44-dimes's Blog

NBA FRIDAY !!!

By 44-dimes | View all Posts
Posted Friday, February 03, 2012 05:32 PM   46 comments
YTD  36-22  ( +26.10 u )

5u  0-0
4u  3-1
3u  8-2
2u  7-11
1u  18-8

DETROIT +4.5 ( 3 units ) Best Bet
I've been following what teams do in their next game after beating the Heat. Why is this relevant ? The Heat have 6 losses this season ATL,GS,CLIP,DEN and MIL twice. Only once in 6 tries has a team won it's next game after beating Miami.
The Bucks fall nicely into this situational angle. There is a Maximum letdown in play here. A 3-0 home stand ,rallying back from an 18 point deficit and now facing a team that is seeking for a 21 point drubbing last Monday. This has caused the oddsmakers to adjust this line a little higher than it should be.
The Bucks were a 7 point favorite last Monday at home and just 4 days later they are a 4.5 point favorite on the road. That's an 11.5 point swing in a matter of four days. WAY TOO MANY POINTS !!
THE PISTONS ARE THE PLAY.

NEW -YORK +6.5 ( 2 units )
DALLAS -4.5 ( 1 unit )

Good luck everybody
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46 comments
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KBrick84 says:
02/03/12 05:35PM

Was really looking at NY...and was gonna take a stab at the ML if I can get word on Rondo.  Know anything I dont?

phat03 says:
02/03/12 05:36PM
Handicapper33 says:
02/03/12 05:37PM
44-dimes says:
02/03/12 05:37PM

He's probable that's why it's 6.5. I don't mind. Or else it would of been a -5.

gl

Professional1 says:
02/03/12 05:41PM
yela on milw first half
doube says:
02/03/12 05:41PM
how the true line should be around you think , for mil? whats ur line on it.
detroit is playing horrible so im curious about it.

gl 
thatsagoodone says:
02/03/12 05:41PM
detroit
Islandstyle says:
02/03/12 05:43PM

Pistons

I just can't see the Bucks taking the Pistons serious in this spot

BOL on the rest

Full-Grown says:
02/03/12 05:45PM
Get that Dimes
Riceboi says:
02/03/12 05:46PM
pistons
Makaveli1 says:
02/03/12 05:46PM
 BOL Dimes!  
BJaRz says:
02/03/12 05:47PM
composite says:
02/03/12 05:48PM

I like the angle in the Detroit/Milwaukee game... except it's Detroit, possibly the worst team in the NBA.

How Joe Dumars still has his job is a complete mystery.  Talk about someone still milking the '04 NBA Title.

44-dimes says:
02/03/12 05:49PM

They are horrible. I agree with you, and your not gonna get too many guys betting a 4-20 team. Knight ,Stuckey,Monroe and Prince are clearly under achieving but this is a bet against the Bucks.

doube says:
02/03/12 05:49PM
you like to go against lal, should nuggz -4 be a play  ?
44-dimes says:
02/03/12 05:53PM

Don't like it

LetEMride says:
02/03/12 05:54PM
NY on a b2b against an improving BOS squad on 3 days of rest at home?

DET caught my eye. GL 44!
emililanos says:
02/03/12 06:02PM
DETROIT +4.5
ManassaMauler says:
02/03/12 06:05PM
bol 44
44-dimes says:
02/03/12 06:05PM

It's a reverse swing. The number goes down to Zero and then back up the other way, because  Milwaukee goes from home to road. Milwaukee is probably about 3 points bettter than Detroit on NEUTRAL COURT , the odds makers made them a 7 point favorite last Monday adding Milwaukee Home court value of 4 points. The differential today ( BUCKS -4.5 ) is only 2.5 points ( NOT THE SWING ) That line just has Pistons Value written all over it.

 I KNOW I KNOW -----------A BUNCH OF MUMBO JUMBO

Riceboi says:
02/03/12 06:07PM
Even after this thread i'm sure like 500 people make a bet on pistons and the line is still not moving lol.
winner005 says:
02/03/12 06:07PM
smartbets says:
02/03/12 06:10PM
gl dimes
imtheboss says:
02/03/12 06:11PM
fosta says:
02/03/12 06:15PM
Pistons

BOL Today
babyrd3 says:
02/03/12 06:19PM

44 much respect to you but Det is garbage and hard to pull the trigger on that game.

I really like Toronto tonite.  Any feedback on that game?  They are both bad teams but I think Toronoto is motivated to take it out on the Wiz tonite. 

Jose_Reyes says:
02/03/12 06:20PM
Good luck 44    
44-dimes says:
02/03/12 06:25PM

Hey I can say the same about the Raptors. Won't catch me laying points without Bargnani any time soon.

Good luck to you

golflover123 says:
02/03/12 06:32PM
I don't understand something last night we faded the team ( 76's) after a four or more away game stretch, and tonight we're playing them?
golflover123 says:
02/03/12 06:45PM
Sorry I meant the Hawks were faded last night, but we on Det. tonight? Confused? 
MaxDawg15 says:
02/03/12 07:05PM
Hey dimes... remember that theory you had earlier this week about a team being on the rad for a while and then not play well thier first game home.   Wouldn't that apply to Detroit since they have been on the road the past 4 games?
MaxDawg15 says:
02/03/12 07:05PM
road*
MaxDawg15 says:
02/03/12 07:18PM

 

Just curious... Thx dimes! Keep up the good work! 

MaxDawg15 says:
02/03/12 09:57PM
 Nice hit on Detroit! Won me a ton!  Keep up the great picks!
44-dimes says:
02/03/12 07:15PM

If you checked my entire thread from top to bottom. I replied to one of the Posters as follows. '' I'M LOOKING TO FADE A TEAM THAT'S LAYING POINTS COMING OFF A SUCCESSFUL ROAD TRIP PLAYING  RATHER THAN TAKING A TEAM THAT HAD A DISSAPOINTING ROAD TRIP.

gl

jeepnjake says:
02/03/12 11:45PM
Nice job with Detroit.  GL tomorrow and for the rest of the season.
MEX_ROOKIE says:
02/03/12 11:10PM
dendogg55 says:
02/03/12 10:09PM
CoverLane says:
02/04/12 04:09AM
Cheers on Detroit,

Locked it in as my only play; when I saw it was your 3 unit play, I was even more confident and and another 33% on to it.

Thanks for the extra 1/3rd

JPSM says:
02/03/12 06:52PM
Encore says:
02/03/12 11:07PM
Ya did good even tho it "was a tough card"...
Way to focus...
Great unit application...
The 3 unit play seemed super solid to me with you coming off those 2 wins yesterday and layin another 6 units the next day...Further testament that you only play when you feel there is a play...Great isolation and discipline.


                                                
Makaveli1 says:
02/03/12 11:32PM
 Good calls tonight! 
spoon_ek says:
02/04/12 05:59AM
could have followed you in that detroit play. too bad my book is closed 7-8 hours before the games. good hit btw. any leans for saturday? 
brandinm75 says:
02/03/12 10:04PM

DIMES,

THANKS FOR GREAT ADVICE ON THE DETROIT GAME TONIGHT!!!!!!

 

ALLlDOlSWiN says:
02/03/12 06:49PM
gl dimes 
Hobb says:
02/04/12 03:48AM
Thanks for the Detroit pick.  Sent you a friend request
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User: 44-dimes
Joined: February 2009
Location: Quebec
Team: Kansas City Royals
Occupation: Accounting/Finance

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