Tournament Matchup Leans:
Toms +105 over Westwood
Byrd -115 over Gay
Snedeker -110 over Sergio
Goosen -115 over Karlsson
Davis +115 over Jacobson
Imada Ev over Yang
Herron +110 over Kelly
Zach Ev over Toms
Zach +130 over Westwood
Thinking about taking a shot on Verplank here, Ogilvy coming off an injury and never made a cut in this tourney.
I like Imada over Yang as well, but I dont know if the numbers back it up
You got me man...it always picks up for the Major's, so next week should be busy!
Kind of like it too...looking into the matchup more.
my two cents...
Looks like value to me. Imada coming off a T3 at the Nelson two weeks ago and he has a decent history at TPC Southwind. Three starts with three top 30's.
Yang on the other hand has only played this tournament once and he missed the cut. Obviously he doesn't like the course. His stats are a LITTLE better than Imada's, but I feel Imada's game fits this course well. Southwind is a lot like The Nelson.
HAHA....then he has a very bad memory. He played there in 2008 when it was the "Stanford St. Jude Championship"....he shot 71, 78 for a trunk slammer. Maybe that's why he forgot!
In 1989, the FedEx St. Jude Championship underwent its second course change, this time to the TPC at Southwind. The tournament has been held at Southwind every year since.
Fo reels playa...
1st Round Matchups
7105 Curtis (-105) over Marino (-125)
7112 Byrd (-115) over Snedeker (-115)
7114 Karlsson (+135) over Westwood (-165)
Tournament Matchups
7002 Toms (-105) over Westwood (-125) - 2*
7024 Imada (-105) over Yang (-125) - 2*
7025 Herron (Ev) over Kelly (-130) - 2*
Sorry man, I sure don't. Now that the tournament has started the books have taken down the "To Win" props. I'm sure they are out there somewhere.
And again the tournament has started so I really can't tell you who I like. I'm not big into picking winners anyway, it's kind of like hitting the lottery! A lot can happen in four days. But there is one guy who hasn't started yet...and if you want a super duper long shot darkhorse sleeper, then here he is ---->
PATRICK REED
(google the name and remember it!!!)
Liked it, but to juicy for Estes. He should never be that big of a fav.
Didn't see it live....just watching the leaderboard at work. I don't know of any live feeds....sorry dude
Snedeker over Garcia looks like the POD so far. Definitely wouldve preferred that to my silly Estes pick.
Final Round Matchups
7406 Byrd (+130) over Westwood (-160)
7407 Herron (-120) over Matteson (-110)
7409 Imada (+115) over Snedeker (-145)
7416 Pettersson (+110) over Jacobson (-140)
7418 Merrick (-125) over Frazar (-105) - 2*
+1.75 units on the day...+7.05 units for the tourny!
187-188-43 YTD
+17.80 Units
HAHAHAHA
Frazar won it!! WOW....good for him....355 starts
Looks like this could be a fun final round....got some low scores so far today!!
Merrick is -125 at my shop now....may make a play on him....
Thats what I'm thinking. He actually went low two days in a row....65, 64....that's fade material coming from a career journyman...
adding Merrick -
going to pass on the final group...should fade the leader but you should also fade a guy that goes low the day before.
lean Karlsson for his first win in the US!!!
lean to the Beemer!
I'm out....tee time in an hour!! See you'all around noon!!
Should have hammered Merrick.....
Not sure what you mean by that..his stats are solid as hell.
This week:
Birdies - T9
Dri. Acc. - T3
Dri. Dis. - 10th
Putts Per GIR - 3rd
GIR's - T24
The Golf God's will eventually reward you for solid play...
Pettersson 2 up...9 to go
Moving Day Matchups
7307 Byrd (+140) over Westwood (-170)
7312 Pettersson (-115) over Villegas (-115) - 2*
7317 Karlsson (-120) over Jacobson (-110) PUSH
7025 Herron (Ev) over Kelly (-130) - 2* 2 up
183-186-43 YTD
+16.05 Units
putting these up for line movement purposes, these are NOT leans...plays to follow in the morning....
Kelly -125 over Walker
Allenby -140 over Villegas
Westwood -155 over Byrd
Herron -120 over Matteson
Snedeker -140 over Imada
Howell III -140 over Ames
Adams -135 over Blanks
Jacobson -140 over Pettersson
Merrick -135 over Frazar
Goosen -125 over Karlsson
Tough call for the final pairing. Ya, you want to fade the leader but you also fade a guy that shot low the day before. Goosen with a 64 should be faded today....I'll have to think about that one.
All of them moved 5 cents...Merrick moved 10 cents
adding another unit on Karlsson...
7114 Karlsson (+150) over Westwood (-180)
Damn...he gave some back on the front didn't he. Still finished even for the day which I think is very good on the first day. Very tough track and I think the guys that posted 4 under played out of their minds (Kisner, Merrick and Blanks won't be around come Sunday). I'm thinking 2 under is a more reasonable score. Looks like 10 or 11 under will win it this week!
7112 Byrd (-115) over Snedeker (-115) PUSH
7002 Toms (-105) over Westwood (-125) - 2* 6 down
7024 Imada (-105) over Yang (-125) - 2* Even
7025 Herron (Ev) over Kelly (-130) - 2* 1 down
WTF Toms?? This has been your place for years and you go and shoot yourself right out of the tourny on the first day.
179-184-42 YTD
+12.55 Units
Byrds not playing all that bad...+1 after 12 holes.
Now Toms is playing like SHIT....fucking 3 over after 12...REALLY???
I got really fucked up last night during the Mavs game...Coors Light and a bowl of "Train Wreck" had me tipsy as hell. Didn't like the matchups last night, but I got two for this afternoon.
MAVS
2nd Round Matchups
7213 Sergio (+120) over Goosen (-150)
7220 Crane (+110) over Z. Johnson (-140)
Thanks man! I should have hit it again today...
7220 Crane (+110) over Z. Johnson (-140) 1 shot
7025 Herron (Ev) over Kelly (-130) - 2* 3 up
Toms
181-186-42 YTD
+12.65 Units
Thanks Boss!!!
7317 Karlsson (-120) over Jacobson (-110)
Lean Merrick +125 over Keegan...