First things first, I wan't to get this out of the way. Handicapper33, if you have any sense in your little mind you will not post in my threads anymore. I will create a new thread each day, rather than having a long thread because you cannot have multiple sports in one thread. You said this is all you really wanted from me so if it will shut you up, then i'm on board.
You're nothing more than a monkey with a language. Who does the shit you are doing; nobody from my generation, so either you're a kid starving for attention or a grown man with a low-watt brain. Shutup with the stupid call-outs and challenges. I'm not going to have a six game handicapping challenge with you, that's plain stupid. I never said no if there is money on the line but i'm not going to have a contest with some prick kid who has nothing better to do then spam my threads. You post all of these comments in bold so people see them, making up lies, spewing bullshi*t and being damn annoying to me and everybody. Post whatever you wan't in your own threads, so I don't have to enter and read it; just like you don't have to enter and read my threads. You know they're mine, they're even titled. Maybe I should make it in all capital letters and bold for you.
Well after a great week, I had a horrible weekend. I am sorry, to anybody that followed me this weekend, as I wen't 0-3 Saturday through Monday. It is always tough after weekends like this as it makes you very hungry to get out of the slump, but you cannot be eager and chase back your losses. Teams in baseball, well the players to be more specific, often lose games in streaks because they get into the mindset that they're not going to win; they lose confidence. So they approach the game differently than they normally would and think too much about the distractions and the numbers, rather than focussing on the fundamentals. It is the same with gambling, once we go on a losing streak of a few games we sometimes chase, raise the units or lose confidence in our abilities. Human nature takes over and we handicap the games differently than we normally would and lose grasp on the big picture. I look at today the same as if I had gone 3-0 this past weekend. I keep constant the big picture goal of a 60% average, with a fluxuation point of 55%. This is why I stated in my first post that I don't reccomend people follow my odd pick as my method may not work for them. It is tough to jump on and off somebodys picks when you know they're going to lose about 40% of them. I also mentioned in the first post that fluxuation is inevitable, especially in every form of investing. You win some, you lose some; but you damn better win more than you lose. So when you hit a little rough patch like I did this weekend just continue with the methods you use; no need to panic, no need to chase other wagers or raise how much you bet. Just keep grinding and keep your goals in reach. One more reference of comparison would be Pro Golf. Golfers rarely have their driver, irons and putter all working for them on the golf course and though a golfer might hit the green in regulation three straight holes in a row and miss the birdie putt three straight holes in a row, he can't look at the next hole any differently than he would the hole before it. I had a great week, but then horrible weekend but I approach the next hole, or in our case - game, the same. If you can't control the urges that we, as humans, get when we lose a game, then you should only be betting for fun. That Minnesota loss last night was gut wrenching for me. With a two minutes left Minnesota was down by two points and had the ball, and I had Minnesota +3.5. I was watching the game of course and thought to myself the only way Minnesota doesn't cover now is if New York Jets intercept Brett Favre for a touchdown. The feeling was the same as sitting at a poker table, All-In, with the better hand and there is only one card your opponent can catch on the river and by god, he catches it .. for the touchdown, haha. A well deserved interception TD and a well deserved win by the New Jets, but boy that is still a gut wrenching feeling after 16 years of gambling. But still, today is just a future yesterday. Let's get a win tonight. Sorry for rambling on. Now since I started posting on here i'm 10-7 (not including the MLB system I posted or the Playoff plays I posted) so technically a win tonight puts us back over 60%; see this is a positive way to look at things when everything feels negative.
Robin Hoods Posting Record: 10-7 +6.63 units (59%) [R.O.I: 15%]
Every wager is to win 2.5 units: which is equal to 2.5% of my starting bankroll.
Tuesday October 12th, 2010:
Texas/Tampa Bay under 6.5 -110
'Taking from the rich and giving to the poor'
Robin Hood
Jump on this one boys; Hamilton wins by 13+.
Hamilton Tiger Cats -6 -110 (CFL)
'Taking from the rich and giving to the poor'
Robin Hood
Robin Hood: Taking from the rich and giving to the poor.
I am new to posting on forums so below is a brief introduction about me.
- I have been handicapping for sixteen (16) years but professionally for only three years. Professionally, to me, means making enough money off your wagers to live without needing another job or source of income.
- I make just ONE selection each day, 350 days per year (I usually take off the final two weeks of the year to spend time with family and friends over the holidays).
