SACRAMENTO @ GOLDEN ST

YTD  33-22 ( +20.10 units )

5u  0-0
4u  3-1
3u  7-2
2u  6-11
1u  17-8

SACRAMENTO +7.5 ( 3 units )
I know that Sacramento has had a tough time playing on the road, but you gotta take a look at who they played. 10 out of their 12 road games have come against teams with winning records. The only two current sub .500 teams they have faced this year on the road are Toronto and Minnesota. So i gotta give  them a little slack.
They go up against the Warriors today who have been a chalk in only 4 out of 18 games.  Nothing higher than a MINUS 4. Maximum overlay on the Warriors and i think I'm gonna take advantage of this. It's a division game and the value play here is Sacramento.


Good luck Guys. This is my only play today

NBA MONDAY !!!

YTD   32-20 ( +22.30 units )

5u 0-0
4u 3-1
3u 7-2
2u 5-9
1u 17-8

GOY 0-0
GOM 0-0
GOW 3-1

Game of the Week was a bust last night with the T-Wolves but overall the day was a wash. I went 3-1 with the winners being SA,CLE and CLIP.
Lakers shot 50% from the field and Rubio couldn't hit the side of a barn. Pretty much the story of the game.

PORTLAND -1.5 ( 2 units )
This line has moved significantly today due to Al Jefferson being a scratch. He's the go to guy in the paint and i think the Jazz will miss him tonight. Normally I won't sucker myself into taking a game that's moved 4 points but when the line moves from a +2 to a -2 it's not that a big deal in comparison to a -2 and a -6. The Blazers are only 3-7 on the road this season and this team eventually has to win some games away from home They have great home court chemistry, I just wish they would carry that on the road.

OKLAHOMA CITY -2 ( 2 units )
Playing the better team here on the road and laying a very reasonable number. It's been a 72 hour rest period for the Thunder which is very rare these days in the NBA. This team will have fresh legs tonight.

SAN ANTONIO +6 ( 2 units )
This isn't a team that i was focusing on playing in B2B situations this year but what Popovich did yesterday sitting the entire starting 5 mid way through the third and letting his bench play the rest of the game should serve as a huge wake up call. Even when the Spu... [More]

ALL STAR TOTAL UP 19.5 ?????????

I've never seen a Hockey All-STAR game total this high. Most books opened this total at 18 and it's been bet up to 19.5 with the Over juiced.

I remember as far back as the late 80's early 90's the total in the All star game would be around 12.5.

Obviously the game has changed since then, with big contracts and players getting seriously injured over the past few years the priority now is that no one gets hurt. I fully understand.

Carey Price made an intresting remark yesterday during the skills competition. "" I don't care if anyone scores on me , this is good for the fans".

GOOD LUCK IN YOUR WAGERS GUYS

NBA SUNDAY ""GAME OF THE WEEK""

YTD  29-19 ( +22.50 units )

5u 0-0
4u 3-0
3u 7-2
2u 4-9
1u 15-8

MINNESOTA -1.5 ( 4 units ) Game of the Week
As long as i think I'm getting favorable lines betting against the Lakers I will gladly fade this team into the ground until the odds makers realize how unworthy this team is of a decent point spread recognition.
I was on the Bucks last night and I had several posters in my thread commenting on how the Bucks have no chance because Bogut is out and it will be Gasol and Bynum all day in the paint. My reply was this !! If you have two front court 7 footers your practically gonna win every match up situation regardless of what team you face. Kobe takes more shots than Bynam and Gasol combined. They are near the bottom of the league from the 3 point line. Kobe has no desire to learn Mike Browns system that's why he's taking 25-30 shots a game. The Nba has become a point guard league and the Lakers don't have a true point guard. You shouldn't be laying points on the road with a less than mediocre bench against a team at home that sports a winning record.
This is the angle that made this play my game of the Week. The Lakers are 1-4 SU and ATS when playing B2B with the second game being on the road.
AT SAC LOST 100-91
AT DEN LOST 99-90
AT UTAH WON 90-87
AT CLIP LOST 102-94
AT ORL LOST 92-80

ALSO PLAYING----------------------
CLEVELAND +7 ( 2 units )
SAN ANTONIO +5 ( 1 unit )
CLIPPERS +6.5 ( 1 unit )
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NBA SATURDAY !!!

