ATCawsw's Blog

ATC's Computer Picks

By ATCawsw | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, September 09, 2009 11:52 PM   27 comments
Okay...first off the DISCLAIMER:  I need at least 4 to 5 weeks of this seasons data to feel comfortable with the picks this damn machine is spitting out at me, So please do not use these to make your decision, but instead use it as a tool to look at a game a little harder.
 
I have set up two formulas for this year.  One is for Favorites and of course the other is for my Underdogs.  Since there is only data for 1 week this season there isn't much to go on yet.  After running all the formulas/logarithms..yada..yada..yada....I have the program set up to where it went 2-0 with Favorites last week and 5-0 with dogs.  What does that mean to you.....well not much really.  What it does mean is that it will give me a start on finding the formulas, which if all things remain equal for the season, that will give us at least a 70% win percentage after week 4.  We shall see how it is sitting after week two...and I expect a lot more tweeks to be needed.
 
AGAIN...please do not use this info for anything more than looking at a game that may be off your radar.......PLEASE.
 
Here are week 2 Favorite Picks from the blasted machine:
 
Northwestern -18 vs E. Michigan
Wisconsin -8.5 vs Fresno St.
Navy -7 vs La Tech
Florida -36 vs Troy St.
 
Here are the week 2 Dogs from the blasted machine:
 
Purdue +11.5 vs Oregon
Fla Int +34 vs Alabama
Miami(OH) +35.5 vs Boise St.
New Mexico +17.5 vs Tulsa
Ohio St +7 vs USC
 
DISCLAIMER 2:  Lines were what I typed in early Tuesday, they may not be what they are right now (Wednesday Night).
 
Good luck this week everyone! 
27 comments
comment Post A Comment
Whodeysb09 says:
09/09/09 11:56PM
Love New Mexico this week bro...Good Luck
Sutty says:
09/10/09 12:03AM
ATC

 

So good to see you! Keep on keepin' on! It's going to be a great season!

 

I like the Wisconsin idea.

 

I've been in a twist with O St/USC. The "blasted machine" made it worse.

 

BOL!

ATCawsw says:
09/10/09 12:08AM
Good Luck Whodey....that probably wouldn't even have been a game I looked at .....hope it hits for you! 

 

Sutty.....it's good to be back on solid ground for this season.  Sorry if the confounded machine has tightened the twist a little....but don't go by it....it is still like a newborn...putting out that green poo!  Good Luck Brother! 

MILKMAN0923 says:
09/10/09 12:12AM
im with ya on florida, it may be a lot fo chalk, but oh well...i say gators cover..
Zoot says:
09/10/09 12:16AM
3 dogs I have to disagree on

NM, FIu and Mia O
all really bad teams. NM may be the worst

ATCawsw says:
09/10/09 12:23AM
Milkman.....good luck brother....

 

Zoot - I agree with you on Fla Int.....however, after looking at Bama....they are not the blowout team.  For some reason...they play well enough to win....and pretty much quit...so you just never know...and 34 is a bunch to lay down for an Alabama team...to anyone.  However, I am not playing any of these, but I want to put it out there, as I won't keep any of the computer picks off the board just because I don't think it is right.  Good Luck on your plays. 

Sutty says:
09/10/09 12:31AM
Cheers!
JRoberts5483 says:
09/10/09 01:01AM
whas up ATC, i thought your program only selected dogs?
JRoberts5483 says:
09/10/09 01:02AM
wow, i should read before i speak...
ZonaCats says:
09/10/09 01:45AM
target_9 says:
09/10/09 02:33AM
GL this week!!!!
takem says:
09/10/09 03:13AM
Welcome back ATC... BOL
DAWGPRINT says:
09/10/09 07:26AM
ATC - Great to see you back!
Can't wait for OCT - you were money two years ago!
Have I said that already???

kittsd says:
09/10/09 07:39AM
Not on many of these games but BOL to you this year.
Skipster says:
09/10/09 08:23AM
Watching with interest...
JD232 says:
09/10/09 08:39AM
BOL!
Chezman says:
09/10/09 02:16PM
Ohio State is looking better everyday!
RedRockets says:
09/11/09 11:44AM
Always good to see ATC postinh

 

HotRoute says:
09/11/09 11:52AM
raptor8 says:
09/11/09 11:54AM
great to see you back....love Navy  and N mex

and a welcome from  the 126 Seahawks E-3

gamehenger says:
09/11/09 12:00PM
i like some of those lines... one i dont is florida. i just think troy coming off a bad loss and florida looking ahead a bit should be able to keep this one within the 36. 

i liked to hear more about your system. its interesting...

good luck on all your picks!
Mr_Hollywood says:
09/11/09 12:19PM
NDsucker says:
09/11/09 12:23PM
...will see what the puter does this week....looking forward to week 4 and beyond!!!
TonyBinLV says:
09/11/09 12:50PM
Well I hope the Blasted Machine can keep spitting good things out.  Did you do all the games or just a select few?  Really like to see what it says about the Tenn game and the Georgia game?
PrimeTimeBoys says:
09/11/09 01:20PM
Welcome back bro, gl this season & lets get the money!
ATCawsw says:
09/13/09 09:57AM

I obviously had forgotten to add the line in for the computer for the favorites:

 

If X (X being the team chosen)= Big Ten then auto delete.

 

I am kinda happy with only having 1 weeks of data to use, and once I get week two data put into it, I will see what other adjustments I can make to get it even better.  It should be up and ready by week 4 from the looks of it.

 

Catch you all on Tuesday or Wenesday!

 

Best of Luck today for those playing the NFL 

 

 

Here are week 2 Favorite Picks from the blasted machine:

 

Northwestern -18 vs E. Michigan 

Wisconsin -8.5 vs Fresno St.  

Navy -7 vs La Tech  

Florida -36 vs Troy St. 

 

Here are the week 2 Dogs from the blasted machine:

 

Purdue +11.5 vs Oregon 

Fla Int +34 vs Alabama 

Miami(OH) +35.5 vs Boise St. 

New Mexico +17.5 vs Tulsa 

Ohio St +7 vs USC 

DAWGPRINT says:
09/13/09 01:46PM
not a bad day at all!!!!
Purdue was money!!  They dominated.
Thanks for the great work!

Add your response:
Please note that the blogger has the option of reviewing all comments before they are displayed to the public. Your comment may not be published immediately.
 

Profile

User: ATCawsw
Joined: September 2007
Location: California
Team: Kentucky Wildcats
Occupation: Government

Recent Posts

Archive

Categories

Advertisement