Well boys, it's birdie fest time at TPC Deere Run! Easy course this week where GIR's and Birdie Average are the top two stats. Accuracy and distance are nonexistent here. It's all about the short game.
Can Stricker three-peat?
Players I like this week:
Zach
Day
Stricker
Howell III
Cink
Marino
Slocum
Byrd
Taylor
Rollins
Two Gloves
Wi
Tringale
Players to avoid:
Driscoll
Lyle
Adams
Percy
Blanks
Merritt
Points
Lamely
Quinney
Tournament Matchup Leans:
Day +120 over Stricker
Howell III -120 over Toms
Marino -105 over Cink
Barnes -120 over Romero
Gay -120 over Love III
Wi -120 over Imada
Trahan Ev over Dufner
Vegas +115 over Matteson
Leishman +120 over Points
Verplank +105 over Love III
Molder -130 over Kirk
M. Wilson -125 over Goydos
Garrigus -115 over Stroud
Byrd +105 over Toms
1st Round Matchups
7101 Henry (-115) over Day (-115)
102 Garrigus (-110) over Gay (-120) - 2*
7106 Toms (+120) over Stricker (-150)
7118 Rollins (-115) over Slocum (-115) - 2*
Tournament Matchups
7003 Howell III (Ev) over Toms (-130) - 2*
7006 Marino (-105) over Cink (-125) - 2*
7021 Vegas (+110) over Matteson (-140) - 2*
7039 Garrigus (-125) over Stroud (-105) - 2*
7048 Byrd (+150) over Toms (-180) - 2*
GL to all
Not sure if he's hurt...but I know he had last week off. Rollin' with Rollins and his momentum!
That Henry/Day line is crazy! Day should be the fav. there. We'll see how that one turns out!
GL Jarrett
Like that Byrd vs Toms play for tourney.. Great value too..
GL AJ
WOW....both Garrigus and Toms WD after 9 holes. That affected 5 out of my 9 plays...3 losers and 2 winners...assholes!!!
Can't wait...The Open is my second favorite Major behind the Masters. The Open is a TRUE test is golf skills!!
Nope, sorry man. My two books don't offer Top 5 or Top 10 anymore.
Naw....maybe this weekend after I see how things shake out the first two rounds. I'll have to look and see if anything jumps out.
GL this week BLUE!
7101 Henry (-115) over Day (-115) 1 shot
102 Garrigus (-110) over Gay (-120) - 2* WD
7106 Toms (+120) over Stricker (-150) WD
7006 Marino (-105) over Cink (-125) - 2* 8 up
7021 Vegas (+110) over Matteson (-140) - 2* 1 down
7039 Garrigus (-125) over Stroud (-105) - 2* WD
Sinking like the Titanic!! Mayday......Mayday.......
199-215-46 YTD
+7.00 Units
2nd Round Matchups
7201 Blanks (-115) over Driscoll (-115) - 5*
7205 Romero (-110) over Molder (-120) - 2*
7214 Goydos (+110) over Love III (-140)
7216 M. Wilson (+160) over Stricker (-190)
The tournament is not won on the first day.
Liked the value with Toms 1st rd., thought he would start off good because the course suits his game well.
The Henry/Day matchup was confusing to me. Day should have been the big fav. there. A pick em'??? Seemed to easy to take Day. 1 shot is pretty damn close if you ask me.
Hey BLUE...would love to hear your thoughts on the Blanks/Driscoll matchup?
Better day on 2nd round, good luck AJ.
AJ does your YTD caculate lost juice? My figures differ slightly from yours seeing as we are doing each others math.
Well if your keeping up with both of ours, then were really in trouble!
If the match is -130...I will bet 1.3 units to win 1.0....if it's +130 then I bet 1.0 to win 1.3...pretty standard stuff.
I'm not keeping up with your shit, believe me I have my own problems....I just noticed you didn't count that Phil matchup in your daily figure....no biggie Boss!
May add another unit on Goydos....he's up to +125 now!! Public pounding Love III after the best round he's had in awhile. Just think Goydos has some good vibes on this track.
BDUBB Blanks dosen't look to sharp today but good luck haven't seen you on here in awhile
Davis Love III 1 vs Paul Goydos 0(PGA
John Deere Classic 2nd Round Matchups)
Paul Goydos +125Lost Straight Wager $80.00 / $100.00
Paul Goydos +125And last but not least...Lost Straight Wager $1102.18 / $847.83
Diamondbacks (I Kennedy) 7 vs
Cardinals (K Lohse) 6
Cardinals -130You see how much I suck and can't keep my mojo. You are so much better at golf picks. Good luck tomorrow.
rough tournament so far
Ya, this is crazy!!
I think I'm done for awhile...thinking to much about this shit and it's not good.
Paralysis by Analysis...just like my golf game
Figures...I go against one of my rules and Blanks Tanks!! Classic High/Low leaderboard play got me...it is kind of funny that Driscoll is playing good today. He couldn't do shit yesterday...I really believed Blanks would continue to play good. No way I saw this coming, at least not in the 2nd round.
I'm taking that one too....
Thanks Jarrett!!
Hope it goes up even more. I've had some sucess this year playing these big dogs that make big moves like this.
GL DUBB!!
I hear ya man...frustrating, but you got to keep doing what you do. Just need to quit over thinking these matchups.
Trailing BLUE and his hot streak with the Janzen pick!
Marino 4 over...got to find a magic 8-ball so I can cap for those things.
Final Round Matchups
7401 Points (-115) over Couch (-115)
7405 Marino (-110) over Molder (-120)
7407 Janzen (Ev) over Mallinger (-130) - 2*
7415 Tringale (-115) over D. Wilson (-115)
Even though I've been losing my ass the last few tournaments and I need to take an extended break, I just can't stay away. Hopefully I can get it going again....soon!
how about 470 total plays....but who's counting??
Thanks for the kind words BLUE!! Good luck in the Open!!
6 over...fucked me in the contest too
Good luck on that...lock or not, it's too juicy for me.
7401 Points (-115) over Couch (-115) 1 Shot
7407 Janzen (Ev) over Mallinger (-130) - 2* PUSH
Well, I tore up the tournament matchups hitting 4 out of 5...H2H matchups were a whole different story. This is the life of gambling, ups and downs and there ISN'T NOTHING EASY ABOUT IT!!
202-221-47 YTD
+0.00 Units