YTD  28-18 ( +22.65 units )

5u  0-0
4u  3-0
3u  6-1
2u  4-9
1u  15-8

MILWAUKEE +5 ( 3 units )
The Lakers aren't worthy of being a 5 point favorite on the road. NO WAY !!  Based on my Home/Road power rating skid the Bucks should be a 1 point favorite in this game. The adjustment by the books here is based on Milwaukee playing B2B and 5 of 7. The Lake show will be on the road in 8 out of their next 9 games This is one of my better games this year. Going 3u on this one.

CHARLOTTE +1.5 ( 3 units )
I'm not very high on revenge angles this year basically because teams are paying a whole lot of games bunched together but in this case the the revenge spot is within a week so I'll exempt this angle and take the Bobcats who lost to Washington by 17 points on Wednesday. These are the numbers of Wizards losses on the back end of a road game BY 21,18 and 31. This is also a 3 unit game for me.

Good luck everybody have a great Sports Gambling weekend

NBA FRIDAY JAN 27

YTD  28-16 ( +25.80 units )

5u 0-0
4u 3-0
3u 6-1
2u 4-8
1u 15-7

GOY 0-0
GOM 0-0
GOW 3-0

CLEVELAND -3 ( 2 units )
I doubt the spread will come in play here. The Cavs should easily cover this number and as a matter of fact i think this line will close around -4 or -4.5. The Nets have 13 losses this year and 10 of them have been in the DD range. They aren't very deep and will only compete if Williams and Morrow get hot. The Nets lead the league in 3pt attempts at 25.6 per game , which is not a good thing. This is about 8 attempts higher than the league average and it usually means your playing catch up most of the game.

SA / MIN OVER 196.5 ( 1 unit )
These teams played a 106-96 game earlier this year and the posted total in that game is identical to what it is today. I think the number will hit 198 by game time and  I see no reason why this game should not go over once again.


Good luck

MINNESOTA @ DALLAS

YTD 27-16  ( +23.80 units )

 

2-0 last night. A much needed comeback. Restore some confidence.

MINNESOTA +6 ( 2 units )

The Timberwolves are one of the few teams in the league with a losing SU 7-10 record but a winning ATS record of 10-7. At one point during the season they reeled off 5 straight COVERS AS A DOG against some very good teams.Simply a team that you can't overlook when getting points. The T-Wolves are currently riding a 2 game losing streak and face the Dallas Mavericks who have won 3 in a row and  will be without Dirk Nowitzki for tonights game. Marion filled in for him last game but i don't expect him to go off for 29 points again.

 

 Good luck Guys. This is my only bet today.

NBA TUE !!!

YTD 25-16 (+21.80 units )

5u 0-0
4u 3-0
3u 6-1
2u 3-8
1u 13-7

I rarely rant about my losses but yesterday was a brutal loss with Golden st. There's always one or two games per Nba betting season that are tough to swallow. Golden st was one of them.
I know a lot of the covers guys here were on the Warriors last night.
We take the loss move on and plan ahead.

If you were fortunate enough to be on the Grizzlies. I would refrain from complaining about any game that might hose you this week. Count your blessings.

TORONTO +6 ( 1 unit )
PORTLAND -5.5 ( 1 unit )

Two plays for me today

Good luck everybody

MEMPHIS @ GOLDEN ST

YTD  25-15 ( +22.85 units )

5u 0-0

4u 3-0

3u 6-1

2u 3-8 

1u 13-6

GOLDEN ST -2 ( 1 unit )

If you look at this game from a smart chart perspective, you can see that Memphis is better than Golden State in just about every offensive statistical category except from the three point line. The oddsmakers have already tipped me off here by making the Warriros a small favorite. What i mean in they just might be asking us to bet Memphis. The Grizzlies are currently riding a 6 game win streak. I've mentioned this before on a previous thread. Were not going to see to many extending win streaks this NBA season. I expect the Warriors who are on a 2 game losing skid to bounce back tonight after a heart breaking loss at home against the Pacers. Curry said he felt great after the Pacers game so no health issues here. This is a much better team than it's 5-10 record indicates.

gl

                                                                                  

THE BUCKS GETTING ONLY 9 ???????

Good afternoon Gentlemen

I haven't taken anything the past couple of days simply because i just can't find anything to my liking but i had circled the Bucks as a possible play. I thought or at least was hoping to get +11.5 or 12 in this game. The Letdown angle is in play here but not at this ridiculous spread.

