I browse this website from time to time and finally decided to "contribute," so to speak. I only focus on percentage shifts on lines to handicap, percentage being the key word. I have found different leagues (NFL,NBA,NCAAF) all have their little nuances. I must admit, though, I haven't studied NBA enough to say much.
Now, I do not claim to be a professional, whatever that really means, but I do believe I am far away from being a square.
My "system" works the best in NFL (IMO) but can be applied to everything. However, I put more money on NFL games than any other. I am still working to perfect my NCAA, but I will be posting those as well on another thread, located on the NCAAF board.
I hope that no one tails me, not that you would, or should, but perhaps if my information correlates with something about a team you have been considering, it may be of help.
So far, IMO, here are the best bets in the NFL for this coming week (Week 7). This method went 4-0 last week, which doesn't mean it will this week, or claim to be a representation of future outcomes, but last week was: Dallas,Browns,Seattle,Buffalo. (4-0 ATS).
P.S. A unit for me = $5.00 At some point, when I lessen my overall debt it will increase, but for now, I am not trying to make a living on this or anything, just want to have some fun. To me, gambling starts to take you over when you are not properly capitalized - you start to make terrible decisions. So, that's how I do it.
This week the best bets shaping up are (IMO):
Seattle *already placed
St Louis (wait till more information before gametime)
Carolina (wait till more information before gametime)
Redskins *Already Placed
Tampa Bay (wait till more information before gametime)
Jets (wait till more information before gametime)
Detroit *Already Placed
Seattle 3 Units
Seattle ML 1 Unit
Redskins 3 Units
Redskins ML 1 Unit
Detroit 3 Units
Detriot ML 1 Unit
There seems like there is a lot of potential action this week, but I probably won't go any higher than 5 teams, or just end up picking the best 4-5 that I like.
I will be posting a thread some time in the future for NCAAF. There are a few plays that I really like in NCAAF this week, though, like I said, the NFL is more consistent using these methods, IMO.
GL everyone. Hope to have some good conversations here.