If you had to lay all of this chalk, which would you lean...and why? Just a good hypothetical that should get some discussion going.
I'd take the 8 in a heart beat.
I haven't really played much NFL b/c I put all my eggs into 1 basket this season. Now I am sweating bullets.I have 2 chances to limit my loss with the Bills playing DEN and NE the next 2 weeks. I know that the NE line will be over-inflated and the Bills will be undervalued (with what little value they still have) - so this Saturday may be my only chance to help cut my losses. Below is some very simple scenarios that I have drawn up, If ANYONE has any advice on a better route to take, please take a few moments to outline your path.
BILLS over 5.5 wins -120
Risked 2,400 to win 2,000
Scenerio 1
-2400 = -2400 (Let it ride and Bills don't win 1 of next 2 games)
Scenerio 2
-2400 + 2000 = -400 (Bills under 5.5 wins and Broncos ML win)
OR
+2000 - 2900 = -900 (Bills over 5.5 wins and Broncos ML Loss)
Scenario 3
Hell freezes over and the Bills win - which will take me having balls of still to have confidence in them at this point, which I don't
Let's get some good dialog flowing on this game y'all. I have been intrigued by this game all weak with a HEAVY lean on Seattle.
I closely watched the Skins/Boys game last week and it was a very physical game. The Skins definately had to "get up" for the divisional game and are no doubt deflated after knowing they could have beaten their long hated rival. With this motivational angle, mixed with the well known cross-country mixed with Seattle's known home field craziness..I can't get off pulling the trigger with them at -3 +100 locally here. Below is more info for the case for the Seahawks...Again, I welcome Skins backers to explain to me why they are laying their money on them.
- Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
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Home team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Seahawks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
- Seahawks are 3-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
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Seahawks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
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Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
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Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC
I'm guessing it may be Stanford -3 or possibly a pk for the 2H - from watching the game, I don't see how ND can hang...I really thing Stanford rolls. What do you all think?
Watched it jump from 11 to 13 in a few minutes on many books - anyone have a read or info on this game?