If you consider the Heat were 7 point chalk agaisnt the Sixers and Spurs this week then today's pointspread  against the Bucks is not very favorable towards the dog. I'm pretty sure Erik Spoelstra is going 11 deep today and rotate the bench as much as he can

Also consider this !! Miami has won it's last 3 games by a combined 54 points. 6-0 without Wade ! James is going off for 30 every game and Milwauke has only 1 road win.

ODDSMAKERS ARE MAKING IT TOUGH

Of course this is my opinion. I'm hanging in there. We will make money. Patients equals profits.

GOOD LUCK ON YOUR GAMES TODAY EVERYONE.

NBA FRI JAN 20

YTD  24-14 ( +23.95 units )

 

ATLANTA +6 ( 2 units )

I don't want to take anything away  from the sixers 6-1 ATS home record but you do have to take a look of whom they beat. Five of those teams were Wash,Mil,Sac,Det and Tor. They lost outright against the Nuggets and beat the Pacers by 10. They've been a chalk in all 7 home games ranging from -6 to -13 virtually agaisnt teams with losing records. So are they worthy of being a 6 point favorite. According to my charts not against the Hawks. ATLANTA IS THE PLAY HERE.

MEMPHIS -3.5 ( 1 unit )

I seldom lay points on the road but I gotta make an exception here. This is reasonable price considering the Pistons are the worst team in the league, or at least in my opinion. No chemistry whatsoever. Their best player just might be Greg Monroe who gets his ass kicked in the post. The pistons average home margin of loss is 15.4 points a game.

 GOOD LUCK EVERYONE. I MIGHT ADD A FEW MORE GAMES WAITNG FOR THE THE REST OF THE LINES TO COME OUT. WILL POST THEM ON THIS THREAD

(( NBA WED ))

YTD  22-14  ( +20.95 units )

5u  0-0
4u  3-0
3u  6-1
2u  2-7
1u  11-6

ATLANTA -1.5 ( 2 units )
These teams are pretty much even on multiple power ratings, but if you consider that home court is worth anywhere between 3 to 6 points that would mean laying -1.5 with the Hawks is reasonably fair. The kicker here is that they catch Portland on a 4/6 on the Road.

SACRAMENTO +6 ( 1 unit )
Yes that's right !! I'm chasing the Sac of Potatoes once again. This might be a stubborn bet more than anything else but at 6 points I Just can't pass up the value of a home dog.

gl

NBA MON JAN 16

YTD 20-12  ( +22.10 units )

5u  0-0
4u  3-0
3u  6-1
2u  2-6
1u  9-5

Game of the Week 3-0
Game of the Month 0-0
GOY 0-0

I thought I'd post my games early since there are some afternoon games tomorrow.



SACRAMENTO +7.5 ( 2 units )
The Kings are coming off a game in which they scored 60 points and shot a stunning 25% from the field. Flat is probably an understatement. This team is under achieving . The last game at Dallas was an embarrassment. I expect a much better performance today. The question i ask myself ! Are the T-WOLVES a team that is ready to be laying 7.5 points. They are 7-4 ATS but 2-2 when laying points. They laid 6.5 against the Cavs and 4.5 against Memphis and lost both games straight up. This number 7.5 is an all time high for Minnesota and a comes against a desperate team. I can't help myself here but to take the dog.

WASHINGTON +5.5 ( 1 unit )
This is not a good spot for the Rockets who are 1-6 on the road. This game is sandwiched in between 5 home games.

CLEVELAND +2 ( 1 unit )
Obviously the wrong favorite in my opinion. The reason why the oddsmakers decided to make the Bobcats a favorite is because the Cavs are playing their 7th straight road game. It actually isn't that bad because it's been over a 13 day period and when you consider we do have some 9 game in 12 night situations this season I'm going to dismiss this as an excuse for a young upcoming ... [More]

Nba Sat Jan 14 """NBA GAME OF THE WEEK"""

YTD  18-11  ( +17.15 units )

5u 0-0
4u 2-0
3u 6-1
2u 1-6
1u 9-4


CLIPPERS -2.5 ( 4 units )Game of the Week

''Let the Battle for LA begin"" It should read more like ""Changing of the Guard" As soon as the schedule came out for 2012 tonight's game has become one of the most anticipated match ups of year.
After getting a beat down for several years it's time for payback.
By installing the Clippers as a -2.5 point favorite in practically a neutral court game the odds makers have distinguished the better team. " Of course no surprise to me" Actually i would of made the Clip joint -4 in this game.
Match up problems for the Clippers ?? None whatsoever.
This team can play defense. When it counted they held the Heat to 3 points in Overtime on Wednesday. Jordan is becoming one of the best shot blockers in the league.
Absolutely no letdown here by the Clippers. They win this game by DD's. Last but not least they catch the Lakers on a 4 games in 5 nights situation.

