MACvember: 2 - 0
Season: 22-17-2; +3.4 Units
Temple @ Ohio (Ohio +3.5; O/U 47.5)
This is a battle between the two top defenses in the MAC and both are fantastic against the run. Bernard Pierce hasn't practiced since October 14th and is nursing a tender Hammy. Temple's run D was gashed in the 2010 meeting for 204 yards and with the long week off the loss to Bowling Green they will be ready to shutdown the Bobcats; note that after Temple's last loss they answered with back to back shutouts of Ball State and Buffalo. Temple has also cashed the under in all 7 FBS games this year.
Play Under 47.5
- LocksvilleUSA
Season: 20-17-2; +1.4 Units
Northern Illinois @ Toledo (Toledo -9; O/U 67.5)
NIU travels to the Glass Bowl tonight to take on the Rockets. Again the NIU defense will have the White Uni's and we know they don't bring the hat when they are on the road in white. Toledo will be fired up and looking to put up points after last years 65 - 30 debacle...also Toledo's 4th leading tackler and starting Safety is out so look for NIU to post some long TD scores. Take the Over as it is 19-6-1 in Toledo's last 26 as home chalk. Welcome to MACvember.
Play Over 67.5
Also Playing over 14.5 points in the 3rd Quarter.
- LocksvilleUSA
MAC n Chee$e Week 1: 3 – 1 – 1; up 1.9 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 1: 3 – 1 – 1; up 1.9 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 2: 3 – 1; up 1.9 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 3: 2 – 2; down .2 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 4: 2 – 2; down .2 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 5: 4 – 2; up 1.8 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 6: 2 – 2; down .2 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 7: 1 – 2 - 1; down 1.2 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 8: 2 – 2; down .2 units
Season: 19-14-2; +3.6 Units
If only Buffalo could kick an extra point with 14 seconds left and we would’ve been three and one. This week it all turns around…gotta end Locktober on top.
1. Central Michigan @ Akron (Akron +7, O/U 51)
CMU will take advantage of the weak Zips pass defense just like Ohio did last week. Chips Big. Play CMU – 7.
2. Bowling Green @ Kent State (KSU +3.5, O/U 39.5)
Kent State’s offense had an average week last week…yea they were on bye…until KSU can prove they can score we are either playing under or fading them…today we are fading them. Play BGSU -3.5.
3. Ball State @ Western Michigan (WMU -12.5, O/U 58)
The WMU offense is in shambles without Greg Peterson…he has been out the past two week s and is out again today. Ball State is playing well and will control this game with their run offense. Play Ball State +12.5.
4. Buffalo @ Miami (Miami -4.5, O/U 48.5)
Buffalo could run away with this game however the Redhawks are playing well lately and they have the better defense…I am taking the Bulls and the points because of the lack of running game Miami has; I don’t see them being able to hold a lead if they get one. Play Buffalo +4.5.
1. Central Michigan @ Akron (Akron +7, O/U 51) - Play CMU - 7
2. Bowling Green @ Kent State (KSU +3.5, O/U 39.5) - Play BGSU - 3.5
3. Ball State @ Western Michigan (WMU -12.5, O/U 58) - Play Ball State +12.5
4. Buffalo @ Miami (Miami -4.5, O/U 48.5) - Play Buffalo +4.5
- LocksvilleUSA
MAC n Chee$e Week 1: 3 – 1 – 1; up 1.9 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 2: 3 – 1; up 1.9 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 3: 2 – 2; down .2 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 4: 2 – 2; down .2 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 5: 4 – 2; up 1.8 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 6: 2 – 2; down .2 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 7: 1 – 2 - 1; down 1.2 units
Season: 17-12-2; +3.8 Units
Got screwed on a late kick return in the Toledo game and WMU decided to take the 2nd half off and let Harnish run wild. Let’s forget that and move on to week 7.
1. Northern Illinois @ Buffalo (Buffalo +14; O/U 62)
The NIU Defense has stepped up the last two weeks and amateurs would attribute that to them improving as a unit…The real reasons are is that they have been at home the past two games, they played Kent State in one of those games, and per the NIU announcers last weekend the defense gets fired up and plays with much more intensity when wearing the black uni’s. NIU’s defense has given up 48, 49, and 45 points on the road this year. Look for Chazz AnderSTUD and the Bulls offense to bounce back after that debacle to Temple and the tornado winds and for them to put up points against an NIU Secondary allowing an 11.1 Yards/Attempt on the road. Buffalo can’t stop the run so don’t worry about NIU scoring. Play Over 62.
2. Western Michigan @ Eastern Michigan (EMU +12; O/U 57)
Two Starting O-Linemen on each side are questionable; Greg Peterson missed the NIU game last week and which resulted in 4 NIU sacks. In addition the Bronco defense was embarrassed last week and will look for revenge in the Battle for the State of Michigan. This game has gone under 4 of the last 5 years…points will be tough…Take the Low. Play Under 57.
