Army-Navy YTD: 76-48-1
Both teams will be up for this one but Navy has more to play for. Commander in Chief trophy is theirs with a win. Army only has shot at a 3 way tie and that doenst happen very often, only 2 times since 1980.
Navy offense is playing really well of late. Navy QB Reynolds experience will be a huge factor in this game. He was MVP of last years game as a freshman. Last 5 games this year he is averaging 5.4 yards/carry.
Navy offense last 5 games:
38 vs San Jose State (prior to OT)
42 vs South Alabama
42 vs Hawaii
34 vs Notre Dame
Last years game was closer then expected. Why? To start the game was winner takes all for the Commander in Chief trophy cause Army beat Air Force last year. Also, Army had an experienced 4 year starter QB Trent Steelman who got better each year. As a freshman he averaged 3.5 yards per carry and ended with 5.2 per carry his senior year.
Army QB Santiago who took over for Steelman has been ineffective to say the least running and throwing. On the ground Santiago is averaging 3.4 a carry but if u take out the 1st game vs Morgan State, he is at 3.0 yards a carry for the season. Passing not much better, only 49.3 yards per game.
Army has one running back which has shined this year Baggett who averages 8.2 a carry for the season. Army RB Dixon hasnt played last two games and is out for the year. I just dont see where the production is going to come from.
Possible snow in forecast for Philly on Saturday. Dont think that will change anything, possibly make the better offense harder to stop (Navy)
I like Navy and QB Reynolds to have a big game. Reynolds starts every play with the ball in his hands.
Navy -12.5 (-120) Bought the half
Navy 41 Army 17
Week 14 YTD: 63-46-1
Cincinnati is the better team here. Louisville is having trouble running the ball of late. Yards per carry last three game for Louisville: 3.1 vs Memphis, 3.1 vs Houston, 2.9 vs UCONN. Not gonna get it done. Cincy will spread the Louisville defense out and make it less effective. Louisville BCS hopes are gone. Cincy still outside chance to make a BCS bowl.
Cincinnati 27 Louisville 24
Bowling Green +3.5 (maybe +4 or +4.5 by kickoff)
Bowling Green is playing well. They are the better defensive team. Bowling Green pulls the upset. These MAC Championship games are wild. I will take the points. Upset brewing on Ford Field
Bowling Green 30 Northern Illinois 27
Oklahoma-Oklahoma State UNDER 58
This is no give me for Okla St. Oklahoma will be ready. I see slight let down for Okla St. mostly on the offensive end. Okla St. still gets the win
Oklahoma St. 27 Oklahoma 20
Rice-Marshall OVER 60.5
Marshall defense on the road has been horrible. But I do think Marshall is better then Rice, but home field will make this one close.
Rice 38 Marshall 37
UCONN playing well, tough team at home. Neither team is bowl bound. UCONN looking to end season on high note at home.
UCONN 24 Memphis 20
Texas-Baylor UNDER 73
Both teams trying to win a share of the Big12 title. Weather make this slightly sloppy. Possible freezing rain on Saturday in Waco.
Baylor 38 Texas 24
Typically this would be a let down spot for Auburn after the Iron Bowl win. But as I said 2 months ago Auburn is let down proof. I tried my best warning everyone of Auburn's potential last 5 weeks. Missouri D has done an amazing job vs "conventional" running teams. Auburn gets it done.
Auburn 37 Missouri 31
Rutgers-South Florida UNDER 46.5
Rutgers has a shot at a bowl with win. They will be pumped up. But both team are struggling offensively. Rutgers key to victory is the run defense. South Florida's K Kloss will keep South Florida in the game. South Florida is in a let down spot after the close game with UCF.
Rutgers 20 South Florida 19
Stanford-Arizona St. UNDER 56
Stanford style will change the tempo of this game as usual. Arizona St defense is better then people think.
Stanford 24 Arizona 23
ULL-So. Alabama OVER 58
Its the Sun Belt and both teams playing for something. ULL wants the Sun Belt title and South Alabama trying to make a bowl. If ULL is able to run well this game goes over.
ULL 38 South Alabama 34
Week 14 YTD: 58-45-1
Duke is looking to set a team win record and get into ACC Champ Game. UNC playing well but Duke is playing for more. Watch for Duke 2nd Half. They are playing great defense in the 2nd Half lately.
Duke 31 UNC 30
Missouri at home. A&M defense is horrible. Missouri should dominate both lines again. Plus revenge for Missouri last year A&M ran it up to get Johnny the heisman.
Missouri 37 Texas A&M 24
Just watch the game. Should be a good one.
Auburn 24 Alabama 23
UNLV is good team. San Diego St coming off biggest win of year vs Boise State in OT. San Diego back to back OT wins. Possible let down here for San Diego State
UNLV 37 San Diego St. 24
Arizona playing well. Rivalry game with revenge for Arizona. Arizona St might be looking slightly ahead to Pac12 Champ Game. Should be a close game
Arizona St. 34 Arizona 30
Week 13 YTD: 50-42-1
C. Mich-UMASS UNDER 46
It will cold and windy possible snow. C Mich looking to win last 2 games to make a bowl. Look for Zurlon Tipton to have a monster day. 200 yards rushing.
C. Mich 35 UMASS 14
North Carolina -17
North Carolina is rolling, UNC QB will be too much for Old Dominion. UNC needs this game for bowl eligibility or beat Duke next week. Think they might want to lock this one up.
North Carolina 48 ODU 17
Oklahoma St. +8.5
Tough place to play. Ive seen many high ranked Big12 teams come to Stillwater and lose. Prime time game at Boone Pickens. Im Pickens' the Pokes
Oklahoma St. 37 Baylor 34
Duke is for real and gets 0 respect. Wake offense has done much since Campanero went down. Duke wants their shot at FSU in ACC Champ game.
Duke 34 Wake Forest 17
Texas A&M-LSU OVER 73
LSU should have its day against this defense. Manziel will get his especially if he is playing from behind most of the game.
LSU 48 Texas A&M 37
Tennessee is rested and really to make a bowl push. Butch Jones will have these guys fired up for the in-state rival. BYE week will also helped QB Josh Dobbs get some reps. Revenge for Tennessee who got smacked in Nashville last year.
Tennessee 34 Vanderbilt 24
Fresno St. -31.5
New Mexico has no defense. Fresno still trying to crack the BCS. Should be a blowout. Fresno defense not that bad.
Fresno St. 59 New Mexico 14
South Carolina -12.5
Two teams heading in opposite directions. Throw in some serious revenge for last years 44-11 beat down in Gainesville and you have a blowout brewing in Columbia.
Top it all off, Tyler Murphy is likely out at QB for Florida. They turn to redshirt freshman Skyler Mornhinweg. First career start vs a defense that is playing really well right now. South Carolina had a bye this week and is well rested which is good for Connor Shaw getting his mobility and footwork back on track. South Carolina still alive for SEC Champ game and this is their last SEC conf game.
Im calling for the shutout. I dont see how Florida is gonna score. This quarterback will make Florida really predictable on offense. Florida has too many injuries, they are not the team they once were this year.
Double your bet if Auburn beats Georgia earlier in the day. That would knock Georgia out of the possible 3 way tie for SEC East. South Carolina would only need a Missouri loss to have the tiebreaker in the SEC East.
I also think South Carolina is great 2nd Half play due to the fact they are coming off a bye and historically start slow on offense at home.
South Carolina 34 Florida 0
BOL to everyone