From what I have seen here and other websites, it looks like a good deal of people are not aware of the exact realignment and how the teams are seeded for the playoffs this year. Here is a break down of all the info.
Things have been way skewed with favs hitting at a huge rate this year. This past week a shift to the normal is starting to occur. So far this year dogs have only hit at a 39.6% clip, which is up from 36.28% from 60 days ago.
This past week the dogs have hit a 46.15% rate.
For the new bettors and casual bettors in the forum this year, this it what the NHL always is. A couple of dogs hitting almost every night. Usually the biggest dog is a great play blind every night.
This is why you saw me play my usual take anything above +130 strategy at the start of the year. This year it got just crushed like it never has before. Maybe it's the short season, the lack of a decent training camp made the lesser teams at more of a disadvantage ?? Not completely sure, but I am sure of parity like we usually have for the rest of this year.
Now with that said, we are coming up on teams that are just flat out of it and are just going through the motions. So pay close attention to that.
The Avs and Calgary are hitting that spot. Florida is in that boat also, even though they took out the Devils last night, plus the Avs won. But too little too late.
It's much more than the B2B angle, in fact that is the least thing I am looking at. The Wings are coming off two huge wins at ANA the past two nights. The lowly Yotes will be very tough to get up for. The Yotes are on a 5 game losing streak but look at who they have played. LA twice, the Nucks, the Blues and a very hot Jackets team.
Also the Wings will play a road against the Sharks in a few days, so this is the prefect look ahead game for them.
Paper says the Wings should win by a couple of goals. But you gotta look deeper than that at times.
Or I am off my rocker and you will all hit this game hard and it will spit out money like an ATM.
Teams are converting their power-play opportunities better than they have in any season since 2008-09. They're just not getting many chances to do it. Power plays per game dropped to a 34-year low of 6.61 per game last season, and that total will end up even lower in 2012-13 if current trends continue.
Whether it's officials allowing more things to go uncalled or players adapting to the way games are called, power plays are plummeting as the season goes on. The first quarter of the season saw an average of 8.28 power plays per game. By the end of February, that number was down to 7.67 -- and through Thursday's games, the average had dropped to 7.10 per game.
More telling is the fact that power plays this month continue to drop. The 153 games played so far this month have seen an average of just 5.99 power plays -- matching the average of the last three-plus months of 2011-12. If the March average were to continue through the remainder of 2012-13, the full-season average would drop to 6.55; the last time there were fewer power plays per game was 1977-78 (6.38).
Philadelphia and San Jose are the only teams averaging more than four power plays per game; Anaheim, Boston, Winnipeg and Colorado are averaging fewer than three. Philadelphia and Dallas are the only teams allowing opponents more than four advantages per game.
Though they're not getting as much practice, teams are connecting on the power play at the best rate since '08-09. Through 450 games, the success rate is 18.5 percent, a big jump from last season's figure of 17.3 percent. Since 1993-94, the only full-season success rate better than this season's percentage is the 18.9 percent teams posted in '08-09.
Not a problem at all, I can give you a formula to make your own -1 line.
100x/(x+1) where x = ml
if you plan on betting $100 on a game with -1.30 ml and +1.60 pl
100(1.30)/(1.3 + 1)
=$56 on the ml........therefore $44 on pl
works out to approx. +1.15 for the -1 spread
Or you can PM me your e-mail address and I will send you an excel spreadsheet that will calculate it for you.