3. Central Michigan @ Ball State (Ball St. -2.5; O/U 57)
The road team has won the last four in this matchup and CMU will have a huge advantage in the passing game however this game will be determined by turnovers. Also CMU is 0-4 on the road this year. No Play.
4. Temple @ Bowling Green (BGSU + 13.5; O/U 49)
I think Bowling Green is able to pass enough to keep it close against the Bernard Pierce’s; would love to have 14.5 in this game. It was a 1 point affair with BGSU as a 20.5 point dog last year. No Play.
5. Ohio @ Akron (Akron +14.5; O/U 52.5)
Akron is playing with revenge off a bye week against the Bobcats this weekend at home. Last year on extended rest the Zips were 2-0 ATS. The Zips will take advantage of a weak Ohio secondary, 8.2 Yards/Attempt allowed on the road, and will be able to keep this game close. Play Akron +14.5.
6. Miami @ Toledo (Toledo -16.5; O/U 49.5)
We got lucky with a Redhawk cover last week as they were out-gained by Kent State. Toledo is rolling and will be playing with a unique quadruple revenge angle in the Glass Bowl on Saturday. Toledo will be looking to revenge last year’s loss to Miami…and also please the Alumni after loses in their last 3 homecoming games. I look for the 12 senior starters to rally the troops for a decisive win this weekend in their last homecoming game. Let just hope the homecoming jinx is an anomaly not a trend. Play Toledo – 16.5.
PICKS:
1. Northern Illinois @ Buffalo (Buffalo +14; O/U 62) - Play Over 62
2. Western Michigan @ Eastern Michigan (EMU +12; O/U 57) - Play Under 57
3. Central Michigan @ Ball State (Ball St. -2.5; O/U 57) - No Play
4. Temple @ Bowling Green (BGSU + 13.5; O/U 49) - No Play
5. Ohio @ Akron (Akron +14.5; O/U 52.5) - Play Akron +14.5
6. Miami @ Toledo (Toledo -16.5; O/U 49.5) - Play Toledo -16.5
-LocksvilleUSA
MAC n Chee$e Week 1: 3 – 1 – 1; up 1.9 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 2: 3 – 1; up 1.9 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 3: 2 – 2; down .2 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 4: 2 – 2; down .2 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 5: 4 – 2; up 1.8 units
MAC n Chee$e Week 6: 2 – 2; down .2 units
Season: 16-10-1; +5.0 Units
I am eating MAC n Chee$e and its Locktober…this can only translate to a huge week this weekend for the MAC n Chee$e.
1. Toledo @ Bowling Green (BGSU +7; O/U 60)
How can you have the battle of I-75 rivalry winner not receive the Peace Pipe Trophy? It is a shame however the history relic has been replaced with the ‘Battle of I-75 Trophy’ which is basically a road sign…weak sauce. Toledo came out fired up for this game last year and embarrassed Bowling Green on a Mid Week ESPN2 showcase. Toledo is clearly the better squad and the BGSU offense will not be able to keep up with the Toledo. Take the Rockets. Play Toledo -7.
2. Buffalo @ Temple (Temple -21; O/U 48.5)
Brutal Matchup for the Buffalo run D…however 21 is just too much to lay here. No Play.
3. Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan (CMU -12.5; O/U 52.5)
CMU dominated EMU last year and shutdown their running game. The CMU offense has picked up the pace and as long as Ryan Radcliff doesn’t start hitting EMU defenders across the middle they cover the twelve and a hook easy. Also note two of EMU starting Offensive linemen have knee injuries and are game time decisions. Play CMU -12.5.
4. Miami @ Kent State (Kent St. +3.5; O/U 39.5)
Battle of one win teams…Miami got some confidence last week with a nice come back against the cadets…Kent State is averaging 3.1 yards per pass and 171 yards of offense. Redhawks cover the Chalk. Miami -3.5.
5. Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois (NIU +1; O/U 69.5)
I bet Western at -2 early in the week and they are now only a 1 point favorite...needless to say I still love them. I was very impressed by the dual threat running attack of Carder and Drake WMU used to dismantle BGSU last week and we all know NIU can’t stop anybody except for Kent State. Play WMU -1.
6. Ball State @ Ohio (Ohio -14.5; O/U 57.5)
I think Ball State covers this spread however too many questions surrounding their injured secondary to make a play on this game. Plus Solich always screws me. No Play.
1. Toledo @ Bowling Green (BGSU +7; O/U 60) - Play Toledo -7
2. Buffalo @ Temple (Temple -21; O/U 48.5) - No play
3. Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan (CMU -12.5; O/U 52.5) - Play CMU - 12.5
4. Miami @ Kent State (Kent St. +3.5; O/U 39.5) - Play Miami -3.5
5. Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois (NIU +1; O/U 69.5) - Play WMU -1
6. Ball State @ Ohio (Ohio -14.5; O/U 57.5) - No Play
****Akron is on a Bye Week
- LocksvilleUSA