week 1........ 6-3 +2.7 units
Duke and Det are this year's first 2 unit plays
*Hou-3 Cougars will score points and put pressure on Temple to keep up. I had a play on Temple last week vs ND + 4td, but Houston basically needs to just win for this cover.
*Tulane -6 South Alabama will struggle this year. The Jaguars will struggle in the trenches and do not have the playmakers to keep up with.... even Tulane.
**Duke -5- Blue Devils won by 24 two years ago and they are a program on the rise. Memphis is playing their first game, no surprises... they will still be horrible.
*Tex-7 Longhorns took a while to wake up in week one. They have a big advantage in the trenches plus this year, they will not have 3 QBs and a WR throw the ball. Last week, BYU outgained Vir by 140 with an even TO ratio and still lost because Hill was 13-40 throwing the ball.
*SJSU+26- (i am waiting for 28 near game time but I will use this as it is the prevolent # now) The Spartans were -2 in the turnover department and outgained the Trees last year in a 3 point defeat. Stanford has not played yet and won 8 games by 8 or less points last year.
OVER/unders may come later this week when weather is confirmed.
**Det -4 Minn is going to return to the pack. Vikings will miss Winfield's leadership in the secondary, especially in this matchup. Bush should have a big game against slow Vikings LBs.
*Cle PK Norv Turner is back where he belongs, as an OC. I think they could approach 8 wins this year. Miami overspent on a few free agents and Tannehill will miss the checkdowns to Bush when he can not read the def's coverage. O-line struggles, this will be more prevalent on the road.
*Under NYG/DALL 48- Big division matchup with Manning struggling in preseason and Brown will be missed near the goal line. Cowboys new bend but don't break def should slow the game down, meaning less times for Romo to make mistakes. Don't see both teams reaching 20.