AJLightning's Blog

**AJ's Picks - The Memorial**

By AJLightning | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, June 01, 2011 02:22 PM   51 comments

The Tour stops off in Ohio this week for The Memorial or "Jack's Tournament" as some like to call it. His track's are always tough, but fair. This year will be no different. One key factor this week is Driving Accuracy. 7 out of the last 8 winners were Top 10 in accuracy for the week. Factor in the huge amount of rain the area has seen recently and you get some nasty rough. Got to hit it straight to have a chance. GIR's and Par 5 performance are also key stats this week. And as always, being an above average putter will take you a long ways.

 

 

 GL

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AJLightning says:
06/01/11 02:37PM

Tournament Matchup Leans:

McIlroy -105 over Stricker

Fowler -105 over Furyk

Bubba -120 over JB

Cink -120 over Van Pelt

M. Wilson -120 over E. Molinari

Aiken -105 over Pettersson

Perry -115 over Villegas

Vegas +120 over JJ

Dustin +105 over McIlroy

Overton -115 over Glover -115

Fowler -120 over Rose

Dustin +120 over Stricker

jz1119 says:
06/01/11 04:17PM
gl man..bounce back week
PennStateMan077 says:
06/01/11 05:11PM
cink, rose, mickelson, watney, overton, rory are the guys im looking at across the board...

what do you think of them? 
AJLightning says:
06/01/11 08:33PM

 

IMHO...

Cink, Rose, Watney, Overton....  Solid drivers of the ball and they each have what it takes to win this week.

Phil is to wishy washy lately. Kinda of like a box of chocolates...you know what I mean Vern? Terrible driver of the golf ball too.

Rory can't hit a fairway to save his life either and that gets you NO WHERE at Muirfield! His putting his piss poor as well.

 

AJLightning says:
06/01/11 09:48PM

 

My bad...I was thinking Sabbatini instead of McIlroy....

McIlroy  

PennStateMan077 says:
06/01/11 09:58PM

Haha I dont think you could pay me to lay money on Sabbatini. not Sure why I didnt just write McIllroy. 

It just scares me that all the pga site is touting all those guys I picked. 

Sadly Mickelson/Watney are autobets as they are my two favorite golfers. Watney has been a legit tease all season long. The one time he won I forgot to wager on him 
Bluefin says:
06/01/11 10:48PM

 Picks? Skippy.

At first look at your leans, you are the north pole and  I am the south if you get my drift but BOL as always.

AJLightning says:
06/01/11 10:51PM

1st Round Matchups

7103 Kuchar (-120) over Mahan (-110)

7107 Bubba (-115) over Rose (-115)

7119 Cink (-130) over VJ (Ev) - 2*

 

Tournament Matchups

7010 Fowler (+110) over Furyk (-140) - 2*

7016 Cink (-120) over Van Pelt (-110) - 2*

7021 M. Wilson (-105) over E. Molinari (-125) - 5*

 

 

 

AJLightning says:
06/01/11 11:03PM

 

So that's not good for me...you hung the moon remember??

PennStateMan077 says:
06/01/11 11:08PM
AJLightning says:
06/01/11 11:14PM

Thanks Penn!! Wilson placed T9 at the Palmer, so why not a Top 10 at Jack's place??

And is    good or bad?? or pass?

PennStateMan077 says:
06/01/11 11:30PM
its good 

i agree there. Wish my local had T5/T10/T20 odds so I can take extra golfers..


Bluefin says:
06/02/11 10:15AM

7107 Bubba (-115) over Rose (-115)

Bubba jumps out +3 after 7

jz1119 says:
06/02/11 11:00AM

just playing devils advocate..why is molinari favored against wilson?

AJLightning says:
06/02/11 11:24AM

And he's only two shots behind Rose who is +1 after 11....still a long ways to go BLUE!!

AJLightning says:
06/02/11 11:26AM

That's exactly what I was thinking...hence the 5* play!

