Hey everyone ...
Family around is keeping me busy , so I will have to be brief >
I am downgrading POW because I have lost 3 in a row ...
This will be a 2 unit play only this week . ( Oakland )
All others are 1 unit plays except Over/Unders .
Those are all 1/2 units
I will play these from 3 different sources before gametime ...
In the event I can't post lines , I will post wins , losses , or pushes based on covers final lines .
I will play most or all of these ...
Here they all count .
Good luck to all !
Week 11 : TNF Miami @ Carolina
1 unit plays : 2-0
2 unit plays : 0-0
3 unit plays : 1-0
Ml plays : 1-0 ( + 170 )
Sunday :
Baltimore ML
Detroit 1st Half -
Oakland POW + ( 2 units )
Green Bay -
Dallas -
Jacksonville -
NY Giants -
St Louis +
Kansas City +
Indi-Bal UNDER
Cin-Oak UNDER
Sea-Minn UNDER
Ariz-Stl Over
My picks :
YTD >>>> 43-30-1 SU bets +
1-0 ( + 170 ) ML bets
1/2 unit plays : 1-2-0
1 unit plays : 27-18-0
2 unit plays : 9-4-0
3 unit plays : 6-6-1
ML bets : 1-0-0 ( + 170 )
Money management is your friend !
It's
family time these days ...so I'll post when I can .
I'll update the Trends & Things thread whenever possible .
Week 10 : 4-3 1 unit plays :
2-0 2 unit plays : 0-0
3 unit plays :
2-3
Trend Pick Sunday : NY Giants
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My picks : YTD >>>> 39-29-1
1/2 unit plays : 1-2 -0
1 unit plays : 24-18-0
2 unit plays : 9-4-0
3 unit plays : 5-5-1
Game : Baltimore @ Cleveland
Pick : Cleveland + 10.5 ( 3 units )
Under 39 ( 1 unit )
Sunday : 3-2
1 unit plays : 1-0
2 unit plays : 0-0
3 unit plays : 2-2
Money management is your friend !
Good Luck
Trend Picks update :
Week 1 :
Dogs 1-0
Favs : 0-1
Totals : 0-1
Week 2 :
Dogs : 5-1
Favs : 1-0
Totals : 1-0
Week 3 :
Dogs : 0-0
Favs : 1-0
Totals : 0-1
Week 4 :
Dogs : 0-2
Favs : 1-0
Totals : 2-3
Week 5 :
Dogs : 2-1
Favs : 3-1
Totals : 0-0
Week 6 :
Dogs : 4-0
Favs : 2-3
Totals : 0-0
Week 7 :
Dogs 0-2
Favs : 2-0
Totals 1-4-1
Week 8 :
Dogs 0-1
Favs : 2-1
Totals : 0-0
Week 9 :
Dogs : 1-0
Favs : 1-2
Totals 2-3
Week 10 :
Dogs : 2-0-1
Favs : 0-2-1
Totals : 0-1
trend picks sunday : 2-3-1
YTD : 34-30-1
Dogs : 15-7-1
Favs : 13-10-1
Totals : 6-13-1
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Summary of my Plays of the week : 5-2-1 Reg season
Week 1 : San Diego - 9.5 ( vs Oak ) Lost
Week 2 : Oakland + 3 ( vs KC ) WON
Week 3 : Cincinnati + 4 ( vs Pittsburgh ) WON
Week 4 : New Orleans - 7 ( vs NYJ ) WON
Week 5 : Cincinnati + 9 ( vs Baltimore ) WON
Week 6 : New Orleans - 3 ( vs NYG ) WON
Week 7 : Houston - 3 ( vs SF ) Pushed
Week 8 : Detroit Lions - 4 ( vs St Louis ) ...Lost
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Week 9 :
New England Patriots - 10.5 ( 3 units )
Here are the top 10 reasons why I like New England :
drumm roll please.......
10 ) Preparation for the wildcat
9 ) Revenge from the loss last year @ home
8 ) Miami's pass defense
7 ) Miami's pass offense
6 )Tom Brady
5 ) Wes Welker
4 ) Rest ...NE comig off a bye
3 ) No mercy approach by Bellichick
2 ) New England playing @ home
and the # 1 reason >>>>
1) to impress DMDsharp
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Afer the Bye week trend :
Favorites coming off a bye are 42-17 ATS ( 71.2 % ) since the start of the 2006-2007 NFL season
2009-2010 NFL season >>
week 5 : ( 2-1 ATS )
Houston @ Arizona - 5.5 ...won SU & ATS
Tampa Bay @ Philadelphia - 15.5 ... won SU & ATS
Washington @ Carolina - 5 ... won SU & lost ATS
Week 6 : ( 2-1 ATS )
Detroit @ Green Bay - 13.5 won SU/ATS
NYG @ New Orleans - 3.5 won SU/ATS
Denver @ San Diego - 3.5 ( MNF ) Lost SU/ATS
Week 7 : ( 2-0 ATS )
Atlanta @ Dallas - 4 ...won SU & ATS
Indianapolis - 13.5 @ St Louis ... won SU & ATS
Week 8 : ( 2-1 ATS )
Denver @ Baltimore - 3.5 Won SU & ATS
St Louis @ Detroit - 4.5 Lost SU & ATS
Jacksonville @ Tennessee - 3 Won SU & ATS
YTD Favored teams off a bye : 8-3 ATS ( 72.7 % ) ( 9-2 SU )
Upcoming games :
Highlighted teams are coming off a bye >>>
Week 9 :
Miami @ New England - 10.5 ???
Pittsburgh -3 @ Denver ???
Notes :
Teams coming out of a bye ( as long as they are favored ) continue to be solid winners !
Favorites coming off a bye are 44-17 ATS ( 72.1 % ) since the start of the 2006-2007 season & 56-21 ATS ( 72.7 % ) since the start of the 2005-2006 season
Road Favorites went a perfect 6-0 SU & ATS last year coming out of a bye , and 1-0 ATS thus this year ( Indi week 7 )
So, RF are on a 7-0 ATS run since the start of last year's NFL season .
Pittsburgh will put that streak on the line against Denver on MNF to try to make it 8-0
There will only be two more weeks after this , where teams will be playing coming out of a bye :
Lines are yet to be determined . Highlighted are the teams coming out of a bye .
Week 10 :
Buffalo @ Tennessee
Baltimore @ Cleveland ( MNF )
Detroit @ Minnesota
Jac @ NY Jets
KC @ Oakland
New Orleans @ St Louis
Week 11 :
Tennessee @ Houston ( MNF )
Atlanta @ NY Giants
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Pick of the week : ( week 8 )
I am reaching far and low for this one .
I decided to fly low and check under the radar this week >
It just doesn't get any lower than this :
Game : St Louis @ Detroit " The Toilet Bowl "
Pick : the Detroit Lions - 4 ( 3 units )
I will attempt to provide a reasonable writeup for this pick , but don't hold your breath ...
After all , I did pick Detroit ...
Summary of my Plays of the week : 5-1-1 Reg season
Week 1 : San Diego - 9.5 ( vs Oak ) Lost
Week 2 : Oakland + 3 ( vs KC ) WON
Week 3 : Cincinnati + 4 ( vs Pittsburgh ) WON
Week 4 : New Orleans - 7 ( vs NYJ ) WON
Week 5 : Cincinnati + 9 ( vs Baltimore ) WON
Week 6 : New Orleans - 3 ( vs NYG ) WON
Week 7 : Houston - 3 ( vs SF ) Pushed
Week 8 : Detroit Lions - 4 ( vs St Louis ) ...Pending
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