13-win teams are 3-12 ats in last 15 as preseason faves.
7 wins teams are:
14-2-1 ats last 17 as preseason dogs
4-16-1 ats last 21 as preseason favorites
this fits well for buffalo as the underdog covered in last 14 and in 18 of last 20 buffalo preseason games.
hof pick: buffalo +3
2-0 CFL. Will go with 1 play and 3 teasers this week.
Upset special: Edmonton +1
After two games in which the Eskimos improved in their ground game and on their special units, they got 2 steps closer to the perfection with their effort on the defensive side of the ball and especially with the QB play last week against the best team in the CFL. No reason to think they will have a letdown here since Hamilton is a winning team and red hot right now. Not trying to take anything away from the T-Cats but the truth is, they played one game vs a winning team this season and they lost. Edmonton played three games vs winning teams and won last two.
Teasers (6.5 pts)
Edmonton +7.5 and BC/SSK Over 52.5
Edmonton +7.5 and CGY/WPG Under 58.5
BC/SSK Over 52.5 and CGY/WPG Under 58.5
Edmonton 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS in last 9 as a home dog. One of two ATS losses came in overtime. Big revenge game for them. They were down by only 2 in the 4th quarter against Montreal three weeks ago before collapsing and losing by 34. But a major improvement in their rushing offense is noticed since then. In last two games. Whitlock rushed for 102 yards on 19 carries (1 TD) and McCarty rushed for 108 yards on 14 carries (3 TD) in last two games. Their special units got a TD and their kicking game was good last week. Now they need their best player and QB to get back on track and if they can do that they will have a chance to win outright this week. Montreal struggled against Hamilton last week as they played good football for about 5 minutes in the 2nd quarter when they scored 2 quick TD's. They were scoreless and outscored by 5 in the 1st and 4th quarter and they also struggled in the third when they only scored a FG. They lost 3 of last 4 in Edmonton by double digits. My play here is Edmonton +7 but I will also play the +240 moneyline for a few hundreds.