44-dimes's Blog

CLEVELAND @ MIAMI

By 44-dimes | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, February 07, 2012 07:25 AM   137 comments

YTD  41-25 ( +31.95 )

5u 0-0

4u  3-1

3u  9-2

2u  10-12

1u  19-10

CLEVELAND +13 ( 3 units )Best Bet

I really like this play, I'm going 3u on this one. Fading the Heat as a significant size favorite has been money this year, and it really makes sense when you think about it. The ultimate goal for Miami is winning a Championship and not covering spreads as their 10-14 ATS record indicates. Their chalk is often over inflated and they don't get the job done especially agaisnt the bottom feeders. There are different circumstances for every game. When you look at their  20 point win at Philadelphia last week they  played that game with revenge bringing their A game on the court. I'm looking at Miami's last 5 games against teams with losing records.

VS TOR  W BY 6

AT MIL L BY 8

VS NO W BY 14

VS NY W BY 10

VS DET W BY 3

VS CLE W BY 7

As recent as Jan 24 they were a 14 point favorite against the Cavs and only won by 7. Miami is will be looking ahead to an 8 game road starting tomorrow at Orlando. This is good time for Spoelstra to rotate his bench and keep the Big 3 rested for the up coming road trip. FINAL MIA 95 CLE 88

good luck guys this is my only bet today.

137 comments
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DeVille says:
02/07/12 07:30AM
imtheboss says:
02/07/12 07:37AM


YTD is his win loss record for betting in games. 5U, 4U, 3U, 2U and 1u shows the amount of units he is willing to lay on a particular bet.
JPSM says:
02/07/12 07:38AM
same idea. I love it how we are on the same side 
wating94 says:
02/07/12 07:43AM
cleveland
emililanos says:
02/07/12 07:56AM
CLEVELAND +13
Greenie2000 says:
02/07/12 08:02AM
I'm on the same side!! What do you think about Bos -14?
ringneck82 says:
02/07/12 10:05AM
TrapPlayah says:
02/07/12 10:14AM
YTD means Year To Date


BOL 44. Im staying away from this one
geto_fab says:
02/07/12 10:16AM
ShareMyPicks says:
02/07/12 10:19AM
I have a feeling that the heat will cover. They're bound to win ATS and thats the whole point why Im betting heat. After winning by 7 and no cover, I expected a 11.5-12.5 line.. But its still set at 13. Sorry if it doesn't make sense. Goodluck buddy! :)
brandinm75 says:
02/07/12 10:22AM

Should have went 2-3 yesterday. Terrible call to cost Portland the game & points last night..

BOL TONIGHT!!!!!!

kaponofor3 says:
02/07/12 10:36AM
I knew you would be on CLE without even opening your thread -- "no way 44 is going to be laying 4 possessions with MIA in this spot." Sure enough


th9nip says:
02/07/12 10:44AM
Tough night last night, we got lucky with 6ers and unlucky with blazers :(.

Nets looked awful, Morrow may have helped out a bit.

Lets go Cavs
Makaveli1 says:
02/07/12 10:45AM
  BOL Dimes!
lts41 says:
02/07/12 10:52AM
took miami, BOL! 
imtheboss says:
02/07/12 11:11AM
Iainsc2 says:
02/07/12 11:14AM
thanks for the info , was on it ,got on it just before i read this post , feeling a little more at ease with the best now .

Also OKC - 2.5

Boston Under

GL everyone
kapuna says:
02/07/12 11:20AM
Awesome analysis 44..Looks like a winner to me!
JPSM says:
02/07/12 11:21AM

Light bulb moment for you my friend 
evilelvis says:
02/07/12 12:12PM
King_Ram says:
02/07/12 12:46PM
2ndHalf_Dimes says:
02/07/12 12:58PM
I love it 44dimes!  Let's get it! 
LetEMride says:
02/07/12 12:59PM
does anyone know why the line came down at some places?
nakadinhi says:
02/07/12 01:10PM

I'd say from his OP he would be on the over...FINAL MIA 95 CLE 88...