Jarrett75 says:
06/02/11 11:57AM
kuchar is falling apart and Mahan has become a birdie machine. That 10th hole swerved all the momentum to Mahan.
AJLightning says:
06/02/11 01:05PM

I know it man...at least Kuchar got it back with a Eagle on 15 and a birdie on 16. I can hope for a push, but I need Mahan to put it in the water on 18....

Jarrett75 says:
06/02/11 01:07PM
we got lucky with a push. I do the reverse psych out and it works sometimes. Mahan dropped a little but just after posting Kuchar eagled.
AJLightning says:
06/02/11 01:34PM

Squeaked that one out huh Jarrett? Is there water on 18?? I may have mixed this course up with Congressional (US Open). I was reading up on the US Open course last night and 18 is a bitch!

Anywho...we'll take a push ALL DAY MANE!!!!

 

qball1324 says:
06/02/11 03:08PM
vj playing some good golf so far
AJLightning says:
06/02/11 04:18PM

Cink is right behind him...1 shot back with 8 to go

qball1324 says:
06/02/11 04:22PM

Cink hasn't made a clutch put all day.  I'm starting to worry about him

AJLightning says:
06/02/11 09:27PM

 

He pulled it off....

AJLightning says:
06/02/11 09:42PM

1st Round Matchups

7103 Kuchar (-120) over Mahan (-110)  PUSH

7107 Bubba (-115) over Rose (-115) 

7119 Cink (-130) over VJ (Ev) - 2*  

 

Tournament Matchups

7010 Fowler (+110) over Furyk (-140) - 2*    9 up

7016 Cink (-120) over Van Pelt (-110) - 2*    4 up

7021 M. Wilson (-105) over E. Molinari (-125) - 5*    2 up

 

 

+0.85 units on the day. Not great, but certainly not bad. Got lucky with a Mahan bogey on 18 for the push vs. Kuch. I really want to count the Fowler/Furyk matchup as a win, but that's bad juju. We'll let it ride one more day. 

 

 

 

169-178-38 YTD

+2.85 Units     

AJLightning says:
06/02/11 10:53PM

I'm really not feeling any of the matchups tonight...lines are really tight and severely juiced.

 

PennStateMan077 says:
06/02/11 10:59PM
AJLightning says:
06/02/11 11:20PM

2nd Round Matchups

7205 Byrd (-110) over Furyk (-120)

7215 Choi (-140) over Els (+110) - 2*

7220 Immelman (-115) over Perry (-115)

7228 Mahan (Ev) over Kuchar (-130)

 

 

 

PennStateMan077 says:
06/02/11 11:55PM
good picks 
BDUBB says:
06/03/11 09:45AM
Bluefin says:
06/03/11 11:29AM

Bryd/Furyk was my only play today and I whacked it good.

Here's hopinlooks pretty good right now

Hey where do I find umps for the diamonds today early??

Bluefin says:
06/03/11 03:38PM

Bryd,bryd bryd bryd is the word

PennStateMan077 says:
06/03/11 03:52PM
byrd came to play today 
rangerz2478 says:
06/05/11 01:47AM
AJ what's your take on Stricker vs the field?

Seeing the field as high as +140.
Safe-Cracker says:
06/03/11 05:46PM

AJ  IT HAPPENED AGAIN. MARINO BOGEYS 18 AND MISSES CUT. . FUCK ME

NEED SOME GOOD PICKS TO TRAIL

AJLightning says:
06/03/11 11:51PM

2nd Round Matchups

7205 Byrd (-110) over Furyk (-120) 

7215 Choi (-140) over Els (+110) - 2*  PUSH

7220 Immelman (-115) over Perry (-115)  PUSH

7228 Mahan (Ev) over Kuchar (-130)    1 shot  

 

Tournament Matchups

7010 Fowler (+110) over Furyk (-140) - 2* 

7016 Cink (-120) over Van Pelt (-110) - 2*    1 up

7021 M. Wilson (-105) over E. Molinari (-125) - 5*    2 down

 

+2.20 units for the day...+3.05 units through two rounds.

 

 

 

171-179-40 YTD

+5.05 Units

AJLightning says:
06/04/11 12:14AM

Moving Day Matchup

7301 Schwartzel (-125) over Els (-105) - 2*

 

More in the morning.....

