AAA_Sports's Blog

Art Aronson's Free Play Tue April 30th

By AAA_Sports | View all Posts
Posted Monday, April 29, 2013 07:04 PM   0 comments
This is a 1* free play on the Milwaukee Brewers over the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday night (8:10 EST).

James McDonald (2-2, 4.38 ERA) gets the call for the visitors. McDonald has been erratic this year and his 15 total walks lead the NL at the moment. In his last start he gave up five hits and three runs in a no-decision vs. the Cardinals on April 27th (McDonald would finish a sub-par 6-6 with a pedestrian 5.95 ERA on the road last year). Marco Estrada gave up two runs off five hits over 6 1/3's frames of work and was unfortunate to be saddled with a 2-1 loss to the Padres on Wednesday; he struck out three and walked two in his first setback of the year. Here's a big opportunity for the right-hander to make an immediate return to the winners circle vs. a team he dominated last season, going 1-0 with a 1.83 ERA in three starts vs. the Pirates in 2012 (note that Estrada was 3-2 with a 2.97 ERA in friendly confines a season ago). Recent performance plays a part in my handicapping toolbox and in this case, there's no question that Estrada comes into this contest with considerable momentum. I simply can't see McDonald's control issues being 100% resolved since his last outing and believe the talent discrepancy on the mound justifies in laying this mid-sized price. What do you think?

AAA

>>>If you joined Art this NHL campaign then a serious congrats has to be extended. Good work guys! Aronson finished the year 91-67 overall for +$7,850. He's uncovered what he feels will be a completely lop-sided Series and is ready to tie up a small portion of his bankroll for what will prove to be an epically one-sided rout! Precise! Deadly Accurate! Join "AAA" in the WINNERS CIRCLE and take your picks to the NEXT LEVEL!<<<
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