183 total and the current line is 176.5...not a play for him... just a prediction of score...
buckeyefan80 says:
02/07/12 01:20PM

current line is 198.5  opened at 196.5 so under would be it
FredexGround says:
02/07/12 01:28PM
anyone have any insight on this? 
  • The Cavs have elected to cut Mychel Thompson rather than guarantee his contract for the rest of the season. They will play shorthanded against Miami. To replace Thompson, the team will either sign a D-Leaguer to a 10-day contract or make the move America has been clamoring for and call up Manny Harris.

  • and gibson has a neck infection that has been bothering him... 

joewashington says:
02/07/12 10:08PM

First bet I ever made in my life was Miami against Boston College.....With 4 minutes to go I put the big W down on my sheet....3.5 minutes later Flutie throws it up in the endzone and I have to scratch out that big W......

I learned then to never put up the big W until the clock was 0.00...

joewashington says:
02/07/12 10:19PM

You're so upset.......you lose your $10.00 too??

jackdfan says:
02/07/12 10:18PM
I had this down for a loss and went to check college scores................wow!
instinctpicks says:
02/07/12 10:03PM
Mike the moose miller.
666LES says:
02/07/12 05:05PM
Look it up-when Clv plays Mia they still carry a grudge. This is a playoff game for Cavs.GL
JEFFMARKETCAP says:
02/07/12 10:53PM
Fuckn Mike Miller hits a fuckn meaningless 3  I had em at 14
BestKeptSecret says:
02/07/12 05:06PM
gL...
insatiable says:
02/07/12 03:47PM
Ezmoney123 says:
02/07/12 10:12PM
wow dude stop acting like ur a top capper.  Every fin time u lose.  Your picks fin suck.  Just dont act liek ur a special fin capper when u have more losing picks then winnning ones.  Advice for evryonoe who follows you-stop now.  Should of known theres a fin problem when ur unit is $10
placeholder says:
02/07/12 03:57PM
Good luck! 
LetEMride says:
02/07/12 02:19PM
i took it at 13 and it goes to 13.5!!! i always tell myself that wagering early is hardly ever a good idea. dah well, i doubt that half point comes into play at all.
LetEMride says:
02/07/12 05:16PM
IMO rivalry is done with. Cavs have moved past it and so has LBJ. its just basketball tonight. Cavs have been playing great ball with the current missing players. 

Last time they played in MIA with current players MIA's largest lead was 8 in the whole game. 
BJaRz says:
02/07/12 04:59PM
dimeplayer68 says:
02/07/12 05:04PM

Agreed

I got 1 unit on ML also

GL 44D

44-dimes says:
02/07/12 03:58PM

 Good one-----------Any stock options

44-dimes says:
02/07/12 04:01PM

 Can't really say it might come down again.

44-dimes says:
02/07/12 04:06PM

They beat Dallas without Gibson and Parker.

Thompson will start but they'll rotate him quickly. Irving 40 plus minutes, no problem.

44-dimes says:
02/07/12 03:56PM

I'm not crazy about laying 14 with the Celtics, but I don't like the Bobacats they don't have a legit Guard on the floor right now.

44-dimes says:
02/07/12 10:14PM

OK THANKS---------I WILL FOLLOW YOUR ADVICE

44-dimes says:
02/07/12 10:09PM

I hear you. Absolutely stunning. Thought this would stay within the number.

Too bad I'm at a loss myself.

44-dimes says:
02/07/12 11:05PM

No big deal. I've been bashed before. I recall one day during the WNBA season i was 30 games over .500 and someone went Haywire because i convinced him to play a side and of course it lost.  It was probably one of two things Just a miserable SOB or someone that felt better by blaming others for their loss.

Most guys here will back you up, but there are some that  will  to tear you to shreeds when things aren't going well.

Good luck everybody, hope you had a better night than i did. Looking at tomorrow's games.

djitow says:
02/07/12 05:17PM
jcygts6 says:
02/07/12 02:32PM
Bad sign when line moves to 13.5
jcygts6 says:
02/07/12 02:33PM
May be a smackdown by miami
smartbets says:
02/07/12 04:37PM
gl today dimes
waterscliff3 says:
02/07/12 04:30PM
Niiiice
stevenp says:
02/07/12 01:59PM
EXCELLENT CAPPING.  and kyrie irving won't be a bottom feeder for long.  ask dallas and boston!
PLAYAAAA1969 says:
02/07/12 10:12PM
bARFFFFFFFFF 
mrfade says:
02/07/12 10:04PM
fucking shit
lakerballah08 says:
02/07/12 10:16PM

