury I feel the Bulls are growing by missing Rose. When you see Boozer passing like Noah you know they got a good thing going. The inside presence alone of CHI will kill NJ. Normally I dont like to give 10+ points but the Nets loose the rock way too much against regular teams,so today Deng and co. will have a field day running.
I don´t like Portland. I have faded them a lot (away) this season feeling that they are a little brainless. Having said that I feel they match up great with Atlanta, a similar team even more brainless with little to nothing inside. They give way too much the blazers inside. Portland is going to control the boards and play tough D on the Hawks forwards. Add home court and the revenge factor after the Clippers game and I see Portland winning big... a Blowout if LA comes back.
I was tempted to lean on this since GSW has given me plenty of grief this season and Memphis almost lost it yesterday but GSW are clearly losing it (bad coaching from M Jackson?) and Ellis may be playing hurt, so think is a great spot for Memphis.
They kind of lost it the past few weeks, but they have recovered their tough and scrappy D and got something going as a team on offense. Tonight seems like the perfect spot for another strong game to build up their confidence. Even if Curry or Ellis start to heat up from downtown they got the backcourt to make them sweat for every point.
S Antonio -3
I don´t like to bet on two good teams playing. But even if LA are growing as a team they still have lapses of uncordinated play and their inside players depend a bit too much on CP3. They need to shoot well (Butler) to win more than SA, a vet team that plays better overall both ways... having said that C Paul is closing games like an hall of famer... so I´ll stay out of this game.