 

 

 

AJLightning says:
06/04/11 11:49AM

Moving Day Matchups

7301 Schwartzel (-125) over Els (-105) - 2*

7320 Stadler (+160) over Moore (-190)

7325 Pampling (+120) over Baddeley (-150)

 

 

 

AJLightning says:
06/04/11 01:46PM
HOLY SHIT....Stadler's approach on #3 hit the pin and BARELY stayed on the fringe....then Jobe hits his approach and that punk hits the pin too!!! UNFUCKINGREAL  
AJLightning says:
06/04/11 06:02PM

Moving Day Matchups

7301 Schwartzel (-125) over Els (-105) - 2* 

7320 Stadler (+160) over Moore (-190)  PUSH

7325 Pampling (+120) over Baddeley (-150) 

 

Tournament Matchups

7016 Cink (-120) over Van Pelt (-110) - 2*    1 down   

7021 M. Wilson (-105) over E. Molinari (-125) - 5*    8 up  

 

+3.20 units for the day...+6.25 units through 3 rounds.

 

 

 

173-179-41 YTD

+8.25 Units

AJLightning says:
06/04/11 06:04PM

 

That cracker in your avatar needs to tan!!

AJLightning says:
06/04/11 09:36PM

Final Round Matchups

7406 Villegas (-110) over Cabrera (-120)

7407 Curtis (-105) over JJ (-125) - 2*

7413 Simpson (-120) over Howell III (-110) 

7421 Chappell (Ev) over Matteson (-130)

7423 M. Wilson (-125) over Leishman (-105)

7430 Byrd (+105) over Stricker (-135) - 2*

 

Sunday 6 Pack...good luck fellas! Playing in the morning, see you'all in the afternoon!!    

 

 

 

   

AJLightning says:
06/05/11 12:42PM

 

I like the field there...don't care who you are, sleeping on a three shot lead is tough!

AJLightning says:
06/05/11 12:57PM

 

 

GO

AJLightning says:
06/05/11 12:57PM

 

 

 

MAVS!!!

AJLightning says:
06/05/11 01:08PM

Final Round Matchups

7406 Villegas (-110) over Cabrera (-120)

7407 Curtis (-105) over JJ (-125) - 2*

7413 Simpson (-120) over Howell III (-110) 

7421 Chappell (Ev) over Matteson (-130)

7423 M. Wilson (-125) over Leishman (-105)

7430 Byrd (+105) over Stricker (-135) - 2*

 

Tournament Matchups

7016 Cink (-120) over Van Pelt (-110) - 2*   

7021 M. Wilson (-105) over E. Molinari (-125) - 5*

 

 

 

AJLightning says:
06/05/11 08:20PM

Final Round Matchups

7406 Villegas (-110) over Cabrera (-120) 

7407 Curtis (-105) over JJ (-125) - 2* 

7413 Simpson (-120) over Howell III (-110) 

7421 Chappell (Ev) over Matteson (-130)    1 shot

7423 M. Wilson (-125) over Leishman (-105) 

7430 Byrd (+105) over Stricker (-135) - 2* 

 

Tournament Matchups

7016 Cink (-120) over Van Pelt (-110) - 2* 

7021 M. Wilson (-105) over E. Molinari (-125) - 5* 

 

+2.50 units for the day...+8.75 for the tourny!!

 

 

 

177-183-41 YTD

+10.75 Units    

AJLightning says:
06/03/11 01:00PM

Got lucky in the Choi/Els matchup with another push...Choi birdies the last hole!!

 CHOI

AJLightning says:
06/03/11 02:17PM

 

Byrd 

Not sure where to find early ump news. I always just look 1 hour before the game...

AJLightning says:
06/03/11 02:49PM

FUCK OFF HUNTER MAHAN

 

sscoach says:
06/04/11 10:04AM

Hass-115 over Van Pelt?

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User: AJLightning
Joined: November 2008
Location: Texas
Team: Dallas Cowboys
Occupation: Management

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