Heat-Celtics breakdown

I predicted initially that Boston would be small favorites considering they are the Eastern Conference Champions and last years runners up in the Finals and only lost game 7 vs LA by 4 pts with Perkins injured. Furthermore Miami are playing them on their home court so really i'm not so sure why Miami are favored in this situation considering also Boston are a proven squad and we are not. Garnette their key guy is also much healthier.

We all know Miami will be a heavy public favorite in this game and vegas knows this so why would they make it so easy to lay such small points here. I mean Miami to win by 1 pt with Wade, Lebron and Bosh??? it just seems way too easy! and would seem that line is begging for Miami action.

Based on the line alone i would say to bet Boston in this game spite of initially liking Miami before i saw the opening line.



Now let's look at last years regular season match ups:

Nov 29th:
Boston in Miami - Miami lost by 7 pts

Jan 6th:
Boston in Miami game whent into O.T. w/ Garnette injured. Miami lost by 6 pts.

FEb 3:
Miami in Boston - Miami lost by 5 pts.

Including the playoffs Miami were defeated by Boston by an average of about 6 pts (not including the blow out win in game 2). Now this is with Wade being surrounded by the chumps that he had & the shallow bench that Miami had...........


So with that said now here's the other side of the coin:

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