As soon as I saw the 49ers lose n Jets win I knew I would get a lower line this week for this match up. Especially with Revis out I think this has blow out written all over. Here are some trends
49errs are 12-0 ATS off a SU favorite loss
49ers are 5-0 ATS as a September favorite of 13 or less points off a SU favorite loss
49ers are 1-6 ATS in September vs a .500 or better non-conference opponent
Jets are 0-6 ATS in September vs non-division opponent off a double digit SU loss
Jets are 0-7 ATS as non-conference dogs of 4 or less points
And shiva seven posted this as well
As for SFR vs the JETS, I was thinking about Bellichick's fantastic ATS record post losing so I checked out how Harbaugh did last year in these situations:
L DAL 24-27
W CIN 13-8
L BAL 6-16
W STL 26-0
L ARZ 19-21
W PIT 20-3
Harbaugh POST LOSS 3-0 ATS but even more interesting all of these games went under the number with SFR allowing a meager 11 points in all of these games combined. I haven't read the STATS for the game but I get the impression they were gouged a little bit on defense last week which makes me think Harbaugh will be spitting fire this week. Revis is out so the OU might be a little bit higher than expected and you know what teams do when they lose a superstar like REVIS they buckle down and concentrate harder and collectively play better. I don't think the JETS offense creates the same problems for SFR as a mobile Ponder, AP running the ball, and an electrifying Harvin. The Jets don't have a blue chip running back and they have the youngest, and one of the weakest, sets of receivers in the league. I gotta HUNCH this thing smells like an under. Jets have gone over the total in 2 of their 3 games but I had half a unit on the under last week and that game should have went under the numbers - sometimes the ball bounces the wrong way. Anyways - GOOD LUCK!
Can you guys give me your opinions please and maybe other inside info. Thanks