YTD: 4-8

A horrific first few weeks.  I have a glimmer of hope as at this time last year my system turned around. Shooters keep shooting...

3:30 PM: Texas A&M +5
Playing the RLM.

8:00 p.m. play: Florida State + 6
Miami is limiting opponents to only 15.0 ppg, while opponents are scoring just 15.4 PPG against Florida State, which is yielding a mere 293.4 total ypg and FSU tops the nation with 25 sacks. However, the Seminoles have a more balanced and potent offense (generating 35.0 ppg & Miami QB Jacory Harris 8 INT's) as in their last 3 games, the Seminoles defeated Wake Forest, BYU, and Virginia by a combined 99-24 margin, covering all three games. They also held those three teams to their lowest yardage totals of the season. The Hurricanes have failed to cover in 13 of their last 16 home games when meeting foes with an above .500 record. Miami is 6-12 ATS versus ‘lined’ opponents at home since Randy Shannon became head coach in 2007. And they are 3-9 ATS as home favorites of less than 10 points. Finally, the underdog is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings. In a battle of defenses, I'm taking the points and the trends.
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10:00 p.m. Play: Arizona State +1
The Sun Devils, led by Stephen Threet who remains the top passer in the Pac-10, travel to take on the Huskies who are giving up 32.5 points per game and rank 107th in the nation in total defense (440.25 ypg). Last week, ASU freshman running back Deantre Lewis went for 104 yards on the ground, marking his third straight game over the century mark. He will be facing a Huskies defense that has been particularly generous against the run, having allowed 234.75 yards per game to opposing ground games. Additionally, I expect a letdown as Washington is coming off a dramatic 32-31 win over 18th-ranked USC. Finally, Arizona State has won 6 straight in the series and WASHINGTON is 14-28 ATS  in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.