AJLightning's Blog

**AJ's Picks - The Players Championship**

By AJLightning | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, May 10, 2011 11:30 AM   71 comments

Oh ya baby, we got The Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass this week!!

Pretty much all the TPC courses in the rotation are tough. And this week is more of the same. Experience plays a big key this week. So I would bypass rookies and guys that have only played here a few times. As with any TPC course, fairways and greens are a must! You got to keep the ball in play and you have to know where to miss it (experience). I will look for accurate drivers and guys that hit a lot of greens.

 

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Bluefin says:
05/10/11 02:50PM
See you there...
AJLightning says:
05/10/11 11:17PM

Tournament Matchup Leans:

Scott +110 over Kuchar

Kaymer +110 over Stricker

Watney -110 over Mahan

Day -120 over Fowler

Schwartzel -120 over Bubba  

Cink -115 over Z. Johnson

Goosen -140 over Els

Glover Ev over Byrd

Sergio -120 over Paddy

Phil +105 over Donald

Watney Ev over Furyk

kindergartencapper says:
05/10/11 11:31PM

It's a pattern...lol. 

Kuchar 5-1 against Scott this year, Els 4-0 against Goosen this year, Donald 3-1 against Phil this year.  Those scare me

But I'm just trying this system for now.  GL with the other two though
NoWorries21 says:
05/11/11 08:57AM
Big play against BUbba for me too. As well as Mahan over Watney. I see you lean otherwise in 1
kindergartencapper says:
05/11/11 09:40PM
So whatcha got for the weekend
AJLightning says:
05/11/11 10:38PM

1st Round Matchups

7101 Gay (+105) over Harrington (-135)

7104 Kaymer (-105) over Eldrick (-125)

7119 Crane (-105) over Choi (-125)

7130 Manassero (+110) over Fowler (-140) - 2*

 

Tournament Matchups

7004 Scott (+125) over Kuchar (-155)

7015 Schwartzel (-120) over Bubba (-110) - 2*

7038 Crane (Ev) over Eldrick (-130) - 2*

7039 Sergio (-130) over Harrington (Ev)

 

 

 

AJLightning says:
05/11/11 11:13PM

Top Italian

Manassero +150

 

 

AJLightning says:
05/11/11 11:20PM

 

AJLightning says:
05/11/11 11:20PM

 

You going?

AJLightning says:
05/11/11 11:21PM

 

Bubba 

NoWorries21 says:
05/12/11 08:58AM
 got big play against BUbba and didnt play other.   PLayed Donald over Bubba round 1 for -130  for 3U    Donald shoulda been at least -160   dont know if it was a book mistake or people really playing Bubba that hard.
AJLightning says:
05/12/11 10:57AM

Bye Bye Eldrick  

That had to be the easiest 3 units ever!!

jz1119 says:
05/12/11 11:36AM
penalty stroke for Bubba..excellent
jz1119 says:
05/12/11 12:57PM
76 for Bubba.  Let's go Charl. 
Bluefin says:
05/12/11 01:10PM

8112 N.Watney finish position under 33½ -115*

7138 Dustin Johnson (1st Rnd) +105* vs Jim Furyk (1st Rnd)

203 Matt Jones (1st Rnd) -110* vs Ryan Palmer (1st Rnd) 

7140 Steve Stricker (1st Rnd) -120* vs Hunter Mahan (1st Rnd) 

made a couple of other plays couldn't resist....nothing worthy of financing

AJLightning says:
05/12/11 01:37PM

 

AJLightning says:
05/12/11 01:39PM

 

Not bad...although I'm not sure what your were thinking on that Watney play...

Bluefin says:
05/12/11 01:47PM
Say what  that was my favorite play
AJLightning says:
05/12/11 01:56PM

My bad...I read that wrong. So he has to finish better than 33?? Right? I was thinking the opposite....33rd or worse....duhhhhh  

AJLightning says:
05/12/11 02:06PM

The books really set up the 1st round lines for the public this week....lol, what a joke!  

Need Manassero to pull out the win for a sweep!! I think this course sets up good for him. He's 11th in driving accuracy and 10th in GIR's...that's a deadly combo to have at Sawgrass!

 

AJLightning says:
05/12/11 02:55PM

Pretty Boy Fowler doubles #1....Manassero Par's...grab your bags, IT'S ON!!!

