I had a good week in the pros last week – thought I’d share. Let’s look at some numbers:
Philly 11 14 28 16 10 20
PK Detroit 32 8 24 19 27 1
The game opens up as a PK – currently the line favors det at -2.5. Philly is better in off. Rushing, def. passing and sagarin rank. Detr. Is better in off. Passing, def. rushing, and sagarin schedule strength.
When you mix it all up and you look at games played previously with this type of scenario along with an opening line of PK or low spreads 1, 1.5 – the away team usually gets the victory su. I’m taking Philly +2.5.
My Plays: 1. Philly +2.5 2. Dallas -1 3. Chicago +8
Good luck all and may all of you have a great Thanksgiving.
We went 9 – 11 last week – record stands at 119-90. Not sure if anyone watched the Charlotte game but I’ve never seen more incompetent refs and idiot players involved in a football game. We got the cover, however, we should have gotten the mline win. I’ve moved on. Let’s look at some numbers:
Monroe 121 100 166 81
4.5 Tex. State 49 127 161 111
Tex state opens up as a 4.5 fav. Currently around 6.5. Tex state is better in Total off. And sagarin rank, while Monroe is better in total def. and sagarin sched. Strength. I recognize the coach got fired for Monroe and a few injures on the off. Line. IMO believe the odds makers have made whatever adjustments necessary for these changes. If there was a starting QB injured I’d be concerned but I don’t think that is the case – please correct me if I’m wrong. When you have this type of scenario along with an opening line of 4.5 my numbers indicate – the away team usually covers and often wins su.
My plays: 1. Monroe 2. Monroe +210
Good Luck all
We went 10-13 last week – overall record stands at 110-79. I hate losing – we will get it back. Let’s look at some numbers:
Nill. Opens up as a 6pt fav. Currently around 7. The over under opened up at 55.5 currently around the same. Nill is better in Total Off., Total Def., Sagarin rank and sagarin sched. Strength. As much as Nill looks like the pick, historically the home team keeps it close, occasionally wins outright and usually goes under the total. I’m taking Buff. +7 and under the total.
My Plays: 1. Buff. +7 2. Nill/Buff Under 55.5
Good luck all
Let's look at some numbers:
Sd opens up as a 4.5 point fav. Currently around 4 – 4.5. Chicago is better in rushing off. , passing def. and schedule strength. While Sd is better in Passing off. Rushing def. and sagarin rank. When you have this type of matchup historically the home team gets the victory and covers the spread. I’m taking Sd – 4.
Good luck all.
We went 18-7 last week. Overall record stands at 100-66. Let’s try and have another winning week. Let’s look at some numbers:
Nill 36 53 72 126
8 Tol. 24 51 34 116
Tol. Opens up as a 8pt fav. Currently around 7. Toledo is better in all 4 categories – Total off., Total Def., Sagarin rank and sagarin sched. Strength. I would agree that Toledo doesn’t dominate in any category and would make one think that nill – should keep it close. However, historically when you have this situation, the home team comes out on top and covers. I like Toledo and wouldn’t be surprised if they beat them good.
Good luck all