Dimes lets get a bail out for tonights game

leaning gsw +3

imtheboss says:
02/07/12 10:02PM
imtheboss says:
02/07/12 10:03PM
That turnover killed us.
pemalibongol212 says:
02/07/12 05:16PM
CoverLane says:
02/07/12 09:46PM
\\ go cavs go
faifai9394 says:
02/07/12 10:07PM
heat always hate my when i bet on heat i lose then i bet on other side i lose
JPSM says:
02/07/12 10:08PM
Fucking A 
gomburzago says:
02/07/12 09:19PM
It's not over
MIKECOUU78 says:
02/07/12 02:13PM
Best of luck 
Roonie says:
02/07/12 04:35PM

Honestly screw the spread for this game, it's a crabshoot.  I just can't stop looking at the props at this game. 

Kyle Irving Points 17.5

Lebron James Points 27 and over/under is basically 4/12 cents juice

Wade Points is 23..

Go over on all these and I see 2 wins for sure?

sabermaths says:
02/07/12 10:18PM
ramon session is a scrub
x-tian-230k says:
02/07/12 06:51PM
Great pick dimes
winner005 says:
02/07/12 11:34PM
Encore says:
02/07/12 09:51PM

                                               

                                  C'MON   
Encore says:
02/07/12 10:07PM
Next.


                
Makaveli1 says:
02/07/12 10:34PM

Good bet imo. Capping at 65% (?) there will be some losses too so good money management helps and the hater (or two) probably don't have this going on. EZmoney ... well, your always a fuck so who cares. No big deal and there is a solid schedule tomorrow.

Thanks Dimes for all of your insight bud!!!  

Shan304non says:
02/07/12 10:42PM
Ezmoney must b on the wrong side of his bet everytime!! Dont even pay attention to that dude!! always 2moro and a another game!! Lets get that MOOHLAY!!!! Cant win them all shyt! if thats the case i wud move ta vages and win 50k everynite! 
Shan304non says:
02/07/12 10:53PM
Dude is such a loser cant believe he's trippin over one game !! Talkin like that dont even need to look at cappers plays and flip a coin dude!!    LOL
Shan304non says:
02/07/12 11:12PM
Story of my life!!!! LOL a few people told me to pull the trigger on florida 2nite wit 1100 !!!!  i was like O hell now too inconsistent! Hit the Suns, and Jazz! We live ta fight another day!! BOL PEEPS!
Shan304non says:
02/07/12 10:57PM
Lost wit boston on the o/u wit a useless 3! 2 fn games!! but life goes on!!! Jacked up but ready ta bounce back!! 
Shan304non says:
02/07/12 03:44PM
clubtnt says:
02/07/12 10:15PM


asshole.
clubtnt says:
02/07/12 10:10PM
tough one, but it's the nature of the beast. regroup and move on.
Number34 says:
02/07/12 10:01PM
fuck you Mike Miller
3DTV says:
02/07/12 10:01PM
Did we get screwed or what?
Yung_Moolah says:
02/07/12 10:04PM
brandinm75 says:
02/07/12 10:04PM

..

At a lose for words..

brandinm75 says:
02/07/12 10:47PM

DIMES,

Like I said before I appreciate your insights & spins on the games.

You are not telling anyone to play what you are, you are just trying to help everyone make money...

I can't believe anyone would give you a hard time for a loss, it happens no one is perfect!!!!!!!!!

3 point difference & you would have been getting all the praise!!!!!!!

I WILL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW YOU AS YOU ARE A KNOWLEDGEABLE BETTOR, WHICH I AM THANKFUL FOR!!!!!!!!

BOL AS ALWAYS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

 

brandinm75 says:
02/07/12 11:05PM

ME TOO!!

PERFECT STORM BOSTON GOING OVER BY 1 POINT & MIAMI TOO!!!!

SORRY TO HEAR YOU WERE I THE SAME BOAT AS ME, TOMMORROW WILL BE BETTER!!!!!!!

BOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Statigician says:
02/07/12 04:36PM
I'm taking Cavs 1st half +8.
BOL!
coldsnap55 says:
02/08/12 02:08AM

If you are following DIMES and losing I think I know why.....