 

jz1119 says:
05/12/11 03:50PM
hopefully Schwartzel gets a couple birds on the next 9.
jz1119 says:
05/12/11 06:32PM
Schwartzel even, 4 up on Bubba.  Are tee times the same for tomorrow?
jz1119 says:
05/12/11 06:35PM
Great job today AJ
jz1119 says:
05/12/11 06:39PM
nvm, I see that tee times are the opposite.  Man, I wish Watson was up 1st.  8 units on schwartzel
AJLightning says:
05/12/11 09:29PM

1st Round Matchups

7101 Gay (+105) over Harrington (-135) 

7104 Kaymer (-105) over Eldrick (-125) 

7119 Crane (-105) over Choi (-125) 

7130 Manassero (+110) over Fowler (-140) - 2* 

 

Tournament Matchups

7004 Scott (+125) over Kuchar (-155)    7 down (fuck Scott)

7015 Schwartzel (-120) over Bubba (-110) - 2*    4 up

7038 Crane (Ev) over Eldrick (-130) - 2* 

7039 Sergio (-130) over Harrington (Ev)    1 down

 

Yes Sir, I was waiting on another day like today! Need to keep it going now.

Adam Scott is a punk bitch!

 

 

 

150-151-32 YTD

+19.40 Units

AJLightning says:
05/12/11 09:34PM

 

kindergartencapper says:
05/12/11 10:24PM

Great start Congrats on them....well except that Scott one because I am on the other side.  But hey, you can have one loser
AJLightning says:
05/12/11 11:40PM

2nd Round Matchups

7207 Day (-115) over Toms (-115) - 2*

7210 Barnes (-115) over Senden (-115)

7212 Manassero (-115) over Fowler (-115)

7220 Palmer (-105) over Immelman (-125)

7229 B. Haas (-120) over Yang (-110)

 

 

 

stats1 says:
05/13/11 12:04AM
great day  keep it up
BDUBB says:
05/13/11 01:43AM
mudpie says:
05/15/11 08:40AM
Quiros' tidy little 3 at 16 with sleepy crust still in his eyes sure helps that bet!


 
 
mudpie says:
05/15/11 08:46AM
Levin held on....and shot 68 with a 4 at 18 after a 120 yard punch out from the right heavy bermuda and that big tree...got up and down from 100 plus out and made a 15 footer to do that.  Need a clutch 4 by Quiros!



mudpie says:
05/15/11 08:50AM
well damn.....he missed a 3-foot 2 " putt for the win.  son of a bitch.
mudpie says:
05/15/11 12:40PM
I never saw any site I have access to post 4th rounders...did you?  hell, they will all be off and running by 1;30 or so....
Bluefin says:
05/15/11 06:59AM
Bluefin says:
05/13/11 06:41AM
Tampaman9 says:
05/13/11 10:20AM

And Day gives up 3 strokes on one hole. Nice 7 on the par 5 9th....

Tampaman9 says:
05/13/11 10:48AM

Well looking like the law of averages is taking over after that great day we had yesterday. Maybe squeeze 1 victory out of these...Moving day tomorrow....

 

Tampaman9 says:
05/13/11 11:22AM

Pallmer misses a 6ft put to get a stoke back....Cant do anything but laugh....

And are you watching it live...cause everywhere I can see has Day down 2 to Toms...

Or you just posting lies???

Tampaman9 says:
05/13/11 11:27AM
Barnes misses a 7ft put
Tampaman9 says:
05/13/11 11:46AM

  • 1. 256yds to Left Intermediate, 129yds to hole

  • 2. 128yds to Green, 5ft 7in to hole

  • 3. putt 9ft 7in, 4ft 2in to hole

  • 4. putt 6ft 6in, 1ft 11in to hole

Wow that about sums it up...This looks the shots from a hole I would play...Way to got Palmer

jz1119 says:
05/13/11 11:47AM
yeah what are you starting with in here..we have some good vibes in here..  AJ  lets rock buddy
jz1119 says:
05/13/11 03:06PM
not good!
jz1119 says:
05/13/11 05:01PM
looks like Bubba vs Charl is going to go another 2 days..damn.  No bogeys for Bubba as of yet, going to make the cut at this rate
jz1119 says:
05/13/11 11:28AM
why would I post lies? im on pgatour.com
jz1119 says:
05/13/11 10:52AM
day only one behind toms..
jz1119 says:
05/13/11 12:31PM
alright bud GL
jz1119 says:
05/13/11 01:04PM
near miss by Schwartzel on 17..finish strong here
jz1119 says:
05/13/11 01:18PM
good round Charl, hopefully he makes the cut and Watson doesn't.  Bogey on 17 i don't love, but -1 on the round is good.
jz1119 says:
05/13/11 01:23PM
did anyone see why Watson got a penalty stroke yesterday? that could be big for us
jz1119 says:
05/13/11 02:02PM

fck here comes watson..need a bogey soon

jz1119 says:
05/13/11 02:29PM
Bubba looks on fire..not looking good right now for him missing the cut let alone staying behind Charl
jz1119 says:
05/15/11 09:35PM
Nice job AJ..needed this one:

