Video: http://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmain.aspx?spt=212
My picks:
Kang: I think he's just an all around better fighter than Bisping. IMO Bisping is way over rated and got a nice push from management when they were trying to expand into the UK. 2 units.
Swick: I wasn't too impressed with Hardy in his match against Marcus Davis (even though I did bet on Hardy). I think Swick is better and outclasses Hardy tomorrow. 2 units.
Couture: I'm kind of 50/50 on this one but I can see Couture grinding out a boring decision. Normally I'd be much more confident in Couture winning, but he's getting old and over the top. I was going to avoid this one, but when I logged into 5dimes today Vera had taken the lead as the favorite and Couture was now the underdog. So I tossed a unit on him.
Manny Pacquiao: I know it's not mma, but it's on the same night so I figured I'd toss my pick up. I think he beats Cotto by decision. Cotto is big and durable so I'm not too confident in a KO. Both fighters have had trouble with their training camps which further leads me towards a decision. Pacman to win, 3 units.
I also got a couple small parlays involving all these fighters but nothing worth mentioning.
Fedor: I think he'll outclass Rogers and win ... but at these odds, there is just no value in betting him. I have a couple small parlays with him, Mousasi, Paciao, etc but as a single bet, there is just no point in it IMO. I'd bet Fedor ITD depending on price, but 5dimes doesn't have that prop.
Mousasi: Once again, I see Mousasi dominating and winning ITD but just don't see any value in the odds. I tossed him in a couple small parlays mentioned earlier.
Miller: I think Shields has a great chance at winning, but IMO the odds are inflated on Miller. I think there's a lot of value in him at +230 and tossing a unit on it.
Silva: I told myself I'd stay away from this fight unless someone gets to +170 then I'd just bet on them ... but I'm a gambling addict and +145 isn't too bad. I see this fight as truly being 50/50 and +145 is good value on a 50/50 proposition.
Risking 0.33 units:
- Shogun ... don't think he'll win but like the odds
Risking 1 unit on each of these:
- Ben Rothwell to win - Cain is over-rated and I like the odds on Ben
- Sonnen/Okami goes 3 round distance
- Joe Stevenson to win - thought Fischer had trouble with Uno's wrestling and Stevenson is even stronger / has better wrestling. Infact, I think Uno won that fight to be honest.
- Hardonk to win - I think he takes this by ko. At even money I think Hardonk is the better play and I have him as a slight favorite.
Risking 0.25 units on this longshot parlay mainly for fun:
David Haye to win
Manny Pacquiao to win
Yushin Okami to win
Joe Stevenson to win
Anthony Johnson to win
Denis Kang to win
Floyd Mayweather
Melvin Guillard
Gray Maynard
Risking 0.5 units to win 2 units.
I think Mayweather will take JMM ... most likely by decision, but just didn't want to risk him getting the KO. JMM did survive Pac though so it's most likely gonna go to decision. Played it safe and just picked sides.
Nate's last fight against Stevenson was disgusting. I had him in a couple of parlays. If Stevenson could hold off Nate on the ground I see a more explosive Guillard ko'ing Nate dispite his great chin. Part of me feels I may have been overrating Nate in the past just based on how big of a fan I am of Nick. I'm picking Guillard ... especially since he held off the submissions of and beat Tibua.
I don't think Huerta beats Maynard. He's evidently not even considering fighting after this match and focusing on acting or something. Going with Maynard. I also always felt Huerta was very VERY over rated.
Just hit all my parlays from like 3 months all tied in with Anderson ... including about a month's worth of baseball bets tied in too. 49.66 units baby!!!!!!!!!!!