UTAH -8.5 ( 2 units )
SACRAMENTO +12 ( 1 unit )

Good luck have a nice Weekend. It's getting up here.

CLEVELAND @ PHOENIX

YTD 17-11  ( +15.15 units )

5u 0-0
4u 2-0
3u 6-1
2u 0-6
1u 9-4

CLEVELAND +7 ( 2 units )
A possible outright win ! It wouldn't surprise me at all. Both teams have identical records 4-5 SU and 5-4 ATS. Even the PF/PA and FG% are strikingly similar. This is the 5th game of a current 7 game road trip for the Cavs. They have a SU win at Minnesota a single digit loss against the Jazz ( IN A GAME WHERE THEY WERE A 5 PT DOG ) Hence today's value at +7 !! and they were on the back end of two blowouts. The good thing here is that none of these games were played B2B there has been a rest day in between each road game. So tiredness shouldn't be an excuse. Taking the Cavs today in what i think should be a close game here. The Suns are coming off 2 lopsided victory's against the Trailblazers and Bucks at home and then getting crushed at  Staples Center in their last game.I've noticed a little trend developing here in the 2012 season where teams are putting 2 good games and 2 bad games within a weeks sequence. Could be many reasons for this, but the most obvious one is the condensed schedule.

Good luck Guys, This is my only play today.

NBA TUE JAN 10

YTD  15-10  ( +13.25 units )

5u 0-0
4u 2-0
3u 5-1
2u 0-5
1u 8-4

WASHINGTON -1.5 ( 3 units ) POD
The Wizards are desperately seeking a win and i couldn't think of better game than this one here today against the Raptors.
Four games in 5 nights for Toronto and this road game here is sandwiched in between two home games.
The Wizards actually haven't played too bad at home. They are 0-4 but if you exclude the home opener against the T-Wolves their other 3 home losses have been by a combined 17 points.
This isn't a good spot for the Raptors. I've seen this play out with this Toronto team way too many times. A big home win the previous night and they just flatline versus a sub .500 team the following day.

SACRAMENTO + 10 ( 2 units )
The sixers came through for me last night but it's about time they don't cover a spread. At 7-1 ATS you gotta start looking the other way this number will eventually  regress. 76ers home wins have been against Toronto,Detroit and a Granger less Pacers team.

UTAH -5 ( 1 unit )
Surprise !! Surprise!! Only -5. What am i missing here ?
Jazz 4-0 at home. I seriously doubt that Cleveland will be the team to hand Utah it's first home court loss.My only concern here is getting the cover.

good luck everyone------------Let's keep the grind going.

NBA MON JAN 9

YTD  14-10 +12.25 ( units )


PHILADELPHIA -4.5 ( 1 unit )
Small wager for me today on the Sixers. I capped this spread at about 6. One of the better early season ATS teams thus far. I don't see a let down not quite just yet.


gl

MAGIC @ KINGS

YTD  14-9  ( +15.4 units )

5u 0-0
4u 2-0
3u 5-0
4u 0-5
1u 7-4


SACRAMENTO +6.5 ( 3 units )POD
From a point spread value perspective ! I think this number is correct. After all the Kings have been on the opposite side of three plus 20 point blowouts. So there is a valid reason why they are getting 6.5 points.
What is in play here is the new coach angle!  Westphal gets fired and it  looked as if this team changed it's spark plugs.
A 21 point comeback in their last game with 3 player season highs to boot. Thorton 27 points, Evans 10 boards and CRY BABY COUSINS also had a season high with 15 rebounds.
Westphal benched Demarcus on 2 occasions and after Keith Smarts first game as the Kings coach. I can quote Cousins as saying """I FELT FREE OUT THERE, IT JUST FELT GOOD TO BE ON THE COURT"" I'm not sure if Smart is the long term answer for this team but since this is only his second game as head coach. Well then this is a fresh new coach angle which will have some short term effect SACRAMENTO becomes the WISE GUY WAGER OF THE DAY.


good luck everybody

AND WILL SOMEBODY PLEASE PRAY FOR TEBOW

SAT JAN 7 """NBA GAME OF THE WEEK"""

YTD  12-8  (+12.5 units )

