Glad to see the NFL lockout over & everyone getting back to business. Free agency galore out here & plenty of players being traded. Arizona giving up alot just to get Kolb which imo, is plain stupid & only time will tell if I am wrong. Arizona giving up Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and a second-round draft pick in 2012 plus throwing Kolb a 5 year, $63 million dollar deal & guaranteeing him $20 million for being unproven is as wacky of a deal as I have seen so far this year.
The Eagles made out like bandits in this deal & I cant wait to watch this match-up on November 13th at Philly! It will be Arizonas 1st road game of 3 consecutive road games & the Eagles 3rd consecutive home game following a Monday nighter vs the Bears. The only thing holding the Eagles back right now is Desean Jackson holding out of training camp because he is not happy with his contract. Cant wait to see some of these guys getting penalized $30,000 a day...........some people make that working a full year, gotta love over paid pro athletes!
There are other great match-ups as well this season. The Broncos will start the Tim Tebow era as he will be the starter out in Denver since Orton will look to be traded to Miami likely. Bush looks to put a spark in the Dolphins & it looks as if Kyle Orton could possibly be handing him the ball.
The Panthers look to be solid in the RB position & hopefully Cam Newton has a nice pre-season which would make him a candidate for the starting job. The Panthers will definitely look to run the ball alot this season. The Titans get rid of Young & replace him with Hasselback as he looks to have help in the backfield with Johnson.
The Patriots also made out like bandits by picking up prince Albert from Washington & Ocho Cinco from the Bengals. If anyone can get these guys to play team ball, its Mr. Bill! Patriots are definitely favored to win their division & more.
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Here are some future bets that I like but I dont have any odds on them because I havent played them yet:
Saints to win their division
Ravens to win their division
S florida +3 $1100 to win $1000
First I would like to apoligize to anyone that is tailing me & let everyone know that I am buying back my bets on the Jags & the Cowboys.
I should have put more time & effort into studying these games before placing any wagers & placing a thread on Covers telling people what I like. It seems I do terrible when I rush a play & that is what I was doing when I layed my money on the Cowboys.
Im actually glad the Colts line came out late because I had not placed a wager on that game. As far as the Colts game goes, how in the world can you cap this game when you dont know whose playing & for how long. I would rather have anyone that is tailing lose the juice than to lose their hard earned money on either of these games. These games consist of 2 teams that are trying to go undefeated & as a bettor, its not a good bet trying to beat an undefeated team.
The Saints could really use a story book ending in that city after what happened to them several years ago in Louisiana. Several good cappers leaning the Saints way didnt convince me but rather helped me realize that this was a game that you either take the Saints or layoff. In fact, a good bet would be to tease the Colts & Saints.
I could look like an idiot come Saturday night but like I said before, I rather risk my money & help others out on here than to see any of us lose our money. With that being said, I will have some good plays coming up this weekend. Lets get this money the right way!
I had a write-up saying that the Vikings were statistically better in every category than the Packers. I also said that the Packers needed to stop AP & the Pack Qb would have to avoid mistakes with all the noise of the Vikes stadium, well, maybe I was asking too much out of Rodgers & his offensive line, hence the better team won & covered. Congrats to the Viking backers on Monday night. Now onto week 5 games. The games below are my leans & I will have 2 big plays out of the leans & post the official plays after ive done the research & studying. These are just leans for the time being.
(Skins +3.5), this game opened at Panthers -4.5 & quickly fell to -3.5. Carolina had a bye week but I dont think that helped any, they are still a terrible team. Not that the Skins are much better, but I just think the Skins atleast make an effort to finish games.
(Chiefs +9), The Chiefs showed some life by coming back & trying to make a game of it vs the Giants. I really dont like the Chiefs coach, I dont think this organization is clicking at all but with Dallas in an almost must win game & heavy money on the Boys, I will side with the Chiefs for now because the Boys have not shown me they are the playoff team they are hyped up to be.
(Colts-3.5), This game will be interesting, the Colts are aiming for 5-0 & the Titans are trying not to go 0-5 vs there divisional rival. Im really suprised on how a Fisher team can be 0-4. This is a prime time game & we all know what Manning is able to accomplish on the national stage. Titans beat the Colts last year on Monday night but the Colts shut out the Titans in the playoffs. This is a divisional pivotal game for the Titans, they lose here & they go 0-5 but imo, they already packed it in. The Colts will pass all over them like the Jags did in last weeks lopsided loss.
(Jets -1.5), The Jets made a game of it with the Saints, unfortunately for Sanchez's mistakes, it cost them the game & cover. Saints have a great defense & I was suprised Brees didnt have any td passes in the game. They said defense wins game & when you have 2 great defenses on the field like these teams did, the veteran Qb out played the rookie Qb. Mistakes at the Qb position cost the Jets atleast a cover & I was on the wrong side of that wager. Now as far as the Monday night game between the Jets & Miami, we have 2 Qb's that havent played many games in the NFL. The Jets have the better defense & slighly better in the statistical category. Miami doesnt want to go 1-4 but the Jets want to stay ahead of the Pats with a win, even with the same record, the Jets have the tie breaker so far. Miami is trying to salvage there season & this is the 2nd Monday night game for them since week 2. This is the only Monday night game this year for the Jets & im sure they will want to show off there talent on primetime, I know if I was Sanchez, I would want to shake off last weeks debacle & show the world what I am capable of on national tv.
(Raiders +16), The only reason I would even think about taking the Raiders is the Giants have the Saints the following week in New Orleans & they are coming off the bye & well rested. The Giants will want to have there players rested also & if Manning has any issues with his foot, they will want him to take it easy.I know the Raiders have some serious issues from top to bottom of there organization, this team is in shambles but taking into consideration the Giants upcoming role vs the Saints, I will side with the Raiders for a "small" wager +16
(Pittsburgh ML), I like the Steelers in any parlay but stick them in as a money line when inserting them in a parlay. The Steelers should not lose this game SU. The Steelers offense clicked on all cylinders on Sunday night vs the Chargers but I question there defense. I guess Polamalu makes all the diference in the world to there defense, like I really have to tell you guys that. The Lions played pretty good in the 1st half last week vs the Bears & then mailed it in for the 2nd half. The Steelers are 2-2 & need this win badly to stay within reach of the Ravens & Bengals. Take the Steelers ML in your parlays.
I may add 1 or 2 more games by the weekend.
This game on MNF has been hyped up since Favre signed with the Vikings. Ive been hearing about how Favre will light up the Pack & how the Packers run defense isnt that great, which it isnt, they rank 23rd, but I dont rely on that information in only the 4th week of the season. Vikings are better in almost every statistical category. But if you solely look at stats to base a prediction on the outcome of a pointspread, you may be dissapointed. You need to take everything into account. The Vikings are at home & there stadium is loud & causes Qb's to make mistakes. Rodgers has been in the league for a while & im sure he can handle the noise. The question is can the Packers defense handle AP? Thats why they play the game, we shall find out. Favre can handle pressure but he is also known to throw interceptions & I believe he's good for 2 of them on Monday night. Take the Packers in a tight game. Imo, Packers win ouright, but I will gladly take the points!
Packers +4 (-110) $1100 to win $1000