YTD 41-25 ( +31.95 )
5u 0-0
4u 3-1
3u 9-2
2u 10-12
1u 19-10
CLEVELAND +13 ( 3 units )Best Bet
I really like this play, I'm going 3u on this one. Fading the Heat as a significant size favorite has been money this year, and it really makes sense when you think about it. The ultimate goal for Miami is winning a Championship and not covering spreads as their 10-14 ATS record indicates. Their chalk is often over inflated and they don't get the job done especially agaisnt the bottom feeders. There are different circumstances for every game. When you look at their 20 point win at Philadelphia last week they played that game with revenge bringing their A game on the court. I'm looking at Miami's last 5 games against teams with losing records.
VS TOR W BY 6
AT MIL L BY 8
VS NO W BY 14
VS NY W BY 10
VS DET W BY 3
VS CLE W BY 7
As recent as Jan 24 they were a 14 point favorite against the Cavs and only won by 7. Miami is will be looking ahead to an 8 game road starting tomorrow at Orlando. This is good time for Spoelstra to rotate his bench and keep the Big 3 rested for the up coming road trip. FINAL MIA 95 CLE 88
good luck guys this is my only bet today.