5u 0-0
4u 1-0
3u 5-0
2u 0-4
1u 6-4

GOY 0-0
GOM 0-0
GOW 1-0


MILWAUKEE +10.5 ( 4 units )Game of the Week
Current Bucks road run 0-3 SU/ATS !! Then why would i want to play a team that has been struggling ?? Simply because i think this line is inflated by about 3 points. They could of easily won two out of those three games. A five point loss at Denver and in which they had a one point lead with less than a minute left and three days later they shoot 51% from the field in a 3 point loss at Sactown.
Here's my argument on POINT SPREAD VALUE !!! Oddsmakers install Denver as a 5 point chalk five days ago and today the Clippers are a 10.5 point chalk. I seriously doubt that the CLIPPERS ARE 5 POINTS BETTER THAN DENVER ON A NEUTRAL POINT SPREAD VALUE CHART.
Bogut probably out for today's game ! That's fine ! Gooden is a more than capable fill in. I love the CP3/JENNINGS match up. With CP3 getting all the attention you would think Jennings will bring his A-GAME.


GOLDEN ST -3 ( 2 units)
ATLANTA +6 ( 1 unit )

good luck, Have a nice weekend guys.

NETS @ RAPTORS

YTD  11-8 (+9.5 units )

5u 0-0
4u 1-0
3u 4-0
2u 0-4
1u 6-4

NEW JERSEY +6.5 ( 3 units )
Nice little spot for the Nets to break out of their 6 game skid. Williams and Humphries will be back for tonight's game. Nets are last in the league in FG % so that number can only go up. Raptors playing some good defense. Dwane Casey has done a good job making the best of what he's got. I just think that the Raptors might start to get a little over confident. Consistently laying points is not a familiar role for Toronto. They covered as a 5 point on Chalk on Wednseday winning by 15 points against the Cavs in a score that was a little misleading.They are laying -6.5 today so my bet will be on the NETS.

LAKERS @ TRAIL BLAZERS

YTD 10-8  ( +6.5 units )

5u 0-0
4u 1-0
3u 3-0
2u 0-4
1u 6-4

PORTLAND -3.5 ( 3 units )
This Laker team has not impressed me one bit this year. It's basically a 3 man team and Kobe knows it, that's why he takes about 30 shots a game. You might be able to get away with this in the short term but over the course of year this team will tank. This is only the 3rd road game for the Lakers and in their previous 2 away games they are 0-2 losing by a combined 18 points. Just look at their last game against the Rockets. They shot 10 % higher from the field than had 20 more free throw attempts and were +15 on the boards, yet they only won by 9 points.  THE BLAZERS ARE BALANCED UNIT 8 DEEP AND A VERY TOUGH TEAM TO BEAT AT HOME. AT -3.5 THIS LINE IS A BARGAIN. PORTLAND HAS SOME QUALITY WINS THIS YEAR.


GOOD LUCK

((( NBA WEDNESDAY )))

YTD  10-6  ( +9.6 units )

5u 0-0
4u 1-0
3u 3-0
2u 0-3
1u 6-3

MINNESOTA pick ( 2 units )
WASHINGTON +13 ( 1 unit )


good luck

(( NBA MONDAY ))

YTD 7-5 ( +5.65 units )

5u 0-0    

4u 1-0

3u 2-0

2u 0-3

1u 4-2

 

MILWAUKEE +6 ( 3 units )pod

This B2B2B will be a tough racket this seaon for any team but i still think you have cap a little and find the right stop. For anyone fading this angle so far this season you would be 0-2 ats but I'll take my chances today with Milwaukee. This is a horrible spot for the Nuggets as a favorite. Four games in 5 nights with 3 of them away from home . All tough games with several lead changes. I like the Bucks in a possible OUTRIGHT WIN.

 

ATLANTA +9.5 ( 1 unit )

NEW JERSEY +6 ( 1 unit )

WASHINGTON +11.5 ( 1 unit )

GL HAVE A GREAT WEEK

((( NEW YEARS DAY CARD )))

YTD  5-3  ( +6.75 units )

5u  0-0
4u  1-0
3u  2-0
2u  0-2
1u  2-1

GOY 0-0
GOM 0-0
GOW 1-0

Happy New Years to all my friends here on Covers. Hope 2012 is full of success !!

After posting B2B winning day's I'm gonna take a little shot with 4 relatively small unit wagers. All 4 games here are fall within my capping criteria.

NEW-JERSEY +3.5 ( 2 units )
WASHINGTON +7 ( 1 unit )
MINNESOTA +3 ( 1 unit )
DENVER -4.5 ( 1 unit )


AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK