PHI comes off a bye and a fourth-quarter meltdown against a desperate DET team. They certainly need this more than ATL and will not be flat. Turnovers have destroyed PHI and hidden the fact that, aside from the meltdown late against DET, their defense has played well. The firing of the defensive coordinator has gotten attention in the media but should be of little effect here. ATL is 3-0 ATS in road/outdoor games but struggled in such games last year and has faced weaker teams and/or better circumstances in the three games this year, i.e., coming back against WAS after Griffin III was knocked out. They have been impressive but their stock may have climbed a bit too high. Also would not be surprised if they are were peaking ahead to a Sunday night showcase game next week. PHI is the play here laying less than a field goal.
SEA/DET Under 43.5
We noted SEA’s fine under record (ov-un 1-6) last week – the only blemish being the NE game that snuck over late, in large part as a result of NE running a inordinate number of plays as a result of a hurry-up, pass-heavy offense. Yet you get a 43.5 total here. DET is coming off a fine defensive effort against CHI, a better offensive squad than SEA. The defenses should have the best of it here and keep it under the total.
These teams split their last two games with NYG dominating Week 17 last season and DAL in control for Week 1 this season. Both those games were played in New York. NYG has proven to be better on the road, going 9-3 over the past season-plus. DAL is penalty-plagued and has struggled at home, going 2-8 ATS in their last ten. NYG has shown flashes of brilliance, including their Week 6 domination of SF. Given that this is a divisional rivalry with a chance for revenge for the Week 1 loss, we think we get something near the NYG best, which should be enough to win and cover.