 

Your reading and math skills must be as bad as your spelling skills.

joewashington says:
02/08/12 01:15PM

For somebody that "swings" around a whole $5K you sure are upset about a few $200 units.......maybe you should just move to Vegas and rent a bungalow at the Mandalay instead of "following" on this public-play website......or maybe you need some "playa" lessons.

Stoneyx611 says:
02/08/12 01:07AM
STFU Ezmoney!! No body told you to follow him idiot!!
instinctpicks says:
02/08/12 03:24AM

Then tell me who is so both you and I can follow and when that "top capper" loses one day, we can both bash him together. And for the record, I suck. Fade my picks for easy money. 3-16 last four days.
kahlmyishmael says:
02/08/12 06:42PM
The late Mort Olshan of The Gold Sheet stated that 50% of the games played are decided by factors completely outside the realm of handicapping.

In football, this would be a late play, crucial injury or fumble. In one of this year's bowl games a fumble occurred at the opponents two yard line and was returned 98 yards for a score...

..you can't handicap something like that...

So Olshan went on to say that all handicappers in 100 betting events start off at 25 wins - 25 losses...

...to hit 57% over all 100 games, the handicapper must win 67% of his bets/wagers.

This is why money management is so important.

Chances are that 44Dimes critic is overbetting... Assuming some reversion to the mean (out of bankroll safety concerns) figure that 44Dimes is truly 54.5% proficient and has just been getting lucky.

54.5 - (45.5/.91) = 4.5% Kelly Wager Size

Divide your bankroll into wager sizes of 1/25 and bet that each day on his picks (even the ones that go off simultaneously as the bankroll size does not need to be increased by that much)

4% and patience.. good things will happen according to the late John Kelly

4%, patience & also something else... it's called "gratitude" for 44Dimes extending himself on our behalf by expending the energy to post these plays in the first place.

Thank you, 44Dimes; I'm extremely grateful
kahlmyishmael says:
02/08/12 06:43PM
BigWaveDave says:
02/08/12 02:02AM


Hi pot.......I'd like you to meet kettle - his nameisEzmoney123.

He is a troll who calls others trolls while insulting a capper who is up 30+ units on the short NBA season so far - which would be lots of ezmoney if Ezmoney followed.....................and don't even get me started on his fat roll if he followed smarts!!!!

Can't wait to see his great capping skills on full display as he posts his plays for all of us to make EZ MONEY!!!
BigWaveDave says:
02/08/12 02:05AM
WOW!!!!

QUOTE Originally Posted by DickyR:

covers.com had the ref info right there for you.

OKC has not lost in 3 years when Bennie Adams is the lead ref.

He took GS out of the game by handing Lee his 5th.

JEFFMARKETCAP says:
02/08/12 12:38AM
Dimes, ignore the haters.   I like your insight even though I lost tonight on Cleveland  Thanks for your picks win or lose buddy.  Can't wait for WNBA.  Hope you have another year like last in beaver ball
JEG53 says:
02/08/12 02:35PM
Ive been looking at this guy picks for years,always a sound reason why and as far as I know he wins alot more than he loses,so the mad man throwing around 5 grand(WOW) is playing the wrong games,Ive made money off 44s picks this year and a couple others I look at,plus my few picks,
so bet less if the 5 grand hurts,you can still get the rush betting 100 or even 50,its about the winning.
Ezmoney123 says:
02/08/12 12:42AM
Na f all of u bashing me.  This guy goes around like hes a top fin capper yet he has more losing picks then winning ones.  His unit is $10.  hes a poor phuck.  If hes so fin succuessful why the f is he poor.  Why does he eat schit every fin night for dinner.  Just dont goa round acting like ur good when u bet chump chnage and fin pick more losers then winners.
Ezmoney123 says:
02/08/12 12:43AM


I bet 200 per unit not like u poor fucks playing around with pennys.  When i lose i feel the fin sting. 
Ezmoney123 says:
02/08/12 12:55AM


Why be a troll Smarts.  Im losing good coin here following this so called good capper.  Costs me every f time