#7015 - Charl Schwartzel ML (-120)
Sport:Players Championship
Label:The Players Championship
Notes:The Players Championship - Charl Schwartzel vs Bubba Watson
Ticket #:41151745
Accepted:05/12/11 1:25 AM (EST)
Scheduled :05/12/11 8:05 AM (EST)
Risk:$825.00
Win:$687.50
Outcome:Win
Final Score:Charl Schwartzel 4-0 over Bubba Watson
$687.501 Total Wagers$687.50

jz1119 says:
05/15/11 10:31PM
gonna look more into Golf betting, my book thru a website doesn't offer too much stuff, I believe every tournament though.  Thanks a lot will definitely check back..throw like 2 units on some matchups.  
Waxi says:
05/13/11 04:49PM
So do you place more value on going against the guy with the previous low round or your gut feeling?

AJLightning says:
05/13/11 12:12PM

hey, it's all good guys! To be honest, I had Toms but switched to Day because I didn't think he could keep it up from yesterday. Also fading a guy that goes low the day before has worked out in the past.

Also had Immelman, but again switched to Plamer.....

Can't win em' all.....

AJLightning says:
05/13/11 08:49PM

2nd Round Matchups

7207 Day (-115) over Toms (-115) - 2* 

7210 Barnes (-115) over Senden (-115) 

7212 Manassero (-115) over Fowler (-115) 

7220 Palmer (-105) over Immelman (-125) 

7229 B. Haas (-120) over Yang (-110)     

 

Tournament Matchups

7004 Scott (+125) over Kuchar (-155) 

7015 Schwartzel (-120) over Bubba (-110) - 2*    1 down

7039 Sergio (-130) over Harrington (Ev) 

 

Top Italian

Manassero +150 

 

 

 

152-156-32 YTD

+16.25 Units

AJLightning says:
05/13/11 10:35PM

Moving Day Matchups

7303 Sergio (-115) over Jacobson (-115)

7313 Quiros (-105) over Levin (-125) - 2*

7317 Dufner (-115) over Gay (-115)

7325 Sabbatini (-105) over Choi (-125)

7335 Glover (Ev) over JB (-130)

 

 

 

AJLightning says:
05/14/11 08:56PM
AJLightning says:
05/15/11 12:35PM

Moving Day Matchups

7303 Sergio (-115) over Jacobson (-115)  PUSH

7313 Quiros (-105) over Levin (-125) - 2*  PUSH

7317 Dufner (-115) over Gay (-115) 

7325 Sabbatini (-105) over Choi (-125) 

7335 Glover (Ev) over JB (-130) 

 

Tournament Matchups

7015 Schwartzel (-120) over Bubba (-110) - 2*    4 up

 

 

 

153-158-34 YTD

+15.20 Units

AJLightning says:
05/13/11 03:02PM

 

AJLightning says:
05/13/11 01:21PM
Fowler tearing it up....
AJLightning says:
05/13/11 11:40AM

 

It's called GAMBLING Hoss....you win some, you lose some....where's your fucking picks?

AJLightning says:
05/15/11 09:55PM
AJLightning says:
05/15/11 01:38PM

Final Round Matchup

7440 Choi (-105) over McDowell (-125) - 2*

 

 

 

AJLightning says:
05/15/11 01:38PM

 

BetUs

AJLightning says:
05/15/11 07:28PM

Final Round Matchup

7440 Choi (-105) over McDowell (-125) - 2* 

 

Tournament Matchups

7015 Schwartzel (-120) over Bubba (-110) - 2* 

 

 

 

155-158-34 YTD

+19.20 Units

AJLightning says:
05/15/11 07:36PM

Congrats to CHOI!!! Mr. Steady Eddy!

 

tschifano says:
05/15/11 01:31PM
5 dimes had them at 1130
tschifano says:
05/15/11 11:31AM
f
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User: AJLightning
Joined: November 2008
Location: Texas
Team: Dallas Cowboys
Occupation: Management

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