- I flat bet all of my wagers to win 2.5% of my starting bankroll, which in MY case for 2010 was a starting bankroll of 50,000. It is much easier to win the percentage of games you set as a goal than to decide which games are worth a larger wager than the rest)
- My goal for every calendar year (Jan 1st - Dec 31st) is to win 60% of my selections [with a record of 210-140] profiting around 150% of my starting bankroll (in MY case for 2010 I had a goal to profit $75,000).
- With 16 years of gambling experience believe that I am well aware of fluxation. What I mean by this is: though my goal each year is to win 60% of my selections, some calendar years i'll win 65% and some years I will win 55% but I am confident that over the longevity of a decade [10 years] my record will hover around 60%).
- With a starting bankroll of $50,000 and flat betting each wager to win 2.5% of my bankroll I know going into each year that winning just 55% of my selections still guarantees I win 100% of my bankroll (in my case this means I win $50,000$).
- As a single bachelor with no children, this is more than enough for me to live comfortably off of.
Why am I telling you all this? I wan't to show you how easy it is to successfully profit every year and live off your winnings. Of course you need lots of experience in handicapping and personally it has been a long road for me to get to the point where I am at, but I have decided to join this forum to lend my hand.
Taking from the rich (the sportsbooks) and giving to the poor (us degenerates).
I personally divide each year into ten segments of 35 days with the goal of finishing 21-14 (60% every 35 days). This makes progress on the year easier to track and keeps your mind focussed. I won't be tracking my results in segments simply because I am mid-way through a segment as we speak. I WILL start tracking in segments once again January 1st, 2011.
How to profit off my wagers best?
I recommend that anybody interested in following my selections to set aside a mini bankroll that fits your own personal status and goals. Whether it is a bankroll of $100, $500 , $5,000, $10,000 or $50,000 etc.
If you do not have the patience to stick to one selection per day then you can still use my wagers to supplement your own. Just remember, do not risk more then 2.5% of your bankroll. I've spent years upon years handicappng and I KNOW that flat betting one wager per day is the BEST WAY to effectively boost your bankroll and if you have the knowlege and experience (which I do) you can double your bankroll, or better, every calendar year. People trying to get rich quick off gambling ALL end up losing their money, baring a borderline miracle. This is a process and i'm tired of seeing these sportsbooks take advantage of people who think they've got what it takes to get rich knowing that sooner or later they'll get greedy and lose every cent they have. The amount of handicappers that profit over the course of a calendar year has to be around 2%. Gambling is an addiction and without a smart action plan, like the one i've listed above and following the guidelines to a tee, you will lose.
STOP GIVING THE SPORTSBOOKS YOUR MONEY. THEY'RE ALL BILLIONAIRE COMPANIES ALREADY, THANKS TO YOU AND PEOPLE LIKE YOU. There are too many people out there with no structure, losing their money day in and day out and I hope that I can be the kick in the butt many of you need.
I'll have todays play posted in a few minutes and I hope that I didn't come off as rude in this opening post, but I am sick to my stomach seeing the amount of people losing money to these scumbag sportsbooks when they could be winning. Thanks for reading, if you got this far .. be smart with your money.
I personally will only be making one selection on Wednesday and one selection on Thursday so these will not go towards my record and most of the juice on these wagers are too high for me, but i'm trying to help out the guys out there who are into parlays, as all of the below wagers should win. The only wager I have doubts about is New York.
(Texas 4 - Tampa Bay 2)
(Philadelphia 4 - Cincinnati 1)
(New York 6 - Minnesota 3)
(San Francisco 3 - Atlanta 1)
Texas Rangers +114
Texas/Tampa Bay under 7 -115
Philadelphia Phillies -205
Cincinnati/Philadelphia under 7 -110
New York Yankees -135
New York/Minnesota over 7 -125
San Francisco Giants -150
Atlanta/San Francisco under 6.5 +105
'Taking from the rich and giving to the poor'
Robin Hood
I will not be betting all of these wagers, but i'll use this thread to track the results of the system this. I will wager on a few of the system plays but only the ones I like, you should NEVER use a system to make your predictions because no system can stand the test of time. Use the information I post to suplement your own ideas and predictions.
The System
Bet the UNDER in Game 1 and Game 7 of every MLB Playoff Series. It is as simple as that!
Past Results
(Betting the under to win 1 unit on each wager)
Past four years: 20-9 (69%) +10.1 units
2010: 5-2 +2.8 units
2009: 6-2 +3.8 units
2008: 4-4 -0.4 units
2007: 5-1 +3.9 units
'Taking from the Rich and Giving to the Poor'
Robin Hood