Ezmoney123 says:
02/08/12 01:16AM


I aint lying dude.  Everytime with this guy maybe 2 winners out of 7.  All im saying is dont praise ur capping skills when u cant back them up.  he trys every fin night to put soimehting up.  Justifies it with some bs-I guess that makes it a good bet in his eyes.  Anyone can justify anyhting in their won f mind.  His picks arent good.  he aint a top f capper.  Thats all im saying
Ezmoney123 says:
02/08/12 02:13AM
Listen bro I aint crying.  Gambling is my life.  I swing around 5k like u do $500.  This guy aint a top capper.  Thast why im saying.  How fin hard is it for you tools to realize.
Ezmoney123 says:
02/08/12 05:37AM
jroc1247 says:
02/08/12 05:24PM

EZ..Go pick your own games u fucking bottom feeder! Dimes is solid! Stay the fuck out of the thread if you don't like the picks. Noone held a gun to your head and told ya to bet the game! Man the fuck up son!

coitus_maximus says:
02/08/12 11:02AM

44 dimes...I also took Cleveland, but honestly they have been playing close games and I had it capped around 10.  It happens.

EZMoney...just STFU and stop bitching.  If you don't like the pick, cap your own and see what agrees with you.

smartbets says:
02/08/12 12:45AM
a whole 200 dollars?
smartbets says:
02/08/12 01:07AM

Oh I'm not trolling, but I can speak on behalf of 44dimes. He is solid, if you followed him all season you would be up money.

I'm sorry you lost today, but to blame someone else, when it was your decision to submit your money, is your own issue.

We all lose games, and at tiems that can be difficult enough to deal with, no one needs to be hated on after a loss.

We are all trying to beat Vegas......same team.

Theone324 says:
02/08/12 07:09AM

beemerville says:
02/08/12 02:25AM
EZmoney its juz gambling... cant win all the time... u tailed him wrong game. but dont blame someone else capping wen u loose.. find ways to mk it back if u a real gambler.. like go casino
SupFresh says:
02/08/12 12:03AM
Too many assholes on here, EZ just lost his lunch money.
Let's bounce back tomorrow.
happyshine says:
02/08/12 02:10AM


Stupid ppl always find an excuse when u lost a bet

Why don't u cap yr own gm so u can be piss at yrself in the future?

Stop crying after u lost a bet
happyshine says:
02/08/12 02:26AM


U've to learn how to take a lost if gambling is yr life

Nobody force u to bet a gm if u don't like it.

If u keep blind tail anyone , u'll be broke soon.

Final , don't blame anyone when u lost and don't bet the money if u can't afford to lose.
evilelvis says:
02/08/12 01:06PM


Stop crying or stop betting...actually stop both. Spend ur measly $200 on yoga classes, d-bag.
imtheboss says:
02/08/12 08:04AM


How about you shut your stupid mouth and just don't post here anymore. No one really cares about what you have to say. If you don't like Dimes as a capper, then that's just fine, but you don't need to keep on posting about your frustrations due to your loss. No one forced you to follow dimes. You are the one placing your own bets. Please shut up and don't post here anymore.
pemalibongol212 says:
02/08/12 12:06AM

EZMONEY..STFU...if u r smart enough than cap ur own fn game bich

spymaq says:
02/08/12 05:29AM
Quit yapping.....your $200 is like Php (Philippine peso) 9,000 here. i lost Php 150,000 on that CAV bet....so what is your $200 like now....if you dont want to lose then dont bet...i wont call u names coz am an educated Filipino....go to a gay bar to chill out
.be a better person.go buy some attitude...more power to you and godbless you....keep the goodlick rolling peeps


spymaq says:
02/08/12 07:06AM
 Did he say it's $100 per unit.... Buy some attitude brother...if u hate him, stay away from his space, be respectful, that's how educated people should be....just try to bounce back..the week is still long.
C'mon man , stop YAPPING! 
 Let us be with the heat this time to get back what they took from us....Ayt? Keep the Goodluck rolling
Paddington says:
02/08/12 01:04AM

How come you're losing if you follow all his picks?  He is up for the year.
CoverLane says:
02/08/12 02:11PM

Dimes can cap WNBA better than anyone

 

With that I got mad respect for him

stopweeping says:
02/08/12 05:50PM

EZmoney, gambling is your life ??? I doubt it, If you lay as much coin as you say you do , you wouldn't be tailing people then whining like a little bitch !  And yes you are a cry baby

vickythong says:
02/08/12 04:21AM

wtf?nobody force u to bet a game if u dont like it?wtf?get out of here pls

buckeyefan80 says:
02/08/12 03:00PM

if hes so called "losing" THEN WHY ARE YOU FOLLOWING HIM?
romairama says:
02/08/12 01:08AM
well its a game ...some you lose some you win.

