As I said last week I get 3 to 1 odds from my local if I choose the game and total - both from same game... I pick 3 parlays per week and hope to win at least one of them. Last week I won one out of three. I chose Indy -10 and over 44. They won 34-17 so I won. I lost with Dal -1 and under 43.5.. I had the total right just missed with Dal. (they could of easily got that one too) I also lost with Ten -3 and Over 41, once again I had the total right but we all know what happened to Ten. So I was 4 out of 6 picks and 1 for 3 on the parlays. If you look at my space you can see my previous blog entries..
This week I am going strong with the favorites. Here are my three parlays:
Phi -15.5 and Over 41. Philly is coming off a bye week and have Donovan McNabb back. They will blow out TB. The over under is the hard part here. Will TB contribute? I'm not sure, hoping Philly scores alot. Prediction Phi 35 - TB 10. 2 units.
Minn -10 and Over 40. St Louis is horrible and will not be able to stop either the run (AP) or the passing game from Brett. Look for another blowout here. Prediction Minn 33 - St L 16. 2 units.
NYG -15 and Under 37. Giants should blow out Oak with or without Eli. Oak is horrible especially on the road. Another blowout prediction maybe a shutout. Prediction NYG 20 - Oak 3. 1 unit.
hope to win all three that would be nice. Good Luck everyone...
Since my local bookie offers 3-1 odds on a two team parlay if we pick the same game for the parlay I cant resist. in other words you have to chose the game against the spread and the same game total. Last week I went 1 out of three which ends up being a win since it pays 3-1.
I will parlay the following.
Indy -10 and Over 44. Seattle is awful on the road with Hasselback.(even worse without him) Peyton is rolling, seems unstopable at the moment. I think Seattle will score some points because Freeney is out and might give Wallace some running room, scrambling room and we know Peyton will score at least 28 or more. He might light it up more being at home in the dome (maybe Indy covers the 44 pts by themselves!!) Prediction Indy 35 - Seattle 16. I am betting 3 units on this parlay.
Ten -3 and Over 41. Tennessee is way overdue for a win. Enough said. They are just too good of a team to be 0-3. Two of their losses are against really good teams Pittsburgh and Jets. Jax is coming off an impressive win last week but their defense is suspect giving up alot of points. In fact both teams have over games the last two weeks. Look for a game where both teams score at least 21 pts hitting the over in the 4th quarter. Prediction Tenn 27 - Jax 21. I am betting 2 units on this parlay.
Dal -1 and Under 43.5. Denver keeps their games low scoring. They will get their first loss this week. Dallas will squeak by with a 13 -10 type of win. The game will be ugly probably a few turnovers. (not unusual for either team). Prediction Dal 13 - Denver 10. I am betting 1 unit on this parlay.
Good luck everyone!!!
Did anyone else notice the incredible balance in Week One? 8 favorites covered, 7 dogs won and one push. 8 unders and 8 overs.. If that is not balance I dont know what is. This was a perfect start for books. The favorites were looking good until Monday. I bet alot on NE and SD, as I am sure many people did. But in the back of my mind I knew better. Vegas never loses so the books rarely do either.. My question is simple, how can they set the Vegas Lines so good??
Here are my College Picks for this week. FLA, BYU and Cincy are my 3 unit locks...
Boise St -7.5 2 units
Mich -23 1 unit
Purdue -12 2 units
UNC -6.5 2 units
Fla -29 3 units (FLA might win by 50, Tenn coach should keep his mouth shut!!)
Nebraska +3.5 1 unit
Toledo +20 1 unit
Notre Dame -10 1 unit
Cinc +1 3 units (Great spot for a ML bet, UC is on a roll and not looking back)
BYU -7.5 3 units (continue to ride that Championship hope, no letdown here)
Georgia -1 2 units
Texas -17.5 1 unit
GLA!!!
Last week I went 7-5 (+4 units), 2-1 on my locks... Still cant believe USC was held down for 3 quarters.
Last weeks picks: CMU +14 - 2 units (win), Fresno St +7 - 3 units (win), Va Tech -19.5 - 1 unit (win), Notre Dame -3 - 2 units (loss), Okla St -16.5 - 2 units (loss), BYU -18.5 - 3 units (win), Tex -31.5 - 1 unit (loss), UCLA +11 - 1 unit (win), SCar +7 - 2 units (win) Tex Tch -27 - 2 units (win), USC -7 - 3 units (loss), Ore -13 - 2 units (loss).
Here are my picks for the 1:00 games for week one of the NFL:
Baltimore -13 - 2 units
Cincinnati -4.5 - 2 units
Den/Cin <41 - 1 unit
Detroit +14 - 2 units
Cleveland +4 - 1 unit
I'll respond with my 4:00 picks later today, Good Luck everyone!!!