44-dimes's Blog

Posted 12 hours, 10 minutes ago

((( WNBA SATURDAY )))

YTD  2-5  ( -5.35 units )

5u  0-0
4u  0-0
3u  1-1
2u  0-2
1u  1-2

Off to a bad start but I remain confident as always. I recall during the 2010 season I was 34-42 in late June and finished the season 97-80. So once again we got an uphill climb.


TULSA/WASH OVER 148.5 ( 2 units )
9 out of the first 14 WNBA games have gone Over the opening posted total. This is good for 64%. I'm not sure if this percentage will keep pace by the end of the season however i do regret not attacking some of these Overs early on, and most games have gone over with ease.
The WNBA implemented a new rule this season. They  added a semi circle in the Key just under the basket which doesn't allow defenders to take a charge. This has helped some of the post players attack more aggressively  with less consequences.  Obviously this should help Langhorne but both of these teams rely a whole lot on their shooting guards. The Tulsa defense has allowed 55% from the field in both their games. I made this total 153 and I'm gonna play the OVER here for 2U.

PHOENIX +2  ( 1 unit )
This line has moved back and forth in the last 24 hours because of the uncertainty of Diana Taurasi. She  is listed as probable, but I've learned not to trust the WNBA injury report. Regardless I'm going to play the Mercury for 1 unit in this game.
Coach Gaines did do a few things in practice to be a little more aggressive ... [More]

Posted Thursday, May 24, 2012 11:04 PM

WNBA FRIDAY MAY 25

YTD  2-4 ( -4.3 units )

5u  0-0
4u  0-0
3u  1-1
2u  0-2
1u  1-1

NEW-YORK +7 ( 1 unit )
Passed on yesterday's card but I do like the Liberty in this spot  and I'm gonna play them for a small wager.
Do they deserve to be a 7 point dog ?? I'd say probably Yes, considering they are 0-3 SU and ATS following B2B losses against the Sun and then at home verses  the Lynx .  Can you actually say ""HOME" since the rest of their home games with the exception of opening day will  be played at the Prudential center in New-Jersey. The paid attendance for the MIN/NY game was listed at (5411) but watching the game I couldn't see more than 2000 non supportive fans backing the Liberty.
SO MY POINT IS THIS !! I'd much rather take New-york on the road as a 7 point dog because If this game were played at the Prudential Center the Dream would most likely be a 1.5 point chalk.
I know coach Wisenhunt is a winner and his star player Pondexter has some pride in her. I don't expect Cappie to take 25 shots again today. She is 13 of 14 in three games from beyond the Arc. She said in a post game interview after the Minnesota loss that this is not who we are.
The Liberty should match up well against the Dream and must bang some bodies ( Braxton, Pierson, Vaughn ) in the paint against Atlanta  who often play small and will play most of the game with three guards.

GL


Posted Monday, May 21, 2012 09:56 PM

WNBA WEDNESDAY !!!

YTD  2-2 ( +0.95 units )

5u  0-0
4u  0-0
3u  1-0
2u  0-1
1u  1-1


SEATTLE +6 ( 3 units )
Today's game is a rematch of opening day in which Kristi Toliver defeated  the Seattle Storm 72-66. That's correct ''Kristi Toliver" She single-handedly helped the Sparks erase a 14 point deficit going into the 4th quarter.
I like the New look Sparks. They have a lot of depth in the forward position but are very thin at the Guard. Their second best player on Friday was probably the rookie Ogwumike. The storm clearly out played the Sparks for 30 minutes but when you turn the ball over 22 times chances are  your gonna end up on the losing side.
I like Coach Aglers style. He double teams the opposing post players and try's to let the guards beat you. Not gonna happen with Beard and Coleman. Alana Beard looks a little rusty. Ann Wauters had her way paint last Friday. I LIKE THE STORM IN THIS SPOT AS A DOG WITH REVENGE. FINAL SCORE SEA 74  LA 70.

MIN/ NY OVER 154.5 ( 2 units )
Too low in my opinion. I made this line 159. Here's the thing with Liberty? They deploy what is called a ''White Line Defense'' Which is basically and imaginary white line that calls for the Defense to shift the offense away from the middle.  It marks where the defense has to be in position to be ready if a teammate is beaten off a dribble. The whole purpose of this is to make the other team beat you from the perimeter. No... [More]

Posted Saturday, May 19, 2012 09:41 AM

((( WNBA SATURDAY )))

YTD 0-0

5u 0-0
4u 0-0
3u 0-0
2u 0-0
1u 0-0

CONNECTICUT +1  ( 3 units )
The oddsmakers got the wrong side  favorite in this game. Now this line could reverse by game time and the the Sun might end up being the favorite, but for now I'm playing Connecticut for 3units, and this will be my largest wager of the day.
The Sun have the edge on every player matchup except for Pondexter over Montgomerry and I mean slight edge. It's Renee's 5th season and her productivity has gone up each consecutive year. Connecticut beat them 3 out of 4 last year and opened this campaign  with a 96-81 Pre season win back on May 7. By the way Tina Charles sat out that game and the Liberty played most of their starters. Asjha Jones is coming off a Woman's Euro League MVP this past winter. The Sun are loaded and ready. These teams play again tomorrow and win or lost the Sun will be at least a 6 point favorite in that game if not higher. I'd much rather take the smaller price today and the Sun certainly need to make a statement on the road.

ATLANTA +6.5  ( 2 units )
I thought this line should of been 5 or 5.5. This should be what I consider a feel out game. Yes DeSouza is out for the Dream, but they got plenty of girls that can score and Coach Meadors had made it a point to focus on defense this year.

CHICAGO -4 ( 1 unit )
I hate to lay points on the road but this team did so much in the off season to improve it's roster. The depth a... [More]

Posted Friday, May 18, 2012 01:05 PM

2012 WNBA PREVIEW @ PREDICTIONS

Cheers to all WNBA Cappers.
I've spent the last couple of weeks compiling as much  information as I can and basically getting ready for what is hopefully another profitable season. This will be my 4th year capping the WNBA.
I post every wager I make here on Covers . I don't Twitter or Tout. It's all here on Covers.
Looking forward to opinions and discussions. I'd like to wish everyone Good Luck. Have a great year.

2009 YTD 111-91  ( +22.1 units )
2010 YTD 97-80   ( +24.3 units )
2011 YTD 85-55   ( +60.85 units )

INDIANA-----+560
Not too many off season moves by the Fever.. They added Ronneka Hodges who's had a strong pre season. The Fever fell a game short last season in making the WNBA Finals. Tamika Catchings was the league MVP in 2011. She's probably the most versatile player in the league.
FORECAST FOR 2012-----------A 20 PLUS WIN SEASON AND ONCE AGAIN A POSSIBLE TRIP TO THE CONFERENCE FINAL.

CONNECTICUT----+1280
The Sun finished the season 21-13 in 2011 but the biggest problem over the last couple of years has been playing on the Road. 15-2 at Home and 6-11 away from Home. Unexplainable if you ask me.
FORECAST FOR 2012----------TOP 2 FINISH AND CERTAINLY WELL WORTH THE BETTING VALUE OF +1280.

CHICAGO-------+915
The Chicago Sky made some serious noise in the off season and  improved this team immensely. The Sky added Cash, Penichiero, Willingham and Riley who all have a comb... [More]

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