a home and home. the knicks seem to have reached rock hard bottom. they were leading by as much as 15, 13 by half, and with a 6.5 cushion, and they still managed to lose the game and the cover.
whatever my grandpa said, which goes something like home and home games will usually split.
were getting the home team as dogs, which is a very good thing. they only have to win the game, coz mind you, i wouldnt touch the knicks even with a 10 ft pole when they are laying points.
having a bad start to the season. its been so cold. so tread lightly.
dubs playing on a b2b. had to come back and win convincingly against a good rockets team.
suns at home, who just blew last game against the kings.
dubs are a great team. but i think they are in a tough situation tonight. specially to a suns team and their energy at home. they will get up for these kind of games.
and the classic RLM wouldn't hurt either, although i got the line earlier(@ +1.5) but as of posting this is the current line. like it eitherway…
everyone must be feeling good about their hou -3 wagers locked in. it sure looks sexy afterall. four points off the real line, nothing could go wrong right?
classic lets just go with the better team who "almost" beat the defending champs, and convincingly handled business against two "so-so" teams.
who's next? another sub "so-so" team who just got their butts served by harden and company…
nothing can go wrong right?
i was looking at this game for the past 24 hours. After detroit blowing that 25 pt lead against the pacers at home, and knowing drummond was out, and knowing the nba. i was liking detroit to pull of the upset. i was able to lock in a bet on them last night +7@ +103. i just had a feeling that someone would be out on denver side dropping the line.
and it indeed came true. its now currently at denver -6@-106.
you see, this is a good spot to back a bad team. wait, i got that wrong. This is a good spot to fade a better team at home.
denver was off a 5 game roadie. it was a good spot to back them last time around against the streaking clippers. first because denver are the best team coming from a long roadie, going 18-5 in that stretch. and second, western teams as a dog coming off that said roadie is a decent 33-17 ATS.
however, it becomes worse on the second game, the second game at home as favs brings it down to a lowly 27-44 ATS. that is a big discrepancy. initially laying 7 at home is too much. advantage detroit.
and lets talk about letdown spot. last year, in the same exact situation, after denver ending the 17 game win streak of the clippers, they were 8 pt favorites at home against minnesota. they lost that game SU.
but injuries to chandler and lawson being probable just had to mess it up. im thinking of buying out of my bet now. well hey, any profit is good profit any day of the week.
just a heads up guys.