San Antonio Spurs @ Cleveland Cavaliers -2.5 (max play)
San Antonio Spurs @ Cleveland Cavaliers over 203 (max play)
Going off of who needs and wants this game more. This is the look ahead that got the cavs last time out vs the nuggets. This is the measuring stick they've been waiting for all year. From the time that lebron went to cleveland the talk has been how good is this team vs the miami big 3. Does this big 3 in cleveland fix any of the areas the miami big 3 were exposed for during the finals last year. Obviously they can't play the miami big 3 straight up so this is their measuring stick. The defending champs come to town. You know lebron wants this one, and you know the cavs are hungry to show they are a title contender after a very so so start to the season. The spurs on the other hand, been there done that. Sure they want this game but in the end they know they have their season long plan they'll stick with the long game and do their spurs thing. I see the cavs taking this one.
Spurs have struggled offensively so far this year at times, but i still see them scoring enough to take this one over the total. The cavs on the other hand (up until the nuggets game) were on a tear offensively. I expect a bit of that to come back in this one. Cavs energy pushes the tempo for the game. Spurs make it a close one but cavs take it in the end.
Score Prediction: Spurs - 101 Cavaliers- 107
BOL everyone, lets get these books!
Los Angeles Lakers +10 @ Atlanta Hawks (2 units)
Los Angeles Lakers @ Atlanta Hawks over 213 (2 units)
Lakers giving up 112.1 ppg this year and an even worse 115.5 on the road. Atlanta giving up 102.8 ppg this season. Nick young potential return could boost lakers offense. Lakers have played tight games on their last road trip vs NOH and MEM.
Key Number: Lakers score at least 101 points and can't lose both.
Score Prediction: 108-113
New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings - 2.5 (3 unit)
New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings o200 (3 unit)
no teams have been so efficient at blowing massive early leads as the Kings this year. New Orleans coming off a competitive game last night vs portland where they struggled down the stretch. Pelicans have great top talent but not that great depth. Endurance could be an issue down the stretch. Rudy Gay and Demarcus Cousins should be a problem for the pelicans in this one. I see them combining for 50 points tonight. Pelicans have given up 103 ppg on the road so far this year and over their last 5 both teams have upped the tempo with NO scoring 110.4 and giving up 102.4 and SAC scoring 101.8 and giving up 104.2. New orleans is off to a great start yet has still struggled on the road (1-3) vs Sac (3-1) at home (only loss was opening game vs GS). Sacramento has played 6 of their last 8 on the road and have now had 3 days off at home to build up to this one. Should come out with a lot of energy and get the W at home.
Key Number: Sacramento scores 102 and can't lose both
Score Prediction: 101-107
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Utah Jazz -3.5 (1 unit)
Jazz are just such a good home court advantage. OKC just 2-7 ATS on their last 9 road games and just 1-5 Su on the road this year. Next OKC heads to Den for a game tomorrow night while Utah has 2 full days off before their game vs GS. This being the first game back off a 5 game road swing I think this young jazz squad come out with more energy then the Thunder who are really just treading water until they get healthier. I see hayward having a big game in this one.
BOL to everyone tonight! lets win some $$$
So i'm back to posting picks. Health issues are in the rear view and i've been having a great year in the NBA so figured i'd hop back on here and post some picks.
I post picks a short writeup on why, and will track the record throughout the year. I play 1-3 unit plays. Obviously tail/fade at your own risk!
Happy to be back and let's beat some books!
GL to everyone tonight
148-105-6 (58%) (+122.2 Units)
1 unit: 0-0
2 unit: 2-3
3 unit: 39-25-1
4 unit: 59-37-3
5 unit: 47-36-2
>5 units: 1-1
Yesterday: 2-1 (+2.5 units)
5 units: Los Angeles Clippers -3 @ Washington
I'm sure this will be a strong publicly backed play/trap game, but I'm still going to jump on it. This Clippers team has really fallen into a slump lately, looking real pedestrian. That being said even the pedestrian version of the Clippers can beat Washington. The Clippers should be hungry for a win in this one as they try to get back on track. Jamal Crawford is listed as probable for this one which is a big factor for the Clippers, while Bradley Beal and Trevor Booker are doubtful/expected to miss for Washington. I don't see anyone on the Washington roster who matches up well with Blake Griffen and I think defensively the Clippers match up well with Washington and should keep them down around low to mid 90s. That should be enough to get the W both SU and ATS
4 units: Sacramento @ Utah under 199.5
Total has gone under in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games
Total has gone under in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 road games
Total has gone under in 6 of Utah's last 8 home games vs. Sacramento
The injuries are really starting to pile up for Utah. No Hayward, Earl Watson, Raja Bell, or Mo Williams leaves Utah with a VERY thin backcourt. The only active Jazz guards left on the roster: Jamaal Tinsley, Kevin Murphy, Randy Foye, and Alec Burks. These injuries have seemed to effect Utah's scoring as they've dropped to averaging just 96.6 ppg over their last 5. Sacramento has obviously been a joke on the road this season, only averaging 91.2 ppg on the road (86.2ppg over their last 5). I see this game being a slower paced game with Utah winning a 93-99 type game.
146-104-6 (58%) (+119.7 Units)
1 unit: 0-0
2 unit: 2-3
3 unit: 39-25-1
4 unit: 57-37-3
5 unit: 47-35-2
>5 units: 1-1
First post in just over 3 weeks. Saturday the 19th represented a real shit storm for me. Got my ass handed to me, lost some $ and then late that night ended up getting t-boned by a drunk driver late that night. Fucked myself up pretty good. Spent just over 2 weeks in the hospital. Back home rehabbing now and back to covers and capping. Hope to get back into a routine. Hopefully my head wasn't rung too bad and I can get on track with some winners.
5 units: Miami @ Toronto +5.5
Mia are 8-18 ATS last 26 Meetings
Tor are 16-6 ATS last 22 Sunday Games
Tor are 13-6 ATS last 19 home games
I wasn't a huge fan of the Raptors trade for Gay initially, but you never know. They looked great against a sleep walking LAC team, but the one thing with Gay is that he potentially could make Toronto a much better defensive team. Gay is one of the few players in the NBA that can give Lebron some problems defensively due to his length. I think Ross and Derozan can cause problems for Dwade. Ultimately I see this game coming down to rebounding. Adding Gay and getting Val back from injury makes Toronto an even better rebounding team. Miami really struggles vs. good rebounding squads. I see them struggling in this one. Toronto and their crowd should really be up for this one. I can't see Miami outside of Chris Bosh really caring too much about this one. Toronto is the play for me.
BOL to everyone. Good to be back.
BONUS SUPERBOWL PLAY:
MAX UNITS: Baltimore +4
SF has struggled against physical teams this year. Baltimores D is really good vs teams that play underneath. SF really has nobody to stretch the Baltimore D. SF's D is weakest deep. Baltimore has the guys to take the top off. I like them to get a couple big pickups and for Jacoby Jones to make 1 or 2 big special teams plays. If this game is a close one (which many are predicting), I'd be worried about having David Akers kicking fgs, and with Baltimores #2 ranked redzone D, SF will have to kick a few.
SF is 1-4 ATS when they give up 4.0+ ypc and 1-4SU. That's all their losses
SF redzone D - 28th
BAL redzone D - 2nd
If Baltimore can score TDs while holding SF to FGs they win.