Freaks. Sickos Losers
We are back for another season of NCAA football. Great to see so many brilliant-yet-prickly old-time greats in here as well as some fresh meat. Let's make some paper ...have some laughs......share some knowledge.......and not kill each other in the process.
Covers Nation (no-)
As per usual - we will post our thoughts on as many games as possible. You will always see the thought process so that you can agree and play along - or fade our pathetic azz away . Always room for opposing viewpoints as long as we all stay civil.
We keep it simple. We don't make up lines. We don't make up 7 figure bet amounts . We understand we will lose some bets.... but hopefully we end up having another great year.
Posting a bit later this year as last offseason was just too much - 4 months of arguing the Alabama/VT game. Fights ensued. Blood was spilled. Teeth were kicked in. And nobody was the better for it.
On to week 1. It's go time. MEGA
Race 1 today.
Imagine you had $40,000 on the #5 to show. In fact $42,498/$46,077 of the show pool was bet on the #5. 92% to show. It's a LOCCCCKKKKK right ? All he has to do is finish top 3 at odds of 1/2 and you collect 10 cents profit on every $2. Risking $40,000 to win $2,000 on PARX donkeys.
Well he wins. Whew. Too easy.
He is DQ'd for interference coming out of the gate.
Ooops. There goes $40K.
Payouts. 3/1 winner. 7/2 2nd horse. 17-1 3rd horse.
8.20 3.80 16.60
This happens quite often. Always find it amusing that anyone would be dumb enough to put huge cash on a big fav to show. You miss once - You are jumping off a bridge - either voluntarily - or with the "assistance" of Bullet Tooth Tony and Frankie Four Fingers who know you can't pay back the $40,000 you borrowed for a LOCCCCKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK.
First triple dead heat in Evangeline history.
Had a piece of it. 8-1 shot to win ends up paying $6.60.
Freaks Whackjobs Losers who watch poker on TV
When we last joined you - it was an embarrassment of riches but in the couple of days that we didn't post after that it was So who knows about today ? Probably but we will go down fighting. As a sidenote - after playing the ponies for over a quarter of a century we had something happen yesterday that was new - having a tri with a horse keyed for 3rd and cashing when he came 4th. Finished 1-1A-9-8 but because 1 and 1A finished first and second as an entry - the payout was 1-9-8. We are not idiots but if we had a paper ticket may have thrown it out. Message to all the young Sparkies out there - Never throw out a tickee tickee....and sometimes it is WAY better to be lucky than good. Will hope to find some winners today in between driving the 4 Ferraris around today.
GL to all today MEGA
Freaks, lurkers, psychos
Let's take a look at the race. Mikey has already posted a great analysis so some of this will be repetitive. A psycho has been banned. Someone who posted an "I told you so" remark even after agreeing with them in the Sunland Derby is in the tank. So we have potential for some grown-up discussion today.
#1 Wildcat Red
If anyone has a chance - watch that FOY replay - it is our fav race of the yr ! A head to head slug it out duel that had both Wildcat Red and General A Rod leading at multiple times in the race with WR finally digging in and getting the victory....Not usually a good idea to take a horse in a big race after improving 3 straight times....coming off a taxing effort....and likely to face more heat today....Not sure he is gonna like the distance either....Skeptical but have to list as a contender....Lots of guts
#2 Matador.....Might catch a piece of the bottom of tri/super....6 starts and only one win and a 3rd so far in the boxscore - did not hit the top 3 in either dirt race....Was stupid far back in TB Derby and had no chance to catch winner who aired wire to wire....Skeptical but not impossible to hit 3rd or 4th...Prefer others tho
#3 Cairo Prince....Saez was basically driving a car in the Holy Bull....Tracked outside did not see rail - Drew up beside leaders then exploded home - Working like a champ...Theoretically could get the perfect setup in this one just off the pace....Most likely winner and a likely fav - may get a bit of value since 2 horses show 100 Beyers and another has Pletcher/Castellano.