better luck tomorrow ya'll...

good luck 2morrow Dimes....
clubtnt says:
02/07/12 11:34PM



Lost more than that but moving on.

clubtnt says:
02/08/12 02:06AM



LOL!

clubtnt says:
02/08/12 08:49AM



Ez you're really pathetic. I remember you last week you were pissed at dimes for some losing picks. Same shit this week and you bash him again.

NIX13 says:
02/08/12 02:09PM
EZMONEY  YOU ARE A COMPLETE ASS. NO ONE TWISTED YOUR ARM TO PLAY IT. GET A LIFE KID.
GodFather0272 says:
02/08/12 12:06PM
You gotta love when someone comes in bashing someone else because they tailed and lost.  44..Keep up the good work.  Always enjoy reading your posts. 
kodiaker says:
02/08/12 05:43AM
You do yourself a favor and GTFO. If you're so good then use your own picks and don't tail anyone.
Yung_Moolah says:
02/08/12 03:11AM
Yung_Moolah says:
02/08/12 12:37PM
Gizzmo808 says:
02/08/12 02:53PM
xbuster says:
02/08/12 07:19AM
What a crybaby!  
spoon_ek says:
02/08/12 08:29AM
common' guys we're on the same team. beat vegas! beat vegas! 
brandinm75 says:
02/08/12 12:30PM

I was suprised to see this post was still on the 1st page today.

It was a great pick, if not for Mike Miller playing hero and shooting a meaning less shot Dimes would be getting all the praise.

DIMES did not make anyone play anything, he only gave his insight on what he was betting personally & tried to help others win, which I applaud him for..

If you can't take losing it may NOT be best idea to gamble, everyone knows nothing is for sure and there is always the chance you can lose..

I personally thought it was a great PICK!!!!!!!!!

I appreciate you taking the time & effort to help others make money knowing that you don't have to, WHICH I THINK GETS LOST IN ALL OF THIS!!!!

BOL AS ALWAYS!!!!!!!!!

mrblazebooster says:
02/08/12 08:55AM
Following the picks of others is a choice we make. if we feel like we can cap a game better than them, then we should just create our own thread and post the picks there, rather than bash someone on their thread. In the first place, if you dont understand the game, you shouldnt be gambling and playing this game.
yaoknowhatiming says:
02/08/12 03:28PM
User/PhoneGameDateSportDescriptionRisk/WinWin/Loss
Amount
ResultDate Placed
INTERNET / -1Feb 06 07:10 PM

NBA
STRAIGHT BET
[506] PHI 76ERS -4-105

105 / 100

100
WIN
WIN
02/06/2012 04:10 PM
INTERNET / -1Feb 06 07:40 PM

NBA
STRAIGHT BET
[508] TOTAL u190½-105 
(PHO SUNS vrs ATL HAWKS)

105 / 100

100
WIN
WIN
02/06/2012 01:29 PM
INTERNET / -1Feb 06 07:40 PM

NBA
STRAIGHT BET
[511] UTAH JAZZ +3-105

50 / 47

-50
LOSE
LOSE
02/06/2012 05:05 PM
INTERNET / -1Feb 06 10:10 PM

NBA
STRAIGHT BET
[520] POR TRAIL BLAZERS -1-105

105 / 100

-105
LOSE
LOSE
02/06/2012 10:02 PM
INTERNET / -1Feb 07 07:40 PM

NBA
STRAIGHT BET
[703] CLE CAVALIERS +16½-165 (B+3)

495 / 300

300
WIN
WIN
02/07/2012 12:31 PM
yaoknowhatiming says:
02/08/12 03:00AM
44-dimes thank you for your insight. I also took cleveland -13.5 but decided to purchase three points at a total of 16.5 just to be on the safe side. Thank god because those extra three points saved my butt tonight.
theRIGHTcall says:
02/08/12 12:25PM

If you think he's a bad capper then why do you keeping putting YOUR money on HIS picks?????????

Hahahah, that makes no sense

 

 

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