this is a play that i will live by even if it loses.
clips had a successful 7 game roadie. going 5-2 ATS. they are really playing well recently. blowing teams out that they should blow out. golden state on the other hand has been bad at home this season. line opened at 5, now at 6.5.
the clippers are now back on the road after that home game yesterday against the wizards. they wouldve covered that game as well if it werent for some bs shot at the last second. the same wizards that they beat yesterday were off a win against guess who, the golden state warriors. wizards beat warriors, clippers beat wizards, so clippers should beat warriors right? NO! this is the 3rd in 4th for the clippers, it is safe to say that this is not the best scheduling spot for them.
the clippers have been playing out of their minds even without cp3, griffin as i hate to admit it, is good. he makes those trick shots that leaves me in awe. they are the better team here, but them getting 5 points, i dont think so. and the line has rose to 6.5 even if the public are on them.
the last game the dubs have covered, it was also against a good team in portland, the were laying the same number of points. public were also on them, again because they were the hotter team. we all know how that turned out.
revenge is also not out of the question here, we all know that infamous brawl incident last time after the game, bad blood is between these two teams. ill give the edge to the home team with the fans supporting them.
i dont usually play tnt thursdays, more alone a favorite. but i just see a definite advantage here. thats what sportsbetting is about, you dont go for those 50-50 plays. if thats the case, youre better off flipping a coin instead.
gsw -7 @ -105
the grizzlies have dominated the season series. winning by 19 at home as 2.5 favorites. then win by 8 at phoenix were they were 5 point dogs.
bad news for the suns as they just learned that bledsoe's knee needs operation and is out indefinitely.
memphis come into this game with a 4 game ats win streak. where they made the spurs a game in which was pretty much decided in the last minute.
public is all over the grizz to matchup well with the suns and continue to dominate them. a team on a short line at home will always garner some action.
i know that the suns are the best ATS team in the league. call me a sucker but im biting on them to pull off the upset. i know that they will regress at some point this season, but i think they get it tomorrow. a team cannot sustain a 70+% ATS win streak for the whole season, they just cant.
lets face it, everyone was surprised that the suns are actually ballin this season. also tony allen is out for the grizz which is big. im going with the road dog here.
phx 106 mem 99